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Last Updated Jul 07, 2022, 11:41 AM

MLB Player Props for Wednesday, July 6

Prop betting expert Stuart Durst gives his top prop bets to consider for MLB action on Wednesday, July 6. Check out his top play for the diamond action below.

  • Aaron Nola (PHI) To Record a Win (-112)
  • Luis Severino (NYY) Over 5.5 Strikeouts/Freddie Freeman (LAD) Over 0.5 Hits (-110)

Aaron Nola (PHI) To Record a Win (-112)

This is normally not my go to category, but i'll take a chance for a half unit here. The main problem I have with this market is that you're gambling on a pitcher making it 5 innings to officially record a win, before even touching on anything else. For Nola, that hasn't been a problem this year. Nola has gone 7+ innings in five straight starts, including an 8 inning-4 hit outing against the Nationals in June.

The Phillies are coming off an 11-0 outing against the Nationals yesterday, and Nola is 3-1 at home this season. While Josiah Gray pitching an amazing outing is really our biggest barrier here, I’m going to trust the Phillies slugging to take the fly ball pitcher deep in these conditions tonight. Nationals are likely going to be without franchise cornerstone Juan Soto tonight, and they have been pathetic without him this season. 

Luis Severino (NYY) Over 5.5 Strikeouts/Freddie Freeman (LAD) Over 0.5 Hits (-110)

Severino is one of the best strikeout guys in baseball, and gets a great matchup vs the Pirates today. Sevy is coming into this game with 7+ strikeouts in seven of his last nine games, with a miss against a tough Astros team last outing. Despite some tougher matchups recently, Sevy has still recorded 91 strikeouts through 78 innings this season. He’s now close to 100 pitches an outing and gets a Pirates team that is 2nd in K% vs RHP over the last 30 days. 

The Freddie Freeman matchup is simple, Freeman is currently hitting .302 on the season, .311 vs right handed pitching, and has crushed Urena in his career. Urena has always struggled against LHB in his career, and Freeman is 13-31 (.419) with 4 HR’s and 5 XBHs against him. If you're wondering how Urena has been doing recently, he’s made five starts in AAA this season with an ERA of 7.00, should be a good day for Freddie.

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