Last Updated Feb 25, 2023, 7:33 AM
Purdue vs. Indiana Picks, Predictions, Odds
Sports Betting Expert
The No. 1 team in the nation will look to win its 10th straight game this weekend when the Purdue Boilermakers hit the road to take on the Indiana Hoosiers. This will be a tough test for Purdue, as Indiana has played well this year, and the Hoosiers could pull off the upset. They have played a number of quality teams this year and defeated Xavier, North Carolina, Illinois, and Ohio State already.
On Saturday, February 4, 2023, the Indiana Hoosiers will host the Purdue Boilermakers. This game is scheduled to tip off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN from Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington, Indiana.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview
Two of the best players in the country will look to lead their teams to victory in this game. Purdue is led by Naismith Player of the Year frontrunner Zach Edey, while Indiana has developed a superstar of its own in Trayce Jackson-Davis. Both teams are considered comfortably in the NCAA Tournament at this point and are largely battling for seeding and bragging rights since the Boilermakers and Hoosiers are bitter rivals. This is the first of two meetings between these teams, and they will face off again in West Lafayette in three weeks.
Indiana is battle tested, but Purdue has been playing at another level so far this season. The Boilermakers are extremely tough to defend because of their size, and the Hoosiers just don't have the bodies needed to throw at Edey and the bigs.
Score Prediction: Purdue 79, Indiana 72
Best Bet: Purdue +1.5
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana Hoosiers Betting Odds
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana Hoosiers Betting Resources
Date: Saturday, Feb. 4, 2023
TV-Time: ESPN, 4:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Assembly Hall
Location: Bloomington, Indiana
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana Hoosiers Betting Stats
Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)
Points Per Game (PPG), Opponents Points Per Game (OPPG)
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Analysis
Zach Edey is the odds-on favorite to win the Naismith Award by the college basketball futures odds. Edey has been a force to be reckoned with this season, as a lot of teams have moved to three-guard lineups and no longer have the size to deal with a 7'4 big man that can position himself well and get his own shot. The junior from Toronto is averaging 22.0 PPG and 13.0 RPG, and he is making 61.7% of his field goals. Edey has taken the time to improve at the free throw line too, punishing opponents that send him to the charity stripe by knocking down 73.2% of his freebies.
The loss of Jaden Ivey certainly hurt the Boilermakers, as the perimeter play isn't the same as it was last season. Fletcher Loyer is the leading scorer among the guards, averaging 12.4 PPG, but he is making just 39% of his field goals and 36.2% of his threes. Braden Smith has been extremely efficient alongside Loyer, averaging 9.5 PPG, 4.6 RPG, and 4.3 APG while making 45.5% of his field goals and 40% of his triples.
Purdue ranks second in offensive efficiency according to Ken Pomeroy. They are a marginal three-point shooting team, but they are at least above average in every other phase of the game. The Boilermakers rank third in offensive rebounding percentage as Edey is the best in the nation in this regard, and Caleb Furst is an elite rebounding talent too. Loyer and Smith both do a great job running this offense from the perimeter, and they are both elite free throw shooters too.
Indiana Hoosiers Betting Analysis
Trayce Jackson-Davis has made a significant leap in his senior season. Jackson-Davis is one of a handful of players in the country averaging a double-double with 19.5 PPG and 11.2 RPG. He is making 58.3% of his field goals and 70% of his free throws, and he has been an elite defender too with 3.1 BPG. That has helped make Indiana competitive all season, giving the Hoosiers six wins over Quad 1 and Quad 2 teams.
Indiana is one of the best three-point shooting teams in the country. The Hoosiers are averaging 38% from beyond the arc, and three starters are shooting better than 41% from downtown. Jalen Hood-Schifino is the second leading scorer on the team with 12.3 PPG, and he is sinking 41.8% of his treys. Miller Kopp is averaging 8.0 PPG while making 43.7% of his threes, and Tamar Bates is averaging 7.9 PPG and making 41.1% of his triples. Trey Galloway is a perimeter shooter to be feared when he fires away too as he is 19 of 37 from downtown.
The Hoosiers don't force a lot of turnovers on defense, but they have a very good interior defense and block a lot of shots with Jackson-Davis down low. Teams are making just 45.2% of their two-point attempts against Indiana, yet Edey is another kettle of fish to defend. While almost every other team in the country has gone small, the Boilermakers have gone big and are tough to stop in the paint.