Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Houston Astros (23-12) will take on the Boston Red Sox (13-21) Tuesday for the second-game of a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts and can be viewed on TBS.  

Score Prediction

Houston 5, Boston 4  

Best Bets 

• Astros (-105) at BetMGM

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Predictions

The Houston Astros enter this matchup tied with the LA Angels for first place of the AL West. The Astros have been one of the hottest teams in baseball, winning 12 of their last 13 games. The Astros offensive production has been solid as of late, scoring five or more runs in seven straight games. The bullpen has been great all season and have held opponents to three runs or less in 14 of their last 15 games. Right-handed pitcher Jose Urquidy is scheduled to start Tuesday. Urquidy is 2-1 in six games this season with an ERA of 4.40 and has given up 34 hits, 14 earned runs, and struck out 19 batters in 28.2 innings.  

Boston is currently last in the AL East standings, 12 games behind the first place Yankees. The Red Sox have struggled all season and have lost seven of their last 10 games. Boston’s offense has been stagnant  and are averaging just 3.7 runs per game. The bullpen has played just as poorly, but have managed to hold opponents to three runs or less in five of their last seven games. The right-hander Nathan Eovaldi is expected to take the mound Tuesday. Eovaldi is 1-1 in seven games this season with an ERA of 3.15 and has given up 36 hits, 14 earned runs, and struck out 42 batters in 40.0 innings.  

I like the value in the Astros moneyLine in this matchup. Urquidy has been solid in his last two starts, allowing a combined nine hits and one run in 9.0 innings. The Red Sox just have not been consistent enough this season to bet them here as favorites. Backing the red-hot Astros in this one.

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Odds

• Astros -105
• Red Sox -115
• Astros -1.5 (+150)
• Red Sox +1.5 (-185)
• Over 9 (+100)
• Under 9 (-120)

MLB Odds | World Series Odds | Expert Picks

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Resources

• Date: Tuesday, May 17, 2022
• Matchup: AL West vs. AL East
• Stadium: Fenway Park
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• TV-Time: TBS - 7:10 p.m. ET

Houston Astros Betting Analysis

Prior to the results of Monday night’s game, the Astros are 23-12 SU, 19-16 ATS, and have an O/U record of 10-24-1. The total has gone under in 15 of Houston’s last 20 games. Going against this trend, the total has gone over in the Astro’s last five games when playing on the road against Boston. Houston is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games against Boston and 14-8 SU on the road this season.  

Houston’s offense ranks amongst the middle of the league. As a team the Astros have a batting average of .228 (20th), on base percentage of .308 (17th), slugging percentage of .406 (6th), and have scored 152 runs (12th). The Left fielder Yordan Alvarez is hitting the ball well with a batting average of .257 (28-109), 11 home runs, and 21 RBIs. Second baseman Jose Altuve is having another productive season with a batting average of .259 (21-81), seven home runs, and 11 RBIs.  

The Astro’s bullpen has been one of the best in the league this season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .218 (6th), have an ERA of 2.90 (3rd), and have given up 112 runs (3rd). Right-handed pitcher Jose Urquidy is scheduled to start Tuesday. Urquidy is 2-1 in six games this season with an ERA of 4.40 and has given up 34 hits, 14 earned runs, and struck out 19 batters in 28.2 innings. In his one outing against Boston last season, Urquidy struck out nine batters in 6.0 innings of work while allowing three hits and one earned run.  

Boston Red Sox Betting Analysis

The Red Sox continue to struggle this season and have gone 13-21 SU, 17-17 ATS, and have an O/U record of 10-20-4. The total has gone over in seven of the Red Sox last eight games when playing Houston. Boston is 6-14 SU in their last 20 games. Following this trend, the Red Sox are 0-5 SU in their last five home games and 4-9 SU at home this season.  

Boston’s offense has scored two runs or less in 12 games this season. As a team the Red Sox have a batting average of .234 (16th), on base percentage of .289 (26th), slugging percentage of .352 (23rd), and have scored 128 runs (23rd). The third baseman Rafael Devers has been the team's best hitter with a batting average of .324 (46-142), six home runs, and 19 RBIs. Shortstop Xander Bogaerts is also contributing with a batting average of .344 (44-128), two home runs, and 13 RBIs.  

The Red Sox bullpen has not been great by any means, but have been a bit better than the offense. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .221 (9th), have an ERA of 3.72 (15th), and have given up 139 runs (11th). The right-hander Nathan Eovaldi is expected to take the mound Tuesday. Eovaldi is 1-1 in seven games this season with an ERA of 3.15 and has given up 36 hits, 14 earned runs, and struck out 42 batters in 40.0 innings. In his one outing against Houston last season, Eovaldi struck out five batters in 5.2 innings while allowing 11 hits and five earned runs. 

Key Players to Watch

• HOU: Yordan Alvarez - DH (Last Game: TBD)
• HOU: Alex Bregman - 3B (Last Game: TBD)
• BOS: Rafael Devers - 3B (Last Game: TBD)
• BOS: Xander Bogaerts - SS (Last Game: TBD)

Probable Pitchers

• HOU: Jose Urquidy - RHP (2-1, 4.40 ERA, 19 K, 1.33 WHIP)
• BOS: Nathan Eovaldi - RHP (1-1, 3.15 ERA, 42 K, 1.08 WHIP)

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Conclusion

Prior to the results of game one of this series, the Red Sox have lost seven of their last 10 games while the Astros have won 12 of their last 13. Urquidy is not the Astros best pitcher, but there is a lot of value with them as underdogs here. Boston has won just four of 13 games at home this season and that trend should continue on Tuesday. Backing Houston moneyline in this matchup.  

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