MLB Home Run Props and Best Bets for Today, May 28th

Dylan Wilkerson Sports Betting Expert

8 minute read

These are the four best home run props for today, May 28, 2025:

• Yanier Diaz (+650)
• Aaron Judge (+196)
• Keibert Ruiz (+830)
• Josh Bell (+600)

Keep reading for more details about Wednesday’s MLB home run prop bets.

Check out the latest sportsbook promos and get in on all of the MLB action!

Be sure to check out our comprehensive MLB home run odds.

Home Runs Odds

Time	Bet365	BetMGM	FanDuel	Sleeper
	›	›	›	›
Jonathan Aranda	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+800	o0.5 +431
Jose Caballero	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1050	+1100	o0.5 +501
Jake Mangum	o0.5 +1250	o0.5 +1250	+1500
Josh Lowe	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +725	+1000	o0.5 +501
Ramon Urias			0
See All
Brandon Lowe	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +525	+520	o0.5 +403
Cedric Mullins	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +575	+560	o0.5 +371
Gary Sanchez	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+560	o0.5 +407
Jordan Westburg	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +475	+470	o0.5 +341
Kameron Misner			+1400
Starling Marte	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1050	+1100
Marcell Ozuna	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +475	+430	o0.5 +346
Francisco Alvarez	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +775	+830	o0.5 +501
Juan Soto	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+520	o0.5 +391
Ronny Mauricio	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +900	+900
Taylor Walls	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1350	+1500
Pete Alonso	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+440	o0.5 +331
Ronald Acuna	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+370	o0.5 +263
Ryan O'Hearn	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+630	o0.5 +417
Danny Jansen	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+600	o0.5 +394
Drew Waters	o0.5 +800		+1000
Colton Cowser	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+680	o0.5 +395
Junior Caminero	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +400	+450	o0.5 +297
Nick Loftin	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +775	+750	o0.5 +501
Sam Haggerty	o0.5 +1100	o0.5 +1100	+1000
Marcus Semien	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+600	o0.5 +483
Josh Jung	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+750	o0.5 +464
Corey Seager	o0.5 +390	o0.5 +400	+390	o0.5 +315
Christopher Morel	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +400	+480	o0.5 +339
Jackson Holliday	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+750	o0.5 +466
Adley Rutschman	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +575	+560	o0.5 +455
Yandy Diaz	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+500	o0.5 +344
Ramon Laureano	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+500	o0.5 +381
Dylan Carlson	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +900	+1060
Gunnar Henderson	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +400	+450	o0.5 +327
Coby Mayo	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +775	+830
Curtis Mead	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+830	o0.5 +482
Michael Harris		o0.5 +675	+800	o0.5 +464
Brett Baty			0
Ildemaro Vargas			0
George Springer	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+400	o0.5 +363
Bo Bichette	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+480	o0.5 +379
Lourdes Gurriel	o0.5 +425	o0.5 +425	+400	o0.5 +320
Randal Grichuk	o0.5 +390	o0.5 +400	+390	o0.5 +304
Alejandro Kirk	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+560	o0.5 +419
Andres Gimenez	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1350	+800
Geraldo Perdomo	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1050	+900
Vladimir Guerrero	o0.5 +425	o0.5 +425	+350	o0.5 +288
Myles Straw			+1200
Jonatan Clase			+700
Tim Tawa	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +425	+430
Alek Thomas			+700
Corbin Carroll	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +450	+400	o0.5 +284
Ketel Marte	o0.5 +300	o0.5 +290	+255	o0.5 +215
Eugenio Suarez	o0.5 +310	o0.5 +300	+265	o0.5 +220
Josh Naylor	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+560	o0.5 +418
Tyler Heineman	o0.5 +1200	o0.5 +1200	+750
Ernie Clement	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +750	+750
Davis Schneider	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +550	+520	o0.5 +431
Austin Riley	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +475	+440	o0.5 +285
Drake Baldwin	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+830
Matt Olson	o0.5 +300	o0.5 +300	+370	o0.5 +280
Brandon Nimmo	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +775	+900
Francisco Lindor	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +575	+540	o0.5 +352
Jeff McNeil	o0.5 +1250	o0.5 +1250	+1100
Tyrone Taylor	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +950	+1200	o0.5 +483
Eli White			+900
Luis Torrens	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+1100
Alex Verdugo	o0.5 +950	o0.5 +950	+1060	o0.5 +501
Will Robertson	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +850
Addison Barger	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +725	+630
