Last Updated Sep 14, 2022, 9:23 AM

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Picks, Predictions, Odds

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Analysis

The Red Sox host the Yankees in the first contest of a two-game set at Fenway Park on Tuesday, September 13, 2022.

The Yankees currently pace the American League East with a record of 85-56, despite owning a lackluster 35-34 record away from Yankee Stadium on the year. Boston falls fifth in the American League East standings with a record of 69-72 overall and 35-34 at home, which puts them 16 games back for the division lead.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Prediction

The Yankees enter this matchup first in the AL East standings with a five and a half game lead over the Toronto Blue Jays. New York most recently went 2-1 SU in a series with the Tampa Bay Rays and have won six of their last 10 games. This may be the best 10 game stretch this team has seen since returning from the All-Star break as the offense and bullpen look to be getting things back on track. Despite the Yankees struggles since returning from the break, they remain one of the best hitting teams in the league with a batting average of .239 (20th), on base percentage of .323 (5th), slugging percentage of .423 (6th) and have scored 697 total runs (2nd). The bullpen also stands as one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.11 (3rd) and team ERA of 3.28 (3rd). The right-hander Gerrit Cole (11-7, 3.20 ERA) is expected to start for the Yankees on Tuesday.  

With just 22 games remaining the Red Sox have been all but eliminated from the playoffs as they sit 16.0 games behind the Yankees for the division race and 10.0 games behind the Blue Jays in the AL Wild Card race. Boston won two of three games in their most recent series against Baltimore and have won six of their last 10 games. The offense has been solid throughout the entire season with a batting average of .260 (4th), on base percentage of .321 (6th), slugging percentage of .411 (9th), and 644 total runs scored (8th). It has been the Red Sox bullpen that has held them back this season with a WHIP of 1.33 (22nd) and team ERA of 4.47 (25th). Right-handed pitcher Nick Pivetta (9-11, 4.29 ERA) is scheduled to start for Boston.  

The Yankees are 3-4 SU at Fenway Park this season. Cole also struggled in his one outing in Boston this season, giving up five hits and five runs in 6.0 innings of work. On the other hand, Pivetta has not pitched well against the Yankees this season, giving up a combined 17 runs in three starts. I’ll back the Yankees runline in this matchup as I think the Yankees offense will see success against Pivetta.  

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 3
Best Bet: Yankees -1.5 (+105)

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Odds

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Resources

  • Date: Tuesday, September 13, 2022
  • Matchup: AL East
  • Venue: Fenway Park
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Time-TV: 7:10 p.m. ET – TBS

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox – Current Form

New York continues to thrive, winning five out of their last seven games against the Twins and the Rays. They limited the Minnesota Twins to just one run in the third contest of the series on Wednesday.

They dominated the Tampa Bay Rays with 10 runs on Saturday, in the second of a three-game series. The Red Sox were tripped up by the Tampa Bay Rays last Wednesday, but grabbed two of three games last Sunday against the Orioles. Boston didn’t allow the Orioles any runs on Sunday in the third of three contests.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox – Pitching Matchup

New York: Gerrit Cole (11-7, 3.20 ERA)

The Yankees’ right-hander Gerrit Cole owns a 11-7 record and 3.20 ERA in his 28th start of the season. Cole also posted a 1.02 WHIP, while striking out 218 and walking 42 batters in 171.1 innings this season. Cole added another win to his record in his most recent start against the Minnesota Twins, as New York’s right-hander surrendered one run on five hits, two walks, and 14 strikeouts during the Yankees’ 7-1 home loss on September 7, 2022. Cole is 6-2 with a 3.43 ERA across this season’s 13 starts on the road, which includes 27 walks, 90 strikeouts, and a 1.13 WHIP over 76 innings of action.

Boston: Nick Pivetta (9-11, 4.29 ERA)

Nick Pivetta is on the hill for the Red Sox in this contest as he makes his 28th start of the season hoping to build some positive momentum. He comes in 9-11 with a 4.29 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, 59 walks and 148 strikeouts over 155.1 innings of work this season. In 14 home starts this season, Pivetta has compiled a 4-6 record in 75.2 innings, while striking out 70, walking 31 batters, and putting together a 4.76 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox – Series History

The 2021 campaign was dominated by the Red Sox, who went 11-9 in this season's series. New York has captured seven of 13 meetings with Boston this season.

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