Last Updated Aug 13, 2022, 10:27 AM

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Picks, Predictions, Odds

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Analysis

The Yankees will visit the Red Sox at Fenway Park for the first of a three-game set on Friday, August 12, 2022.

The Yankees currently lead the American League East with a record of 71-41. However, New York has struggled away from Yankee Stadium, highlighted by their 30-26 mark on the road. Boston is currently positioned fifth in the American League East standings with records of 55-58 overall and 27-29 at home, putting the Red Sox 16.5 games back for the division lead.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Prediction

New York enters this matchup atop the AL East standings, 10.0 games ahead of the second place Toronto Blue Jays. The Yankees have been in a bit of a slump as of late, losing two of three to the Mariners in their most recent series and losing eight of their last 10 games. While this may be alarming to some teams, New York has too much talent for them not to bounce back sooner than later. The offense ranks third in on base percentage (.330), second in slugging percentage (.442), and first in total runs scored (1st). The Yankees bullpen has been just as good with a team ERA of 3.30 (3rd) and a WHIP of 1.11 (3rd). The right-hander Domingo German (1-2, 5.09 ERA) is scheduled to start for New York on Friday.  

Boston is currently last in the AL East standings, 16.5 games behind the New York Yankees for first place. The Red Sox managed a win over the Orioles on Thursday but have not been playing good baseball this season and have lost six of their last 10 games. The offense has been mediocre throughout the season with a batting average of .253 (7th), on base percentage of on base percentage of .314 (16th), slugging percentage of .410 (12th), and 508 total runs scored (10th). Boston’s bullpen has been their biggest downfall with a team ERA of 4.44 (25th) and WHIP of 1.33 (24th). Right-handed pitcher Nathan Eovaldi (5-3, 4.23 ERA) is expected to take the mound Friday.  

The Yankees are 6-4 SU against the Red Sox this season. I think that trend continues and New York wins game one of this series. German has seen limited action this season, which is a bit concerning, but he has improved in every one of his five starts and most recently held the Cardinals to four hits and one run in 5.0 innings of work. Backing the Yankees moneyline here as I expect New York to get things right in this series. 

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
Best Bet: Yankees ML (-115)

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Odds

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Resources

  • Date: Friday, August 12, 2022
  • Matchup: AL East
  • Venue: Fenway Park
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Time-TV: 7:10 p.m. ET – MLB Network

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox – Current Form

The first-place Yankees have now lost back-to-back series against the Cardinals and the Mariners. Their worst game was on Tuesday, when the New York Yankees failed to score a single run against the Seattle Mariners in the second contest of a three-game series. Their worst performance in the last six games was allowing 12 runs on Sunday, in the third match of the series played against the St. Louis Cardinals. Boston fell to the Atlanta Braves 2-0, but captured its series against the Orioles on Thursday. Boston allowed only three runs on Thursday against the Orioles.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox – Pitching Matchup

New York: Domingo Germán (1-2, 5.09 ERA)

New York’s right-hander Domingo Germán takes the mound for his fourth start of the season. Germán looks to improve on a 1-2 record and 5.09 ERA in 17.2 innings, while striking out 13, walking six batters, and posting a 1.53 WHIP. Germán got assigned the loss in his last start, which came on the road against the St. Louis Cardinals on August 6, 2022. He threw five innings, allowing one run on four hits and three strikeouts in an eventual 1-0 Yankees defeat. Germán is 0-2 with a 5.68 ERA across this season’s three starts on the road, which includes three walks, 12 strikeouts, and a 1.42 WHIP over 12.2 innings of action.

Boston: Nathan Eovaldi (5-3, 4.23 ERA)

Boston ace Nathan Eovaldi toes the rubber for his 17th start of the season as he looks to improve on a 5-3 mark and 4.23 ERA. The right-hander has put together a 1.23 WHIP to go along with 93 strikeouts and 16 walks in 93.2 innings of work. In Nathan Eovaldi’s last start, the Red Sox were no match for the Kansas City Royals, losing 5-4 on August 6, 2022. The 32-year-old earned no decision in this game, having tossed six innings and yielded four runs on seven hits. Eovaldi owns a 1-3 home record this season in seven starts at Fenway Park. In those outings, he has posted a 6.81 ERA, a 1.60 WHIP, eight walks, and 31 strikeouts in 35.2 innings of work.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox – Series History

Boston had a great 2021 season in this matchup, tallying a 11-9 mark. For the sixth time in 10 meetings this season, the Yankees defeated the Red Sox.

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