Last Updated Dec 18, 2022, 4:32 PM
NFL Week 14 Opening Odds Report
US Sports Betting Industry Expert
NFL Week 14 odds include key matchups in the AFC East and NFC East, arguably the two best divisions in the NFL. But oddsmakers have one spread approaching double digits and the other nearing a touchdown.
The Buffalo Bills play host to the New York Jets, while the Philadelphia Eagles visit the New York Giants.
Multiple oddsmakers provide insights on Week 14 NFL odds and action. Check back regularly for updates.
Opening line: Pick; Over/Under 43.5
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday (ESPN)
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: With under three hours until kickoff, New England is laying 2.5 points on the road at WynnBet. On Dec. 4, the line opened at Pats -1 and within an hour moved to -1.5, where it stuck much of the past week.
The number jumped to Patriots -2 and -2.5 this morning. New England is taking 59% of spread bets, but those tickets are translating into a hefty 87% of spread dollars. That's in part due to a $22,000 Patriots -1 play.
Interestingly, though, 60% of moneyline tickets and 74% of moneyline dollars are on Arizona.
"We will need the Cards, as it stands right now," WynnBet trader Andy Morrissey said. "Most of the [Patriots] money came at -1 and -1.5. The Patriots by one point would be ideal."
WynnBet opened the total at 43.5, and that's where it sits now. Early last week, it peaked briefly at 45, then spent a few days at 44.5. By Saturday, it was down to 43, before nudging up to 43.5 Sunday morning.
The Over is netting 64% of tickets, while 54% of money is on the Under.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Patriots opened -1 in Caesars' NFL Week 14 odds market and stuck there until Wednesday afternoon, going to -1.5. New England is netting 70% of early spread bets and 90% of early spread cash.
The total has bounced around a bit since opening at 43.5 Sunday night. Initially, the number climbed to 45 by late Monday morning, then steadily declined to 43 by this morning. It's now at 43.5, with 55% of tickets/58% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New England (6-6 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) has fallen back to .500 with two consecutive losses. In the Week 13 Thursday nighter, the Pats never really threatened the Bills in a 24-10 home loss catching 3.5 points. But New England gets an extended mini-bye, playing in the Week 14 Monday night game.
Arizona (4-8 SU, 6-6 ATS) is in a train wreck of a season, but avoided any issues in Week 13 – because the Cardinals had their bye week. After a 2-2 SU start, the Cards are 2-6 SU in their last eight games.
"Respected money came in on the Pats at pick, moving them to a small road favorite at -1," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "Tickets are about split, but we have taken more money on New England. The total has also seen good action on both sides, but we're still at 43.5."
Opening line: Dolphins -3; Over/Under 51
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: With kickoff just shy of two hours out, the Dolphins are -3 (-120) at WynnBet. Miami opened -2.5 last Sunday and quickly fell back to -1, but within 30 minutes was back at -2.5 (-115).
After a trip back down to -1.5 Sunday night, the line made its way to Miami -3 Monday afternoon and has been at some price iteration of -3 ever since. The Dolphins are landing 63% of spread tickets/57% of spread money.
WynnBet said it needs a Dolphins win and a Chargers cover tonight, along with the Under. The total opened at 51.5 (Under -115) and by this morning was all the way out to 55, where it rests now. Ticket count is just shy of 2/1 and money 8/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Dolphins are up to -3.5 (-105) on BetMGM's NFL Week 14 odds board, after opening -1.5 Sunday night. Miami got from -1.5 to -3 (-115) by Monday morning, then spent the first half of the week at various iterations for -3.
On Thursday, the 'Phins advanced to -3.5 flat, then to -3.5 (-105). It's almost dead-even two-way action, with 52% of spread bets on Miami and 51% of spread money on Los Angeles.
The total is up to 53.5, reaching that point Friday afternoon after a slow climb from the 51.5 opener. Ticket count is 2/1 and money almost 9/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Miami hit Caesars' NFL Week 14 odds board as a 1.5-point favorite Sunday night. By Monday morning, the Dolphins were up to -3 (-105), then went to -3 (-115) Tuesday and -3.5 flat earlier today. Miami is now -3.5 (even).
That said, while the Dolphins are getting 58% of spread tickets, 65% of spread cash is on the Chargers. Caesars took a $115,000 wager on Chargers +3.5 (-115).
The total opened at 51.5, peaked multiple times at 52.5, then returned to 51.5 by this afternoon. Ticket count is 3/1 on the Over, but money is almost 4/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami saw its five-game SU winning streak go by the boards in the first game of a two-game West Coast trip. The Dolphins (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS) were catching 5.5 points at San Francisco and fell 33-17.
Los Angeles was a preseason darling in Super Bowl odds, but is starting to get into dangerous territory with regard to making the postseason. The constantly banged-up Chargers (6-6 SU, 7-5 ATS) fell to Las Vegas 27-20 getting 2.5 points on the road.
"Great two-way on this game so far. We took a couple of five-figure bets on the dolphins -3, but also some sharp money on the home 'dog Chargers, pushing us to +3 (-120)," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "I think both sides will see a lot of love during the week, but I think we'll be rooting for the Chargers come Sunday. Total at 51 has seen one way traffic on the Over."
That's helped nudge the total to 51.5 in The SuperBook's NFL Week 14 odds market.
Opening line: Bills -9.5; Over/Under 45
Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: With 2.5 hours until kickoff, WynnBet has the Bills at -10 (-105). Buffalo opened at 9.5 last Sunday night, went to -10 Thursday morning and hasn't moved since, save for a price adjustment.
New York is netting 62% of spread tickets, but spread dollars are running literally dead even. WynnBet said it's need is a Jets outright upset.
The total opened at 44.5 and ticked up to 45 last Sunday night, but made its way down to 42.5 by Thursday afternoon. Early today, it nudged up to 43, with 56% of tickets on the Over/55% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET SATURDAY: BetMGM's NFL Week 14 odds market opened the Bills at -9.5 Sunday night and dropped back to -9 Tuesday morning. However, the number jumped to -10 Thursday morning and remains there this evening.
That said, the Jets are taking 69% of early bets/56% of early cash on the spread. Further, moneyline bettors are on the Jets, at 77% of tickets/86% of money.
The total opened at 44.5, went to 44 Monday and 43.5/43 Thursday afternoon. It remains at 43 tonight, with 64% of tickets/72% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Caesars Sports opened Buffalo -9.5 Sunday night in the NFL Week 14 odds market. The Bills fell to -9 Monday afternoon, but by Monday returned to -9.5, then went to -10 this morning.
Buffalo is now -10 (-115) on interesting spread betting splits: Ticket count is 2.5/1 on the Jets, but money is 8/1 on the Bills. The money discrepancy is largely due to two $110,000 bets at Bills -9.
The total opened at 45, fell to 44 by late Monday morning and to 43.5 late Wednesday night. Ticket count is almost dead even, but money is running 6/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Buffalo followed a two-game SU hiccup by winning its last three games, and in Week 13 also halted a 1-4 ATS slide. The Bills (9-3 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) played in the Thursday nighter at New England and coasted to a 24-10 victory laying 3.5 points.
New York (7-5 SU and ATS) had two good chances late to steal a road win at Minnesota, but couldn't convert. The Jets fell short 27-22 as 3-point underdogs and are 2-3 SU and ATS in their last five, after a 5-2 SU and ATS start.
"Some smaller bets on the Jets so far, but nothing too significant on the side or total," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "As the week goes on, I anticipate seeing action come in on Buffalo in all forms, especially moneyline parlays. The Bills already lost to the Jets this year, and I bet we'll be rooting for a sweep."
Neither the spread nor total moved tonight, sticking at Bills -9.5/45 on The SuperBook's NFL Week 14 odds board.
Opening line: 49ers -3.5; Over/Under 39
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Less than an hour before kickoff, WynnBet's NFL Week 14 odds board shows San Francisco at -3.5 (-105). Last Sunday, the Niners opened -3, then moved to -3.5 Monday afternoon on the way to a brief stint at -4 on Tuesday morning.
San Francisco then reverted to -3.5 and has been at various iterations of that line since late Tuesday morning. The 49ers are seeing 56% of spread bets, while 61% of spread cash is on the Buccaneers. And moneyline play is almost dead even.
With that in mind, WynnBet said it needs a Niners win and cover.
The total opened at 38, backed up to 37 Tuesday morning, then returned to 38 Thursday morning. It's since bounced between 38 and 37.5 a couple of times, and it's currently 38. The Over is netting 54% of tickets/57% of money.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Rookie third-string QB Brock Purdy will start for San Francisco, which is at -3.5 (-105) this evening at BetMGM. The Niners opened -3 Monday morning and actually briefly touched -4 flat Tuesday morning and -4 (even) Wednesday morning.
The line has been stable at 49ers -3.5 (-105) since Wednesday night. It's two-way spread action with a lean toward San Fran, at 57% of tickets/53% of money.
The total opened at 37.5 and has been at 37 since Tuesday morning. The Under is taking 59% of tickets/52% of dollars.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Despite San Fran down to Brock Purdy at quarterback, Caesars Sports opened the Niners as 3-point home favorites. The line actually stretched to 49ers -4 Tuesday morning, then inched down to -3.5 Wednesday night.
San Francisco is now -3.5 (even), with early spread tickets running 2/1 on the 49ers and early spread money 2.5/1 on the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay landed a $110,000 +3.5 bet at Caesars.
The total opened at a tidy 37.5, dipped to 37 Tuesday, returned to 37.5 Wednesday and remains 37.5 this afternoon. The Under is attracting a modest majority 55% of tickets, but that's translating into 82% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: San Francisco has been a trending pick not only week to week, but in the Super Bowl odds market. However, the Niners got bad news out of their Week 13 game, with QB Jimmy Garoppolo suffering a broken foot that ended his season.
Back in Week 2, San Fran lost then-starter Trey Lance to a broken fibula, ending his season, as well. So against the Dolphins, the 49ers had to bring on unheralded rookie Brock Purdy. The Niners still went on to post a 33-17 victory giving 5.5 points at home against a hot Miami squad.
Meanwhile, Tom Brady and the Bucs (5-6 SU, 3-7-1 ATS) are trying to pull their season out of the ditch, though they actually lead the dismal NFC South. Tampa Bay is on slides of 2-4 SU and 1-7-1 ATS. The Buccaneers still have Week 13 work to do, hosting New Orleans in the Monday nighter.
"We were going to open this game higher, but the Garoppolo news came across before we opened it, so we landed on 49ers -3.5," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "Sharps came in on the Bucs, knocking us down to 3. Brock Purdy played the majority of the game today, so we got to see a little bit, but it's different when you're the guy all week and get to take the first-team reps in practice. This will be a good test for him going against a solid but not great Bucs team.
"We're down a full point on the total [to 38], despite taking some bets on the Over."
Late tonight, the line remains 49ers -3, and the total is down another tick, sitting at 37.5.
Opening line: Eagles -6.5; Over/Under 44.5
Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: WynnBet toggled between Eagles -6.5 and -7 a couple of times last Sunday/Monday. The line settled at -7 late Monday morning and has since seen only juice adjustments. Philly is currently -7 (-115), while taking 57% of spread bets/54% of spread dollars.
With spread action running two-way, WynnBet said the preferred result is a Giants outright win.
The total opened at 44.5, peaked at 46 Monday morning, then backed up to 44.5 Wednesday. Today, it's up a notch to 45, with 52% of bets/58% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Philly opened as a 6.5-point road chalk at BetMGM on Sunday night, advanced to 7 Monday morning, then went to -7.5 Thursday afternoon. The Eagles are now at -7.5 (-105), while the Giants net 60% of spread bets/66% of spread cash.
BetMGM opened the total at 44.5, went to 45.5 Monday morning, then returned to 44.5 Wednesday morning. Ticket count is 2/1 and money 3/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Eagles toggled between -6.5 and -7 early in the week at Caesars Sports. Philly has been a steady -7 since lunchtime Monday and is currently -7 (even).
Underdog New York is netting 55% of early spread bets, while 63% of early spread dollars are on Philadelphia.
The total opened at 44.5, climbed to 45.5 by Monday morning, receded to 44.5 Wednesday morning, then nudged up to 45 Wednesday night. The Under is seeing 55% of early bets, but 82% of money is on the Over.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Philadelphia (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) continues to hold the best record in the NFL. In Week 13, the Eagles shut down Derrick Henry and Tennessee, rolling to a 35-10 victory as 4.5-point home favorites.
New York (7-4-1 SU, 9-3 ATS) halted a 1-3 SU skid ... sort of. The Giants and Commanders were tied at 20 after regulation, and neither team scored in OT. But New York did get the ATS win as a 2.5-point home pup and is tied with Cincinnati for the best spread-covering mark in the league.
"Tickets and money have been about split on the spread so far," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "The Giants have performed well this year, but they are still power-rated as the worst team in the NFC East, so it's no surprise that the Eagles are laying almost a touchdown on the road. The Eagles also feel like a popular team to be tied to teasers and parlays. Some bets on the Over, but nothing to move us off the opener yet."
Indeed, the spread and total are stable tonight.
Opening line: Raiders -5.5; Over/Under 43
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Thursday (Prime Video)
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET THURSDAY: With about five hours to go until kickoff, Caesars Sports has the Raiders as 6.5-point road favorites. Las Vegas opened -5.5 Sunday night, went to -6 Monday afternoon, then to -6.5 Wednesday evening.
This morning, the Raiders peaked at -7 for about 90 minutes before returning to -6.5. Point-spread ticket count is almost 3/1 Raiders, but spread money is nearly dead even, with a slight lean to Las Vegas. A big reason spread money is close: Caesars took a $120,000 bet on Rams +7 (-120).
Caesars opened the total at 43 and stretched to 44.5 by Monday morning. But the number backed up to 43.5 Wednesday and is now down to 42. Ticket count is almost dead even, while 68% of money is on the Under.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: A day ahead of the opener on the NFL Week 14 odds board, PointsBet USA has Las Vegas as 6.5-point road chalk against a decimated Los Angeles outfit. Even after the Rams claimed Baker Mayfield off waivers Tuesday – Mayfield might play Thursday – the needle didn't move toward Los Angeles.
The Raiders opened -5.5 Sunday night and toggled up to -6 on Monday and Tuesday, before arriving at -6.5 this evening. Early spread tickets are running almost 3/1 and early spread money almost 5/1 on Las Vegas.
"It looks like heavy action on the Raiders spread, but some decent two-way on the moneyline," PointsBet sports analyst Mike Korn said.
Moneyline tickets are 3/1 Raiders, but moneyline cash is almost 2/1 Rams.
The total opened at 43, went to 44 Monday morning and 44.5 Tuesday afternoon. It returned to 44 this afternoon and tonight is at 43.5, with 60% of tickets/61% of cash on the Over.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Las Vegas' season probably can't be salvaged after a dismal 2-7 SU start. But the Raiders (5-7 SU, 6-6 ATS) have since won and cashed three in a row. In Week 13, Vegas notched a 27-20 win giving 2.5 points at home against the L.A. Chargers.
Defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles has seen its season completely disintegrate. That's in large part due to losing Cooper Kupp (ankle) – perhaps for the season – in mid-November and to Matthew Stafford's concussion/neck issues, which have him on IR.
The Rams (3-9 SU, 4-7-1 ATS) gave Seattle a fight to the finish in Week 13. L.A. lost 27-23 on a final-minute Seahawks TD, but covered as a 6.5-point home underdog.
"There was some discussion on whether to open this game at Raiders -6/-6.5, but we landed on -5.5," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "I could see this spread getting higher as the week goes on, as people start to buy into the Raiders' resurgence. With this game being on Thursday Night Football, I think it will write good action, especially with both teams being popular on the West Coast."
The Raiders remain -5.5 tonight on The SuperBook's NFL Week 14 odds board, and the total is stable as well, at 43.