Last Updated Aug 18, 2022, 4:27 PM
MLB Player Props for Wednesday, August 17
Prop Betting Expert
Prop betting expert Stuart Durst gives his top prop bets to consider for MLB action on Wednesday, August 17. Check out his top play for the diamond action below.
- Francisco Lindor (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) Over 0.5 Hits (+102)
Francisco Lindor (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) Over 0.5 Hits (+102)
Franscio Lindor is not someone I often bet, but he finds himself in a great spot today. Lindor or squaring off against long-time mediocre pitcher Jake Odorizzi. Since making his debut for Atlanta, he hasn't made it to the 5th inning, allowing 5 runs on 14 hits over 2 starts.
Today we get Lindor in a favorable spot, batting .278 vs RHP and having one of his best months of the season. Lindor is batting .356 over his last 30 days, with 1+ hit in 25 of those 30 games. He has a great history against Odorizzi, batting .393 (11-28) with 2 HR’s and 4 Doubles. With the Mets not playing their best baseball recently, I’m expecting guys like Lindor, Alonso, and Nimmo to step up in today's matchup.
Next up we are going to a guy we bet quite often, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Guerrero has been one of the most profitable guys in baseball during the second half of the season, and finds himself in a great spot against Baltimore here. Vlad has been good against his division all year and that definitely doesn't change against the Orioles hitting .400 and slugging .771 so far.
While he has a limited sample size vs Austin Voth, he’s 1-4 with a home run in their brief matchup. Voth has been very solid since joining the Orioles, but still ranks out 24th% in xBA and is worse on the road. Voth is allowed a .284 Road OBA vs RHH, and without that long fence out in right field we could see a couple of these fly balls go for homers. Vlad Jr has 1+ hit in 24 of his last 25 games and is batting .356/.292/.281 vs Voth’s top 3 pitches, I think he takes care of business early today.
If you see this after the early slate starts then I would recommend Luis Robert as a good replacement. Need Lineup confirmation, but he’s one of the best hitters in baseball vs LHP and has a good history against Framber.