Gabriel Moreno	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +550	+480	o0.5 +410
Alan Roden	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1300
Jose Herrera	o0.5 +1400	o0.5 +1450	+1000
Ozzie Albies	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +750	+750	o0.5 +501
Nick Allen	o0.5 +1800	+2200	+1700
Salvador Perez	o0.5 +350	o0.5 +360	+450	o0.5 +290
Mark Canha	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +775	+1060
Kerry Carpenter			0
Henry Davis			0
Joey Bart	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1050	+1100
Jared Triolo	o0.5 +1550	o0.5 +1550	+1300
Wenceel Perez	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+630	o0.5 +443
Riley Greene	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+540	o0.5 +388
Oneil Cruz	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +900	+680	o0.5 +483
Adam Frazier	o0.5 +1650	+2000
Billy Cook	o0.5 +1250	o0.5 +1250
Spencer Horwitz	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1300
Spencer Torkelson	o0.5 +425	o0.5 +425	+400	o0.5 +333
Alexander Canario	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +950	+1060
Nolan Schanuel	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1000	+1000
Willson Contreras	o0.5 +425	o0.5 +425	+350	o0.5 +290
Edgar Quero	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+800
Miguel Vargas	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+480	o0.5 +344
Rhys Hoskins	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +625	+450	o0.5 +377
Ivan Herrera	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+420	o0.5 +322
William Contreras	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +675	+480	o0.5 +345
Michael A. Taylor		o0.5 +875		o0.5 +501
Nolan Gorman	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+350	o0.5 +286
Alec Burleson	o0.5 +425	o0.5 +425	+430	o0.5 +322
Luis Robert	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +550	+460	o0.5 +416
Lars Nootbaar	o0.5 +425	o0.5 +425	+430	o0.5 +353
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	o0.5 +1650	+2000	+1800
Pedro Pages	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+500	o0.5 +401
Jonah Heim	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +700	+830
Gleyber Torres	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +550	+560	o0.5 +397
Ezequiel Duran	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1050	+900
Kyle Isbel	o0.5 +1500	o0.5 +1450	+870
Bobby Witt	o0.5 +350	o0.5 +340	+340	o0.5 +261
Wyatt Langford	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+450	o0.5 +371
Masyn Winn	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+500	o0.5 +425
Vinnie Pasquantino	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+520	o0.5 +374
Jake Burger	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +450	+520	o0.5 +342
Adolis Garcia	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+520	o0.5 +364
Jac Caglianone	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +875	+680
Brendan Donovan	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +550	+500	o0.5 +390
Kyle Higashioka	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+800	o0.5 +481
Maikel Garcia	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +825	+900
Nolan Arenado	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +600	+520	o0.5 +456
Bryan Reynolds			0
Ke'Bryan Hayes	o0.5 +1400	o0.5 +1350	+1100
Nick Gonzales	o0.5 +1100	o0.5 +1150	+1060
Tommy Pham	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1350	+1300
Andrew Benintendi	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +650	+520	o0.5 +446
Zach McKinstry	o0.5 +1100	o0.5 +1150	+1060
Jahmai Jones	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +825	+600	o0.5 +495
Andrew McCutchen	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +900	+830
Javier Baez	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +850	+800
Seiya Suzuki	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +550	+560	o0.5 +343
Dansby Swanson	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+560	o0.5 +406
Ian Happ	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +650	+560	o0.5 +329
Kyle Tucker	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +575	+560	o0.5 +310
Mike Tauchman	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+600	o0.5 +453
Jake Bauers	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +850	+600	o0.5 +492
Kyle Teel	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +825	+600
Michael Busch	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +700	+630	o0.5 +386
Pete Crow-Armstrong	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+630	o0.5 +343
Ryan Noda	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+750	o0.5 +501
Chase Meidroth	o0.5 +950	o0.5 +1000	+750
Jackson Chourio	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +725	+750	o0.5 +399
Christian Yelich	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+750	o0.5 +368
Carson Kelly	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+800	o0.5 +455
Caleb Durbin	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1300	+870
Victor Scott	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +950	+870
Josh Rojas	o0.5 +1200	o0.5 +1150	+900
Isaac Collins	o0.5 +1250	o0.5 +1250	+900
Matt Shaw	o0.5 +1200	o0.5 +1200	+1000
Brice Turang	o0.5 +1200	o0.5 +1250	+1060	o0.5 +501
Sal Frelick	o0.5 +1500	o0.5 +1450	+1100
Joey Ortiz	o0.5 +1500	o0.5 +1550	+1500
Nico Hoerner	o0.5 +1600	+1900	+1500
