Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Tampa Bay Rays (15-10) will take on the Seattle Mariners (12-13) Friday for game two of a four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 PM ET at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington and can be viewed on Apple TV+. 

Updated on 05/10/2024

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Score Prediction

Mariners 4, Rays 3

Best Bets 

• Mariners ML (+110) at BetMGM

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Predictions

Tampa Bay swept the Oakland Athletics in a three-game road series prior to making the trip to Seattle. The Rays had their bats working with 31 hits and 19 runs over the three games. The bullpen also played well, giving up just 16 hits and eight runs throughout the series. The left-hander Josh Fleming is scheduled to take the mound on Friday. Fleming is 2-3 in five games this season with an ERA of 6.32 and has allowed 23 hits, 11 earned runs, and struck out 16 batters in 15.2 innings.  

Seattle was swept in their most recent three-game series against the Astros. The offense struggled to get anything going and were shutout in two of the games. The bullpen did not play well either, giving up 23 hits and 14 runs throughout the series. Right-handed pitcher Logan Gilbert is expected to start on Friday. Gilbert is 4-0 in five games this season with an ERA of 0.64 and has allowed 18 hits, two earned runs, and struck out 27 batters in 28.0 innings of work.  

These teams met just a few weeks ago for a three-game series in Tampa Bay. The Rays took two of the three games and the total went over just one time. I like Seattle at home in this matchup. Logan Gilbert has been on fire this season and should be able to keep the Rays runs to a minimum. Seattle’s offense has struggled, but should be able to score enough to win this one. Backing Mariners ML here.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Odds

• Rays -125
• Mariners +110
• Rays -1.5 (+135)
• Mariners +1.5 (-165)
• Over 6.5 (-120)
• Under 6.5 (+100)

MLB Odds | World Series Odds | Expert Picks

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Resources

• Date: Friday, May 6, 2022
• Matchup: AL East vs. AL West
• Stadium: T-Mobile Park
• Location: Seattle, Washington
• TV-Time: Apple TV+ - 9:40 p.m. ET

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Analysis

Prior to Thursday night’s game against Seattle, the Rays are third in the AL East and have gone 15-10 SU, 11-14 ATS, and have an O/U record of 11-14. The total has gone over in four of Tampa Bay’s last five games. Following this trend, the total has gone over in four of their last six games against an American League opponent. Tampa Bay is 3-13 SU in their last 16 games when playing on the road against Seattle. 

Tampa Bay has had solid offensive production thus far. As a team they have a batting average of .245 (7th), on base percentage of .315 (14th), slugging percentage of .394 (8th), and have scored 109 runs (13th). The right fielder Manuel Margot has been hitting the ball well with a batting average of .306 (22-72), zero home runs, and 12 RBIs. The shortstop Wander Franco has been bringing in the runs with a batting average of .302 (29-96), four home runs, and 14 RBIs.  

The Rays bullpen is pitching well for the most part this season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .211 (4th), have an ERA of 3.26 (6th), and have given up 101 runs (14th). Left-handed pitcher Josh Fleming is scheduled to take the mound on Friday. Fleming is 2-3 in five games this season with an ERA of 6.32 and has allowed 23 hits, 11 earned runs, and struck out 16 batters in 15.2 innings. In one game against the Mariners this season Fleming gave up four hits, seven runs, and struck out two batters in 2.0 innings of work. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Analysis

The Mariners are currently third in the AL West and have gone 12-13 SU, 14-11 ATS, and have an O/U record of 12-13. Seattle is 6-1 SU in their last seven games at home. Going against this trend, the Mariners are 1-7 SU in their last eight games. The total has gone over in six of Seattle’s last eight games against an American League East opponent. 

Seattle’s offense is in a bit of a slump, scoring two runs or less in six of their last eight games. As a team they have a batting average of .231 (18th), on base percentage of .317 (13th), slugging percentage of .374 (15th), and have scored 104 runs (15th). The third baseman Ty France has been the team's best hitter with a batting average of .333 (33-99), five home runs, and 21 RBIs. Shortstop J.P Crawford has also been hitting the ball well with a batting average of .364 (32-88), four home runs, and 10 RBIs.  

The Mariners bullpen has had a solid start to the season, but it's difficult to win games when the offense is not producing any runs. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .232 (9th), have an ERA of 3.48 (11th), and have given up 96 runs (9th). The right-hander Logan Gilbert is expected to start on Friday. Gilbert is 4-0 in five games this season with an ERA of 0.64 and has allowed 18 hits, two earned runs, and struck out 27 batters in 28.0 innings of work. In his one outing against Tampa Bay this season, Gilbert gave up two hits, zero runs, and struck out seven batters in 5.2 innings of work.  

Key Players to Watch

• TMB: Wander Franco - SS (Last Game: TBD)
• TMB: Randy Arozarena - OF (Last Game: TBD)
• SEA: J.P. Crawford - SS (Last Game: TBD)
• SEA: Ty France - 1B (Last Game: TBD)

Probable Pitchers

• TMB: Josh Fleming - LHP (2-3, 6.32 ERA, 16 K, 1.85 WHIP)
• SEA: Logan Gilbert - RHP (4-0, 0.64 ERA, 27 K, 0.93 WHIP)

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Conclusion

The Mariners have struggled as of late, but Logan Gilbert should set them up for success in this one. Tampa bay has won six of their last eight games, but the offensive production has been limited with three runs or less scored in five of those games. I Expect the Rays to dominate most of this series, but do like the Mariners in game two. Backing Seattle ML here.  

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