Last Updated Sep 22, 2022, 6:03 PM

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Picks, Predictions, Odds

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Betting Analysis

The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees play the first of a four-game series on Thursday, September 22, 2022 at the Yankee Stadium.

Boston is sitting in the fifth place of the American League East standings at 72-76, while owning a 35-39 record away from Fenway Park. The Red Sox are also 18 games behind the New York Yankees for first place in the division. The Yankees currently lead the American League East with a record of 90-58 overall and 52-22 at home.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Betting Prediction

With just 14 games left on their scheduled the Boston Red Sox playoff hopes are dwindling as they are 18.0 games behind the Yankees for lead of the division and nine and a half games behind the Tampa Bay Rays for the third AL Wild Card spot. Boston most recently went 1-1 SU in a short two game series with the Reds and are 5-5 SU over their last 10 games. Despite being four games under .500, Boston’s offense has played well throughout the season with a batting average of .259 (4th), on base percentage of .321 (6th), slugging percentage of .410 (9th) and have scored 674 total runs (10th). Their bullpen has been the biggest let down for the Red Sox this season with a WHIP of 1.33 (23rd) and team ERA of 4.45 (24th). The right-hander Michael Wacha (11-1, 2.61 ERA) is scheduled to start for Boston on Thursday.  

The New York Yankees enter this matchup atop the AL East standings with a six-game lead over the second place Toronto Blue Jays. After a bit of poor play following the All-Star break, the Yankees appear to be back. They swept the Pirates in their most recent two game series and have won seven of their last 10 games. The offense continues to rank among the best in the league with a batting average of .241 (17th), on base percentage of .324 (5th), slugging percentage of .429 (4th) and have scored 751 total runs (2nd). New York’s bullpen also ranks in the top of the league with a WHIP of 1.12 (3rd) and team ERA of 3.36 (3rd). The right-hander Jameson Taillon (13-5, 4.04 ERA) is expected to start Thursday.  

I like the value in the Red Sox here with Michael Wacha taking the mound. Wacha has pitched in one game against the Yankees this season and allowed just two hits and zero runs in 7.0 innings of work. Combine that with their productive offense and it will be the best chance Boston has to win in this series. Backing the Red Sox here as there is solid value with Wacha taking the mound.  

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Yankees 3
Best Bet: Red Sox ML (+140)

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Betting Odds

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Betting Resources

  • Date: Thursday, September 22, 2022
  • Matchup: AL East
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium
  • Location: New York, New York
  • Time-TV: 7:15 p.m. ET – FOX

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees – Current Form

The Red Sox won against the Royals last Sunday with 2-1 and then split the series with the Reds last Wednesday. The Red Sox were the weakest on Saturday, when they failed at completing even one single run game two of a three-contest series against the Royals. The Yankees lost against the Brewers last Sunday 2-1, but climbed back up by winning against the Pirates last Wednesday. Against the Milwaukee Brewers, New York only managed one run in the second game of the series on Saturday.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees – Pitching Matchup

Boston: Michael Wacha (11-1, 2.60 ERA)

The Red Sox’ right-hander Michael Wacha owns a 11-1 record and 2.60 ERA in his 20th start of the season. Wacha also posted a 1.03 WHIP, while striking out 92 and walking 26 batters in 114 innings this season. In Michael Wacha’s last start, the Red Sox were no match for the Kansas City Royals, losing 2-1 on September 16, 2022. The 31-year-old earned no decision in this game, having tossed seven innings and yielded one run on seven hits, while striking out four. In 11 road starts this season, Wacha has compiled a 6-0 record in 61.2 innings, while striking out 48, walking 14 batters, and putting together a 3.36 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP.

New York: Jameson Taillon (12-5, 4.04 ERA)

New York’ right-hander Jameson Taillon takes the mound for his 29th start of the season. Taillon looks to improve on a 12-5 record and 4.04 ERA in 158 innings, while striking out 132, walking 29 batters, and posting a 1.13 WHIP. Taillon got assigned the loss in his last start, which came on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers on September 17, 2022. He threw five innings, allowing four runs on four hits with two walks and four strikeouts in an eventual 4-1 the Yankees defeat. In 15 home starts this season, Taillon has compiled a 6-2 record in 84.2 innings, while striking out 80, walking 15 batters, and putting together a 3.72 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees – Series History

The Red Sox notched a 11-9 mark in this series during the 2021 campaign. The Yankees continued their dominance of the Red Sox this season by claiming a ninth win in 15 matchups.

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