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Last Updated Jul 11, 2022, 06:13 PM

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Picks, Predictions, Odds

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Analysis

The Red Sox visit the Rays at Tropicana Field on Monday, July 11, 2022 for the first of a four-game series.

Boston remains 14 games behind the New York Yankees and is in second place in the American League East with a 47-39 record, despite going 24-19 away from Fenway Park. The Rays enter Monday in third place in the American League East standings with a record of 45-40 overall and 25-17 at home, which positions them 15.5 games back in the division.

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Prediction

Boston is currently second in the AL East standings, 14.0 games behind the New York Yankees for first place. The Red Sox went 2-2 SU in their most recent series with the Yankees and have lost six of their last 10 games. Boston struggled against the Yankees in games one and two but bounced back nicely by taking games three and four. The offense has been a bit down as of late, but have solid throughout the season, averaging 4.76 runs per game. (4th) Their bullpen has also been playing well this season with a team ERA of 3.81 (14th). The right-hander Bryan Bello (0-1, 9.0 ERA) is expected to start for the Red Sox Monday.  

The Rays enter this matchup third in the AL East standings, 15 and a half games behind the New York Yankees for first place. Tampa Bay was embarrassed over the weekend as they were swept by the Cincinnati Reds in a three-game series and are 5-5 SU over their last 10 games. Their bullpen has been solid this season with a team ERA of 3.35 (4th). The Rays offense has been extremely inconsistent on the season and rank 21st in batting average (.238), 23rd in on base percentage of (.304) 22nd in slugging percentage (.380), and 24th in total runs scored (24th). Designated hitter Harold Ramirez has been one of their few consistent hitters with a batting average of .324 (71-219), four home runs, and 32 RBIs.  

I am not confident enough in either team to pick a side in this matchup. However, I do expect the total to go over. Red Sox starting pitcher Bryan Bello has pitched in just one game this season and it happened to be against the Rays. Bello struck out two batters in 4.0 innings while giving up six hits and four runs. Regardless of who the Rays send to the mound, Tampa Bay’s bullpen has struggled and even gave up 17 total runs to the Reds in a three-game series over the weekend. Back the over here as runs should be scored.  

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4
Best Bet: Over 7.5 Runs

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Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Odds

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Resources

  • Date: Monday, July 11, 2022
  • Matchup: AL East
  • Venue: Tropicana Field
  • Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
  • Time-TV: 7:10 p.m. ET – MLB.tv

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays – Current Form

The Red Sox lost against the Cubs last Sunday 2-1, but were able to at least split the series against the Yankees last Sunday. However, Boston was the weakest on Friday, when the New York Yankees scored 12 runs in game two of a four-contest series against the Yankees. The Rays won 3-1 against the Blue Jays last Sunday, but lost 1-3 to the Reds in their next game on Sunday. Against the Cincinnati Reds, Tampa Bay only managed one run in the first game of the series on Friday.

They dominated the Toronto Blue Jays with 11 runs on Saturday, in the third of a four-game series.

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays – Pitching Matchup

Boston: Brayan Bello (0-1, 9.00 ERA)

Brayan Bello takes the mound in the series opener as he makes his first start of the season for the Red Sox in this contest. He comes in 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA, a 2.25 WHIP, three walks and two strikeouts over four innings of work on the year. The Red Sox were no match for the Tampa Bay Rays, losing 1-7 on July 6, 2022 behind Bello’s losing start with four innings of work. The 23-year-old yielded four runs on six hits, while striking out two and issuing three walks. This is the first start of the season on the road for Bello.

Tampa Bay: Matt Wisler (2-3, 2.58 ERA)

Tampa Bay’ right-hander Matt Wisler takes the mound for his fourth start of the season. Wisler looks to improve on a 2-3 record and 2.58 ERA in 38.1 innings, while striking out 31, walking 14 batters, and posting a 1.10 WHIP. In Matt Wisler’s last start, the Rays were no match for the Toronto Blue Jays, losing 4-1 on June 30, 2022. The 29-year-old earned no decision in this game, having tossed one inning, while striking out one and issuing one walk. In one home starts this season, Wisler has compiled a 2-1 record in 19.2 innings, while striking out 18, walking four batters, and putting together a 2.75 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP.

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays – Series History

In the 23 encounters between this pair during the 2021 campaign, the Rays posted a winning 12-11 mark. In the first six games of this season, Tampa Bay has come away with wins four times.

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