Last Updated Oct 03, 2022, 6:35 PM

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Picks, Predictions, Odds

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Analysis

The Brewers host the Diamondbacks in the first contest of a three-game set at American Family Field on Monday, October 3, 2022.

Arizona remains 37 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers and is in fourth place in the National League West with a 73-86 record, despite going 33-45 away from Chase Field. The Brewers rank second in the National League Central with records of 84-75 overall and 44-34 at home, which trails the division leading Cardinals by eight games for the division lead.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Resources

Arizona enters this matchup with no chance of making the playoffs this season. However, they do have the opportunity to spoil the Brewers playoff hopes. The Diamondbacks have been struggling over their last 25 games with an 8-17 SU record, most recently going 1-2 SU in a series with the Giants. The offense never had any sort of consistency this season with a batting average of .231 (25th), on base percentage of .305 (23rd), slugging percentage of .385 (20th) and have scored 693 total ruins (13th). The bullpen has not produced either with a WHIP of 1.29 (20th) and team ERA of 4.28 (23rd). The southpaw Tommy Henry (3-4, 5.98 ERA) is scheduled to start on Monday.  

The Brewers are currently two games behind the Phillies for the last NL Wild Card spot. Their only option is to beat the Diamondbacks in this series and hope Philadelphia comes up empty in their next couple of games. Milwaukee has been mediocre over their last 25 games with a 13-12 SU record, most recently going 1-3 SU in a series with the Marlins. Milwaukee’s offense has struggled over that stretch but have been solid throughout the season with a batting average of .235 (22nd), on base percentage of .316 (13th), slugging percentage of .408 (10th) and have scored 714 total runs (10th). The bullpen has not been bad either with a WHIP of 1.22 (10th) and team ERA of 3.85 (13th). The right hander Brandon Woodruff (13-4, 3.05 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Brewers Monday.  

I like Milwaukee to take game-one of this series as they’ll have the pitching advantage with Woodruff taking the mound. That and they should be motivated with these last three games being must wins for the Brewers. No value in the moneyline so will be backing the Brewers runline here.  

Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Diamondbacks 2
Best Bet: Brewers -1.5 (-105)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Resources

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Resources

  • Date: Monday, October 3, 2022
  • Matchup: NL West vs. NL Central
  • Venue: American Family Field
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Time-TV: 7:40 p.m. ET – MLB.tv
  • Expert Picks

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Current Form

The Diamondbacks grabbed one and lost one of two games last Wednesday against the Houston Astros, but were tripped up by the Giants last Sunday. Their best performance was on Wednesday, when they succeeded in limiting the Astros to two runs in the second contest of a two-game series. Their worst performance in the last five games was allowing 10 runs on Friday, in the first match of the series played against the San Francisco Giants. Milwaukee has split its series against the St. Louis Cardinals, 1-1, but the Brewers fell to the Marlins on Sunday. Milwaukee didn’t allow the Marlins any runs on Friday in the second of four contests.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Pitching Matchup

Arizona: Tommy Henry (3-4, 5.97 ERA)

Tommy Henry takes the mound in the series opener as he makes his eighth start of the season for the Diamondbacks in this contest. He comes in 3-4 with a 5.97 ERA, a 1.57 WHIP, 20 walks and 31 strikeouts over 40.2 innings of work on the year. Arizona’s 25-year-old left-hander didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came at home against the San Francisco Giants on September 23, 2022. He threw 4.2 innings, allowing five runs on six hits with three walks and six strikeouts in a 5-6 Diamondbacks loss. Henry owns a 2-2 road record this season in four starts away from Chase Field. In those away outings, he has posted a 5.95 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, 10 walks, and 11 strikeouts in 19.2 innings of work.

Milwaukee: Brandon Woodruff (13-4, 3.05 ERA)

Brandon Woodruff will make his 26th start of the season for Milwaukee, who’s hoping to find some traction after posting a 13-4 record and 3.05 ERA thus far, while tallying a 1.09 WHIP, 41 walks, and 183 strikeouts across 147.1 innings of action. Woodruff grabbed the win in his last start, which came at home against the St. Louis Cardinals on September 28, 2022. He threw six innings, allowing runs on five hits with one walk and 10 strikeouts in an eventual 5-1 Brewers win. In his 12 home starts this season, Woodruff is 8-0 with a 1.98 ERA, a 0.85 WHIP, 13 walks and 100 strikeouts over 72.2 innings of work.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Series History

The Brewers owned the 2021 regular season series, producing a 6-1 mark. Arizona has captured three of four meetings with Milwaukee this season.

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