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Last Updated Aug 25, 2022, 6:59 PM

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Picks, Predictions, Odds

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Analysis

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox play the third of a three-game series on Thursday, August 25th at Fenway Park.

The Blue Jays are 67-55 overall and 31-30 on the road, which positions them third in the American League East standings, trailing the the division leading Yankees by eight games. The Red Sox are 16 games back in the American League East standings with records of 60-64 overall and 29-32 at home this season.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Prediction

Toronto enters this matchup third in the AL East standings, eight games behind the New York Yankees for first place. Prior to the start of this series, the Blue Jays won three of four against the Yankees and are 6-4 SU over their last 10 games including 2-0 SU in this series. Despite being third in their division, Toronto is in a good position as they currently hold the second wild card spot in the AL division. The offense has been extremely productive throughout the season with a batting average of .262 (2nd), on base percentage of .324 (4th), slugging percentage of .430 (4th) and have scored 576 total runs (6th). Their bullpen has been quite as successful but still solid with a WHIP of 1.23 (11th) and team ERA of 3.84 (14th). The right-hander Kevin Gausman (9-9 SU, 2.99 ERA) is expected to start Thursday.  

Boston is currently dead last in the AL East standings, 16.0 behind the New York Yankees for first place. The Red Sox have struggled since returning from the All-Star break with a SU record of 12-19. Even the Wild Card race is slipping away from Boston as they find themselves seven games behind the Mariners for the third Wild Card spot. Their offense has done a respectable job this season with a batting average of .254 (7th), on base percentage of .315 (14th), slugging percentage of .406 (11th) and have scored 553 total runs (11th). The Red Sox’s bullpen has been their biggest weakness throughout the season with a WHIP of 1.32 (24th) and team ERA of 4.46 (25th). Right-handed pitcher Kutter Crawford (3-5, 5.14 ERA) is scheduled to take the mound Thursday.  

I like the Blue Jays to take game three of this series. Crawford has not been good for the Red Sox and gave up 11 hits and nine runs in his most recent outing against Baltimore. I expect Toronto’s high-powered offense to see similar success in this matchup. Backing Toronto runline here as there is not much value in playing the moneyline. 

Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 3
Best Bet: Blue Jays -1.5 (-110)

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Odds

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Resources

  • Date: Thursday, August 25, 2022
  • Matchup: AL East
  • Venue: Fenway Park
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Time-TV: 7:10 p.m. ET – MLB Network

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox – Current Form

The Blue Jays have lost two of their last three series, as Toronto dropped four-of-six matchups against the Orioles and Guardians before topping the Yankees in three-of-four contests in their set prior to Boston. On the other hand, the Red Sox have won two of their last three series, with Boston posting wins in four-of-six matchups against the Yankees and Pirates; and losses in two-of-three contests against the Orioles.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox – Pitching Matchup

Toronto: Kevin Gausman (9-9, 2.99 ERA)

Blue Jays' RHP Kevin Gausman toes the rubber for his 23rd start of the season as he looks to improve on a 9-9 mark and 2.99 ERA. The right-hander has put together a 1.24 WHIP to go along with 149 strikeouts and 22 walks in 129.1 innings of work. The 31-year-old right-hander lifted Toronto to win on the road over the New York Yankees on August 19th. Gausman tossed seven innings in the 0-4 win by the New York Yankees, in that game he had four hits with seven strikeouts and one walk. Gausman owns a 6-3 road record this season in 11 starts away from Rogers Centre. In those away outings, he has posted a 1.65 ERA, a 0.99 WHIP, 11 walks, and 81 strikeouts in 71 innings of work.

Boston: Kutter Crawford (3-5, 5.14 ERA)

Kutter Crawford is on the hill for the Red Sox in this contest as he makes his 10th start of the season hoping to build some positive momentum. He comes in 3-5 with a 5.14 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, 23 walks and 67 strikeouts over 68.1 innings of work this season. Boston’s 26-year-old right-hander lost his last start, which came on the road against the Baltimore Orioles August 19th. He threw 3.2 innings, allowing nine runs on 11 hits and two strikeouts in a 15-10 Red Sox loss. In five home starts this season, Crawford has compiled a 1-2 record in 35.1 innings, while striking out 32, walking 13 batters, and putting together a 4.08 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox – Series History

Boston owned a slight edge in last year's season series, going 10-9 against the Blue Jays. However, the Blue Jays are 12-3 against Boston this season.

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