Last Updated Jan 20, 2023, 3:08 PM

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers Picks, Predictions, Odds

It's been a tough start to the conference season for both the Arkansas Razorbacks and the Missouri Tigers. Both teams went 11-1 in non-conference play, but Arkansas and Missouri are each below .500 in SEC action. Arkansas is reeling after losing three straight games, so the Razorbacks will be happy to see the Tigers once more as their lone conference victory came against Missouri two weeks ago.

The Missouri Tigers will look to avenge their earlier loss to the Arkansas Razorbacks on Wednesday, January 18, 2023, at 9 p.m. ET on SEC Network from Mizzou Arena in Columbia, Missouri.

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Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers Betting Prediction

In the first meeting between these two SEC rivals, the Arkansas Razorbacks beat the Missouri Tigers thanks to a big assist in the rebounding department. Arkansas outrebounded Missouri 40 to 23, and that allowed the Razorbacks to pick up a six-point win despite turning the ball over 17 times on the evening. Look for the Tigers to perform a little better on the glass at home in the rematch, and Missouri will shoot well enough to pick up the victory.

Score Prediction: Missouri 72, Arkansas 68
Best Bet: Missouri -1.5 (-110)

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers Betting Odds

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers Betting Resources

Date: Wednesday, Jan. 18, 2023
TV-Time: SEC Network, 9:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Mizzou Arena
Location: Columbia, Missouri
Matchup
Expert Picks

SEC Championship Odds

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers Betting Stats

Arkansas Razorbacks
SU: 12-5
ATS: 7-9-1
O/U: 5-11-1
PPG: 76.2
OPPG: 66.1

Missouri Tigers
SU: 13-4
ATS: 9-8
O/U: 10-7
PPG: 84.4
OPPG: 75.4

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)
Points Per Game (PPG), Opponents Points Per Game (OPPG)

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Analysis

Prior to the start of the season, Arkansas was one of the favorites by the CBB futures odds to win the national championship. The Razorbacks brought in three sensational freshmen in Nick Smith, Anthony Black, and Jordan Walsh, and they were in the range of 15-1 to win the title. However, Smith hurt his knee in mid-December, and he might shut it down for the rest of the season rather than return given the team's struggles. He is still considered a lottery pick by many analysts, and we saw that sitting out the year didn't hurt Shaedon Sharpe from being a lottery pick last year.

Black got off to a great start this season, but we have seen him struggle to adjust to the athleticism of SEC play over the last couple weeks. He has turned the ball over four times in four straight games, and he has gotten in foul trouble in three consecutive games too. His shooting has taken a real hit as Black is making just 34.4% of his field goals and 15.8% of his threes in six SEC games, and he has just 18 assists compared to 22 turnovers and 16 personal fouls. Walsh has hit a rough spot too, so upperclassmen like Ricky Council IV have unexpectedly needed to lead the way.

Council is the leading scorer on Arkansas, averaging 18.3 PPG after transferring in from Wichita State this offseason. He is making 47.8% of his field goals, but he has more turnovers than assists. Missouri transfer Trevon Brazile was the most efficient shooter on Arkansas, but he tore his ACL last month, and now the Razorbacks have no perimeter threats. Arkansas is making just 29.1% of its threes, so more opponents are just crowding the paint and daring the Razorbacks to take threes.

Missouri Tigers Betting Analysis

Kobe Brown is a well-polished player that can do it all for Missouri. Brown leads the Tigers with 15.6 PPG and 5.6 RPG, and he has been very efficient from the field. He is sinking 55.7% of his field goals and 42.6% of his threes, making Missouri the ninth-best offense in the country per Ken Pomeroy. His scoring is a big part of why the Tigers rank fourth nationally in two-pointers, as they are hitting 58.4% of their shots inside the perimeter.

Every player in Missouri's rotation is making at least 43.2% of their field goals. D'Moi Hodge is averaging 14.9 PPG while making 49.5% of his field goals and 39.3% of his threes. Noah Carter is third on the Tigers in scoring with 10.7 PPG and is hitting 49.6% of his field goals, and Nick Honor is shooting over 45% from the floor and adding 40% from beyond the three-point line.

The big problem with Missouri is defense. The Tigers rank 186th nationally in defense per Ken Pomeroy, and that's a major problems. They have been crushed on the offensive glass a few times this season since Brown is the only player above 6'6 that sees regular playing time, and they rank outside the top 240 in both two-point and three-point defense. Fortunately, Arkansas is having a real "Come to Jesus moment" on offense, so Mizzou should be able to stop the Razorbacks.

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