Parker Meadows	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+900
Dillon Dingler	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+680	o0.5 +407
Freddy Fermin	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+900
Jonathan India	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +675	+750	o0.5 +485
Travis d'Arnaud			+600
Jake Meyers	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+800
Christian Walker	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+400
Isaac Paredes	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +475	+430
Nick Kurtz	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +825	+680
Mauricio Dubon	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1300	+900
Victor Caratini	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +650	+630
Jacob Wilson	o0.5 +950		+900
Austin Wynns	o0.5 +1250	o0.5 +1200	+870
Luis Urias	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+750
Gio Urshela	o0.5 +1100	o0.5 +1150	+1000
Tyler Fitzgerald	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +750	+800
Daniel Schneemann	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +700	+800	o0.5 +500
Wilmer Flores	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +625	+800	o0.5 +501
Casey Schmitt	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +625	+630	o0.5 +431
Kyle Manzardo	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +475	+560	o0.5 +401
Willie MacIver	o0.5 +950	o0.5 +950
Max Schuemann	o0.5 +1100	o0.5 +1150	+900
JJ Bleday			+600
Tyler Soderstrom	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725
Jose Altuve	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +700	+560
Will Smith	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +475	+430	o0.5 +348
Gavin Sheets	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+470	o0.5 +319
Trenton Brooks	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+600	o0.5 +443
Luis Arraez	o0.5 +950	o0.5 +1000	+1200
Max Muncy	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +400	+470	o0.5 +316
Hyeseong Kim	o0.5 +1200	o0.5 +1200	+800
Fernando Tatis	o0.5 +290	o0.5 +290	+330	o0.5 +253
Michael Conforto	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +575	+630	o0.5 +444
Bryce Johnson	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1050	+800
Mookie Betts	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+520	o0.5 +340
Max Muncy	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +800	+600
Cam Smith	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +650	+680
Brent Rooker	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +450	+420
Jeremy Pena	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +700	+630
Lawrence Butler	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +750	+500
Yainer Diaz	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +550	+520
Denzel Clarke	o0.5 +950	o0.5 +1050	+1000
Jerar Encarnacion			0
Bo Naylor	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +600	+630	o0.5 +391
Josh Bell	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+520	o0.5 +361
Orlando Arcia	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+600	o0.5 +501
Ryan Ritter	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+680
James Wood	o0.5 +350	o0.5 +340	+360	o0.5 +254
CJ Abrams	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +425	+600	o0.5 +326
Brenton Doyle	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +475	+480	o0.5 +352
Luis Garcia		o0.5 +575		o0.5 +394
Brady House	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +775	+630
Braxton Fulford	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+600
Kyle Farmer	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +650	+630	o0.5 +431
Sam Hilliard	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+520	o0.5 +431
Tyler Freeman	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+680
Hunter Goodman	o0.5 +325	o0.5 +320	+370	o0.5 +247
Keibert Ruiz	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +800	+870
Nathaniel Lowe	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+600	o0.5 +389
Ryan McMahon	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+500	o0.5 +351
Thairo Estrada			0
Alex Call			+630
Michael Toglia	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+360	o0.5 +302
Jacob Young	o0.5 +1650	+2000	+1000
Andrew Knizner	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +775	+1060
Jose Ramirez	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +475	+520	o0.5 +353
Carlos Santana	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+680	o0.5 +423
Nolan Jones	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+1060
Gabriel Arias	o0.5 +950	o0.5 +1050	+900
Jung Hoo Lee	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +875	+1000	o0.5 +501
Patrick Bailey	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+1060
Rafael Devers	o0.5 +390	o0.5 +375	+370	o0.5 +259
Austin Hedges			0
Willy Adames	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+520	o0.5 +395
Steven Kwan	o0.5 +950	o0.5 +1000	+1200
Jordan Beck	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+500	o0.5 +373
Daylen Lile	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +950	+900
Angel Martinez			0
Heliot Ramos	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+450	o0.5 +334
Lane Thomas	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +750	+830	o0.5 +501
Mike Yastrzemski	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +650	+800	o0.5 +502
