NFL Odds Week 9: Vikings vs Falcons Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Week 9 of the NFL season continues with a matchup between NFC squads trending in the wrong direction as the Vikings visit the Falcons. The betting see Minnesota as a 4.5-point underdog following the season ending injury to Kirk Cousins. Coverage begins from Mercerdes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on Sunday, November 5 at 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 9 Vikings vs. Falcons: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates and use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons Odds

• Opening point spread: Falcons -3.5
• Opening moneyline: Falcons -220/Vikings +180
• Opening total: Over/Under 38.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)

UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Atlanta opened -4 at BetMGM, peaked at -5 Wednesday, fell to -3.5 (-115) by Friday morning and is now -3.5 flat. This matchup has two-way spread play, as well, with 57% of tickets on the Falcons/58% of money on the Vikings.

The total hasn't been quite as volatile, going from 37.5 to 37 Tuesday, then to 37.5 Friday and 38 this morning. The Under is taking 56% of tickets/64% of dollars.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Minnesota made a deal Tuesday with Arizona to acquire QB Josh Dobbs, in hopes he'll be a serviceable replacement for Kirk Cousins. But oddsmakers aren't buying in.

Atlanta opened -4 at TwinSpires, stayed at -4.5 in the immediate aftermath of Tuesday's deal and is now actually up to -5. The Falcons are landing 58% of tickets/70% of money early on.

"Sharp and public play on the Falcons," Lucas said. "Dobbs isn't moving the needle at all. He's a clear downgrade from Cousins."

The total slipped from 38 to 37, with 60% of tickets/63% of dollars on the Under.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: After a 1-4 SU start, Minnesota (4-4 SU/4-3-1 ATS) made its way back to .500 in Week 8. But the win came at a high cost, as QB Kirk Cousins suffered a torn Achilles in the fourth quarter.

The Vikings, giving 1 point at Green Bay, notched a 24-10 victory. Now, the Vikes turn to rookie fifth-round pick Jaren Hall – or perhaps make a move before Tuesday's trade deadline.

"I don't know much about that backup," SuperBook executive director John Murray said, in discussing what Cousins is worth to the point spread. "He's worth a touchdown, maybe. That's devastating for the Vikings."

Atlanta (4-4 SU/2-6 ATS) lost to Tennessee 28-23 as a 2.5-point road favorite. Falcons QB Desmond Ridder didn't play in the second half after being evaluated for a concussion, though he was cleared to play.

With Minnesota minus Cousins, Atlanta opened -3.5 at The SuperBook and quickly advanced to -4 tonight. The total fell from 38.5 to 38, then to 37.5.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 9 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Vikings vs Falcons Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

The Vikings grade out significantly better than the Falcons on both sides of the ball. This line moved too far. Hall might be good, and Heinicke could struggle against Minnesota's pressure.

Brian Flores' defense ranks top 10 by DVOA and top five over the past month, and Minnesota's QB doesn't change that. The defense also ranks top five for the season in the first half. Atlanta's offense has been poor all year, but especially in the first half, and the Falcons are just 1-7 ATS in first halves on the season.

At +3, we get the key number and also avoid worrying about a second-half collapse.

Pick: First Half Spread - Vikings +3 (-110)

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 9: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Vikings vs Falcons

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

The Falcons opened as an underdog and are now the favorites. Those such teams are 43-83 ATS since 2019 and 7-11 ATS this season.

For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 9 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson