NFL Week 15 Opening Odds Report
NFL Week 15 odds include a few matchups with playoff implications, as the season heads into its final four weekends. Among the notable games is an AFC East clash between the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills, in prime time on Saturday night.
And in a nonconference clash, the surging Cincinnati Bengals meet the struggling Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Multiple oddsmakers provide insights on Week 15 NFL odds and action. Check back regularly for updates.
NFL Week 15 Odds
Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers
Opening line: Packers -8; Over/Under 40
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday (ESPN)
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET MONDAY: With three-plus hours until kickoff, WynnBet's NFL Week 15 odds board has the Packers at -7.5 (-105) for what will be a frigid Monday night game at Lambeau Field. On Dec. 11, Green Bay opened -7.5 and quickly advanced to -8, before backing up to -7 (-105) last Monday and -7 Tuesday.
The line was stable at Pack -7 until advancing to -7.5 (-105) today. Green Bay is netting 61% of spread tickets/62% of spread money. Bettors are also laying Packers moneyline, currently -350, with tickets 4/1 and money almost 5/1 on Green Bay.
WynnBet said it needs the Rams tonight and would prefer Baker Mayfield and Co. find a way to pull the outright upset.
The total was painted to 40 all week, then inched down to 39.5 Sunday. It's still 39.5 now, with 57% of money on the Over, but 81% of cash on the Under.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Packers opened -7.5 and within a 40 minutes Sunday night rose to -8 at Caesars Sports. However, the line receded to -7.5 Monday morning and -7 Tuesday morning.
Green Bay remains -7 this afternoon. Los Angeles is netting 59% of early spread tickets, but that's translating into 84% of early spread dollars.
The total opened at 40, inched down to 39.5 Tuesday morning and hasn't budged since. The Over is taking 58% of bets, while 68% of money is on the Under.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: OK, let's be honest here: The only reason I'm including this matchup in the NFL Week 15 odds report is because it's on Monday Night Football. If this were buried among the Sunday slate, well, it would be a footnote at best.
Green Bay (5-8 SU and ATS) is having a disastrous season. The Week 14 bye probably couldn't come fast enough for the fading Packers. But they'll enter this Week 15 MNF tilt well-rested and coming off a victory. In Week 13, Green Bay beat Chicago 28-19 laying 3.5 points on the road, halting a likely season-killing 1-7 SU slide (2-6 ATS).
Defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles is even worse off, having lost wideout Cooper Kupp (ankle) in mid-November and QB Matthew Stafford shortly thereafter. Kupp might return this season, but Stafford will not.
All that said, the Rams (4-9 SU, 5-7-1 ATS) pulled off a stunning victory in the Week 14 Thursday nighter. Baker Mayfield, acquired off waivers from Carolina last week, led L.A. on two long fourth-quarter touchdown drives to erase a 16-3 deficit against the Raiders.
On the second of those drives, Mayfield and the Rams – 6.5-point home 'dogs – went 98 yards in 95 seconds for a TD with 10 seconds left, sealing a 17-16 victory. That snapped a six-game SU slide, and Los Angeles has actually covered three in a row.
"We've taken some straight bets on the Rams +8 so far, but we are still sitting at the opener," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "The Packers will be tied to a bunch of teasers and parlays, so I expect to be rooting for another Baker Mayfield prime-time upset victory. No interest in the total as of right now."
New York Giants vs Washington Commanders
Opening line: Commanders -5; Over/Under 40
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Washington sits at -4.5 (-105) on WynnBet's NFL Week 15 odds board, with less than two hours until kickoff. Last Sunday, the Commanders opened -4.5 flat and quickly went to -5, but the line then spent all week at -4.5 flat.
The slight price adjustment to Commanders -4.5 (-105) came this afternoon. New York is actually attracting 58% of tickets and almost 80% of money on the spread. As such, WynnBet said it needs Washington to cover.
The total was painted to 40 all week, then inched to 40.5 early today. The over is getting 71% of tickets/78% of money.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: This NFC East clash was flexed into the Sunday Night Football slot. Washington opened as 4.5-point home chalk at Caesars Sports and hasn't budged off that number all week.
The Giants are drawing 60% of early spread tickets, while a nominal majority 53% of money is on the Commanders.
The total opened at 40, crept up to 40.5 Tuesday and hasn't moved since. Ticket count is just shy of 2/1 and money 7/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Washington (7-5-1 SU, 7-5-1 ATS), coming off its bye week, is facing New York for a second straight game, in a scheduling quirk. The Commanders and Giants played to a 20-20 tie in Week 13. Washington failed to cover as a 2.5-point road favorite, ending a 6-0-1 ATS run.
New York (7-5-1 SU, 9-4 ATS) has struggled since getting off to a 6-1 SU and ATS start. In Week 14, the Giants got shellacked 48-22 catching 7.5 points against visiting Philadelphia. New York is 1-4-1 SU in its last five games.
"This is actually a big game between these two teams for a change. Playoff implications caused the NFL to flex this game onto Sunday Night Football," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "Due to a couple smaller bets on the Giants, and the market [moving], we dropped a half-point down to 4.5. We took some action on the Over, as well, but nothing of note to move us. I foresee a lot of parlays ending with Washington, being the last game of the day."
Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Opening line: Bengals -3; Over/Under 42.5
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
UPDATE 3:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Less than an hour until game time, WynnBet has Cincinnati a 3.5-point road chalk. Last Sunday, the Bengals opened -3.5 (-115), and the line has stuck at some iteration of -3.5 all week.
Cincy is nabbing 70% of spread tickets, but 57% of spread dollars are actually on Tampa Bay. Opinion is split on the moneyline, too, with tickets 2.5/1 on the Bengals and money 2/1-plus on the Buccaneers.
WynnBet said it will need a Bengals win and cover, along with the Under. The total got from 42 to 44 by Monday afternoon, went to 45 Friday and is up 2 points today to 47.
The Over is taking a modest majority 53% of tickets, but a hefty 91% of money.
UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: About four hours before kickoff, the Bengals are laying 3.5 points in PointsBet USA's NFL Week 15 odds market. In fact, this line hasn't moved off Cincy -3.5 all week, save for a couple of juice adjustments.
The Bengals are drawing 72% of spread bets and 62% of spread dollars. It's more pronounced on the moneyline, where ticket count is 4/1-plus and money 6/1-plus on Cincinnati.
The total opened at 42 and is all the way up to 47, with the final 2 points of that move coming today. The Over is getting 60% of tickets, but 71% of dollars are on the Under.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Bengals hit Caesars Sports' NFL Week 15 odds board at -3.5 (-105) Sunday night. Cincinnati hasn't moved off that number all week, though the price has toggled between -105, -110 and even money.
The number is currently Cincy -3.5 flat. It's all Bengals early, with spread ticket count almost 5/1 and spread money 7/1 on Cincinnati. It's the most lopsided tickets/money game, by percentage, on this week's docket.
"These two teams have gone in different directions,” Caesars assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. “The Bengals have been hot since the 0-2 start. After that, they’ve only lost twice, and one of them was a close one to the Ravens. Tampa got a win a couple weeks ago against the Saints, but needed an incredible comeback to do so. They didn’t look good at all in San Francisco last weekend. This line could reach 4, and I would think the sharps would jump in at that number.
"I’m not surprised by the Bengals getting the lion’s share of the money, but anything’s possible with Tom Brady under center.”
The total nudged from 42.5 to 42 in short order, then climbed to 44 by Monday afternoon. There's been no movement since, with ticket count 3/1-plus and practically every early dollar on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Cincinnati (9-4 SU, 10-3 ATS) is arguably the hottest team on the field and definitely the hottest at the betting window. The Bengals are on a five-game SU run and are 7-1 SU in their last eight. The defending AFC champs have cashed five in a row and 10 of their last 11.
In Week 14, Cincy closed as a 4.5-point home chalk against Cleveland and won 23-10.
Tampa Bay (6-7 SU, 3-9-1 ATS) somehow continues to lead a dismal NFC South. The Bucs went to San Francisco as 3.5-point underdogs and got smoked 35-7. But because every team in the NFC South is under .500, Tom Brady and Co. are still in first place.
"So far, it's been one-way traffic on the Bengals. No surprise there, based on how good they looked today, parlayed with the Bucs laying an egg," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "We're up to 3.5 now, with the total staying put at 42.5. We usually see some buyback on the Bucs throughout the week. I'm just not sure how high the market gets before that."
Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers
Opening line: Chargers -2.5; Over/Under 47
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
UPDATE 3:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: WynnBet's NFL Week 15 odds market has L.A. at -2.5 (-120). The Chargers opened -2.5 flat last Sunday, then spent most of the week at -3 at various juice (even, -105 and flat -110). The return to -2.5 came this morning.
Spread ticket count is almost 2/1 on the Chargers, but spread money is 6/1 on the Titans. WynnBet said it needs the Chargers to win and cover.
The total opened at 46.5, fell to 46 Monday and climbed to 48.5 by Thursday afternoon. But 48.5 was a blip on the radar, as the total quickly backed up to 46.5, where it remains ahead of kickoff. Ticket count is almost 2/1 on the Over, but money is 2.5/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SUNDAY: With about 3.5 hours to go until kickoff, the Chargers are -3 (-105) at PointsBet USA. Los Angeles opened -3 (-115), dipped to -2.5 (-115) briefly Monday before returning to -3, and the Chargers have since made multiple trips to -2.5.
The Chargers are netting 60% of spread bets and 69% of spread cash. Los Angeles is also seeing 71% of moneyline bets/76% of moneyline cash.
The total opened at 46.5, fell to 46 Monday, peaked at 47.5 Wednesday and has been stable at 46.5 since Thursday. Ticket count is 2/1 and money 2.5/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Caesars' NFL Week 15 odds market opened Los Angeles -2.5 (-115) Monday morning. The line advanced to Chargers -3 within an hour and has been at various iterations of -3 ever since.
L.A. is currently -3 (-115) while taking 55% of spread tickets, and Tennessee is getting 62% of spread dollars. There are large wagers on both sides: $100,000 on Chargers -3 (even), and $125,000 on Titans +3.5 (-125).
The total opened at 46.5 and initially backed up to 46, then climbed to 47.5 by lunchtime Tuesday. This afternoon, the number returned to the 46.5 opener, with 58% of tickets/66% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Through Week 11, Tennessee was among the league's hottest teams, riding a 7-1 SU/8-0 ATS streak. But the Titans (7-6 SU, 8-5 ATS) dropped their last three on the field and at the betting window.
In Week 14, Tennessee got run out of its own building against Jacksonville, losing 36-22 as a 3.5-point chalk. The Titans gave up 29 unanswered points from midway through the second quarter to early in the fourth quarter.
Los Angeles (7-6 SU, 8-5 ATS) desperately needed a Week 14 Sunday night win to stay relevant in the playoff picture. And the Chargers got it, topping Miami 23-17 as 3.5-point home underdogs. The victory stemmed a 1-3 SU skid for L.A.
"Not a ton of action on this game either, because the shelf life was so short, with the Chargers playing on Sunday Night Football tonight," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "There were some smaller bets on Chargers and the Over, but nothing noteworthy to move any numbers. I think this is another game that will see good two-way action, with both teams battling for a playoff spot."
Titans-Chargers will go back up on The SuperBook's NFL Week 15 odds board Monday morning.
Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills
Opening line: Bills -6.5; Over/Under 45
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Saturday (NFL Network)
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET SATURDAY: A couple of hours ahead of kickoff, WynnBet's NFL Week 15 odds board has Buffalo at -7 (-120). The Bills opened -7.5 Monday morning, and they've been -7 at various prices since Wednesday.
Buffalo is landing 73% of spread tickets/59% of spread dollars. WynnBet said it has a small need on the Dolphins to cover. The book would certainly take a Miami upset to knock out moneyline parlays running to the Bills.
The total opened at 46 and plunged to 41.5 by Monday afternoon, touching multiple points in between as sharp play rolled in on news of expected bad weather. By Thursday, the total rebounded to 44, but it backed up to 43 this afternoon. And there's definitely plenty of lake-effect snow already in play, with potentially more to come.
All that said, it's two-way play on the total, with 55% of tickets/52% of cash on the Under.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Early Monday, Caesars Sports opened the Bills -7 in the NFL Week 14 odds market. Buffalo quickly moved to -7.5 and stuck there until returning to -7 Wednesday night.
It's two-way point-spread action, with 64% of tickets on the Bills and 59% of money on the Dolphins.
The total opened at 46 and within a few hours Monday tumbled all the way down to 41.5, with stops at every half-point along the way. Sharp players jumped on a weather forecast that has only gotten worse throughout the week.