Manny Machado	o0.5 +275	o0.5 +275	+330	o0.5 +238
Shohei Ohtani	o0.5 +205	o0.5 +200	+210	o0.5 +161
Eric Wagaman	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +850	+900
Kyle Stowers	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +825	+900
Max Kepler	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+500	o0.5 +324
Nick Castellanos	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+600	o0.5 +501
Heriberto Hernandez	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +900	+870
Anthony Volpe	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +650	+560	o0.5 +431
Luis Rengifo	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+870
Jasson Dominguez	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+480	o0.5 +375
Bryson Stott	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+1000
Brandon Marsh	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +725	+830	o0.5 +494
Jack Winkler	o0.5 +1500	o0.5 +1450	+1060
J.T. Realmuto	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+630	o0.5 +486
Dane Myers	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +800	+1060	o0.5 +501
Edmundo Sosa	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1050	+870
Javier Sanoja	o0.5 +1600	o0.5 +1850	+1500
Agustin Ramirez	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +775	+750	o0.5 +495
Alec Bohm	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +800	+750
Otto Kemp	o0.5 +950	o0.5 +1050	+900
Austin Wells	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+400	o0.5 +287
Aaron Judge	o0.5 +205	o0.5 +210	+210	o0.5 +164
Jo Adell	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +475	+450	o0.5 +359
Oswald Peraza	o0.5 +750		+630	o0.5 +501
Paul Goldschmidt	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+560	o0.5 +401
Logan O'Hoppe	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +475	+400	o0.5 +335
Ben Rice	o0.5 +350	o0.5 +340	+340	o0.5 +289
Zach Neto	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +450	+400	o0.5 +337
Jazz Chisholm	o0.5 +390	o0.5 +400	+390	o0.5 +315
Cody Bellinger	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+340	o0.5 +304
Scott Kingery	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +775	+870	o0.5 +501
Trent Grisham	o0.5 +320	o0.5 +310	+300	o0.5 +261
Mike Trout	o0.5 +390	o0.5 +400	+340	o0.5 +266
Taylor Ward	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +475	+400	o0.5 +331
Kevin Newman	o0.5 +1500	o0.5 +1550	+1100
Giancarlo Stanton	o0.5 +275	o0.5 +275	+265	o0.5 +234
Jorge Soler	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +400	+390	o0.5 +341
Christian Moore	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+870
DJ LeMahieu	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +950	+900
Kyle Schwarber	o0.5 +290	o0.5 +290	+310	o0.5 +220
Otto Lopez	o0.5 +1200	o0.5 +1150	+1060
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	o0.5 +210	o0.5 +240	+235	o0.5 +210
Elly De La Cruz	o0.5 +320	o0.5 +310	+240	o0.5 +224
Santiago Espinal	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+900
Brooks Lee	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+540	o0.5 +375
Matt Wallner	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +360	+400	o0.5 +290
Royce Lewis			0
Jonah Bride	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +825	+900	o0.5 +501
Will Benson	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +360	+390	o0.5 +299
Elias Diaz	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+600	o0.5 +458
Brandon Lockridge	o0.5 +950		+800
Freddie Freeman	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+430	o0.5 +351
Tyler Wade			0
Tommy Edman	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +725	+600	o0.5 +428
Teoscar Hernandez	o0.5 +425	o0.5 +425	+390	o0.5 +298
Jake Cronenworth	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +550	+540	o0.5 +373
Xander Bogaerts	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +575	+600	o0.5 +444
Dalton Rushing	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +750	+870
Andy Pages	o0.5 +425	o0.5 +425	+450	o0.5 +310
Ty France	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +475	+520	o0.5 +354
Carlos Correa	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +375	+420	o0.5 +303
Jose Trevino	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+440	o0.5 +401
Harrison Bader	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+440	o0.5 +357
Spencer Steer	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+450	o0.5 +304
Matt McLain	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +400	+390	o0.5 +259
Nick Fortes	o0.5 +1250	o0.5 +1250	+1300
Trea Turner	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+560	o0.5 +389
Xavier Edwards	o0.5 +1650	+2000	+1500
Connor Norby	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +800	+800
Willi Castro	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +600	+600	o0.5 +409
Tyler Stephenson	o0.5 +325	o0.5 +300	+320	o0.5 +233
Christian Vazquez	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+630	o0.5 +415
Gavin Lux	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +575	+470	o0.5 +422
Byron Buxton	o0.5 +260	o0.5 +250	+255	o0.5 +206
Jake Fraley	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +775	+500	o0.5 +438
Trevor Larnach	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+500	o0.5 +379
Ryan Jeffers			+440
TJ Friedl	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +500	+400	o0.5 +351
Mickey Moniak			0

