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MLB Prop Bets for Thursday, July 7

Stuart Durst
Stuart Durst Sports Betting Expert
1 minute read

Prop betting expert Stuart Durst gives his top prop bets to consider for MLB action on Thursday, July 7. Check out his top play for the diamond action below.

  • Phillies F5 Team Total Over 2.5 Runs (-145)
  • Kyle Schwarber (PHI) Over 1.5 Total Bases/Josh Bell (WAS) Over 1.5 Total Bases (+338)

Phillies F5 Team Total Over 2.5 Runs (-145)

I wrote about this exact play on 6/17 when Adon was called up for a spot start against the Phillies. He’s been in the minors since, but with Jackson Tetreault on the IL, Adon will once again be needed for a start. On June 17th, Adon actually had one of his more positive starts, but still allowed 4 ER’s in 5 innings pitched. He’s currently 1-11 on the season, with a 6.97 ERA, and 3+ runs allowed in 11 of 13 starts this season. Adon is bottom 1% in Whiff% percentage this year, 5% percentile chase rate, and 4% percentile xERA, you really can't be missing bats against a hot Philipalphia offense. The daily stadium report tells us the conditions are ripe for homers today, and whether Adon gets killed by the longball, or walks, I think it's going to be a tough day for him.

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) Over 1.5 Total Bases/Josh Bell (WAS) Over 1.5 Total Bases (+338)

If we think there's gonna be some offense in this game, then I’m definitely willing to sprinkle on two of the best hitters in this game. I don't think I need to tell you guys about Schwarber, the home run machine has been chasing Aaron Judge for the title of home run king, and has four bombs through 2 games in this series vs Washington. The odds have a Schwarber HR down to just +205, but I like total bases as a bit of a safer play here. Josh Bell also has had good success against Falter going 3-4 with 2 HR’s. Bell has been the Nationals most dependable player this season, and I like this power from the right side today. The total is telling us there is going to be offense today, let's take advantage of that.

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Stuart Durst

Stuart Durst

Stuart Durst, also known as @MonotoneFootbal on Twitter, is a writer and sports bettor specializing in the NFL, NBA and CFB. When he’s not writing for OddsChecker, he enjoys playing basketball and talking player props with his community. More from Stuart Durst
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