By Wednesday evening, the total rebounded to 43.5, and it went to 44 today. The Under is seeing 56% of bets, while 69% of money is on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Buffalo (10-3 SU, 6-6-1 ATS) is on a four-game SU win streak, but remains a middling spread-covering outfit. In Week 14, the Bills held off the Jets 20-12, but fell short as 9.5-point home favorites.
Miami (8-5 SU, 6-7 ATS) was starting to turn heads with a four-game SU run, then hit a tough West Coast road trip. The Dolphins were dealt back-to-back losses at the Niners and at the Chargers. Against Los Angeles in Week 14, the Dolphins fell 23-17 as 3.5-point road favorites.
"We took a couple bets on the Dolphins plus the points, but this game is off the board now because Miami is playing on Sunday Night Football," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said this evening, alluding to the Dolphins-Chargers SNF matchup. "There's nothing too significant yet on the total, but there were also some smaller bets on the Over. The total is a little lower than anticipated because of potential weather in Buffalo Saturday night."
The line and the total didn't move before The SuperBook took the matchup off its Week 15 NFL odds board. The game will go back up Monday morning.
San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks
Opening line: 49ers -3; Over/Under 42.5
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Thursday (Prime Video)
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: About three hours ahead of kickoff, San Francisco is -3.5 (even) at Caesars Sports, after opening Sunday night at -3 (-125). The Niners advanced to various iterations of -3.5 a couple of times Sunday/Monday, then held steady at -3 – again, at various prices – from Tuesday night until this afternoon.
Midafternoon, the line went to 49ers -3.5 (-105) before adjusting a few cents -3.5 (even). Ticket count is 2.5/1 on San Fran, but money is almost dead even, just slightly leaning toward the Niners. That's because one bettor put $115,000 on the Seahawks +3.5 (-115).
"“[Brock] Purdy isn’t 100%, and the injury is a concern,” Caesars assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said, alluding to the 49ers QB's oblique issues. “But with the 49ers, the quarterback doesn’t have to go out and win the game, they just have to limit mistakes. I would say he’s 1.5 or 2 points worse than [Jimmy] Garoppolo, as far as the line goes. I know it’s not a big sample size, but in two games with Purdy, they handled the Dolphins easily and they went wire-to-wire against the Buccaneers.
"You can see why the public is attracted to the 49ers. Quarterback isn’t as big a concern as with other teams, because of how good their roster is.”
The total opened at 43, spent the early part of the week at 43.5, then returned to 43 Wednesday evening. The Over is getting 55% of tickets, but 84% of cash is on the Under, thanks in large part to a $110,000 Under 43.5 bet. That came from the same customer who made the aforementioned Seahawks spread bet.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: A day out from this Thursday night NFC West clash, the Niners are -3 (-115) at PointsBet USA. San Francisco opened -3 Sunday night, quickly moved to -3.5, then this afternoon backed up to -3 several times.
The 49ers are seeing 63% of early spread tickets, but 61% of early spread cash is on the Seahawks. On the moneyline, though, ticket count is 5/1 and money just shy of 2/1 on the 49ers, who are currently -180.
"Great two-way action on the spread so far. The book would be happy with a 'Hawks upset," PointsBet sports analyst Mike Korn said.
The total opened at 43, spent much of the past couple of days at 43.5, then toggled between 43.5 and 43 today. It's currently 43, with 59% of tickets/73% of cash on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: San Francisco is down to its third-string QB in rookie seventh-round draft pick Brock Purdy, and yet it keeps winning. The Niners (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS) boatraced the Buccaneers 35-7, covering by a mile as 3.5-point home favorites.
Geno Smith and the Seahawks were getting a lot of chatter when the team was 6-3 SU and ATS. But Seattle (7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS) has since gone 1-3 SU, dropping all four games ATS.
In Week 14, the Seahawks closed as 3.5-point home favorites against Carolina and fell into a 17-0 hole early in the second quarter. Seattle rallied to within 20-17 early in the third quarter, but faded from there in a 30-24 loss.
"Last week on the [look-ahead] line, we opened 49ers -1 with the uncertainty at QB. Purdy looked solid enough today that we felt like this line had to be higher," Degnon said. "We've seen mostly San Francisco money so far, pushing us to -3.5. A divisional matchup on Thursday Night Football will definitely see some good action on both sides. Although come kickoff, I expect to be rooting for Seattle."
Degnon said The SuperBook has also seen some smaller bets on both sides of the total, but it appears Over action is winning out early. The total is up a point to 43.5.
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