MLB Home Run Picks for May 28, 2025

Yanier Diaz (+650 | BetMGM) vs. Athletics (SP: Luis Severino)

Updated on 6/18/25

BetMGM

Get up to $1,500 Back in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win!

Bonus Code

VIBAM

Claim $1500

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, LA, KS, KY, MA, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY. Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA). Participant must complete the Wagering. Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. US Promotional Offers Not Available in MS, NY, ON, or PR. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions.

Diaz has a great track record against Luis Severino. In 7 plate appearances, Diaz has notched three hits, two of which have been home runs. Diaz has had success against fastballs, launching three home runs against the fastball and fastball variants. Severino has three fastballs in his arsenal, throwing them 67% of the time.

While his exit velocity and raw power stats are average, a combination of the pitching matchup and Diaz’s success against the four-seam fastball could be just enough for Yanier to go yard.

Aaron Judge (+200 | FD) vs. Los Angeles Angels (SP: Yusei Kikuchi)

You do not need me to sit here and tell you about Aaron Judge’s power. Here is what I will say: This is a good matchup for Judge, and the wind is blowing out.

You are always going to pay a steep price on Aaron Judge’s home run prop, but when you consider these factors, it may very well be worth it. Judge has hit two home runs off of Kikuchi in his career, and with 8 MPH winds out to center all it will take is some solid contact for Judge to go yard.

Keibert Ruiz (+830 | FD) vs. Seattle Mariners (SP: George Kirby)

Although it is a small sample size, Keibert Ruiz has had some success against George Kirby. In six plate appearances, Ruiz has 3 hits including one home run. He also boasts a .443 xBA against Kirby, proving that his success is not just due to a string of good luck. 

Ruiz puts himself in a great position with his plate discipline, boasting elite whiff and strikeout rates. He is in the 99th percentile in squared-up rate, indicating that when he makes contact, it is solid.

Josh Bell (+600 | FD) vs. Seattle Mariners (SP: George Kirby)

Josh Bell has struggled this season, but a favorable matchup may be just what he needs to get back on track. In 5 plate appearances against George Kirby, Josh Bell has 2 hits, one of which is a home run. 

Four of Bell’s home runs this season have come off of fastballs, a pitch type that Kirby throws 58% of the time. If Bell can jump on one early, there is no reason he can’t go yard today.

Dylan Wilkerson

Dylan Wilkerson has over 2 years of experience reporting and analyzing the sports betting industry for various sites. His portfolio includes work for SportsHandle and Action Network, in addition to VegasInsider. His favorite sports are the NFL, College Football, The PGA Tour, the LIV Tour, and Cricket. Dylan has a broad and deep understanding of various sports-related topics. More from Dylan Wilkerson