Packers vs Vikings Prediction, Picks, Odds | Sunday Night Football Week 17

Here's everything you need to know about the Packers vs. Vikings Picks, Predictions, and Odds for Sunday Night Football Week 17.

Week 17 of the NFL regular season concludes with a meaningful primetime showdown in the NFC North between the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings. Coverage begins from U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.

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Packers vs Vikings Betting Prediction & Odds for Sunday Night Football Week 17

Matchup Spread Total Moneyline

In the first matchup of the year between these teams, it was all Minnesota  – as Kirk Cousins and the Vikings accumulated a 24-3 lead by the midway point of the third quarter during their Week 8 visit to Green Bay, and it never truly felt like a competitive affair as they coasted to a 24-10 road victory.

At the same time, however, the Vikings also suffered their worst loss of the season in that contest as Cousins went down with a season-ending Achilles injury in the second half of their Week 8 win – which has dramatically changed the course of Minensota’s campaign.

Minnesota owns a record of 3-4 in seven games without Cousins this season, and it’s been a bumpy ride as the Vikings have started three different QBs during that span. First they went to Jaren Hall, who was quickly injured and replaced in favor of Josh Dobbs, who was then soon benched in favor of Nick Mullens – and now, after just two games with Mullens under center, they are going back to Hall for this must-win divisional rematch.

According to VegasInsider’s Patrick Everson, the SuperBook originally opened the spread for this contest at Vikings -2, and that number has bounced between -2 and -1 depending on the book throughout the week – with BetMGM reporting ratios of 2.5-to-1 tickets and 4-to-1 money coming in on Green Bay as of Friday afternoon.

Quite frankly, however, I’m not sure why bettors are so eager to jump back on the Green Bay bandwagon. The Packers are 1-2 in their last three games, which includes ugly losses to the Giants and Buccaneers, and their only win during that span came in a shootout against the 2-13 Panthers last week.

Granted, Green Bay’s offense has played much better during the back half of the season. The Packers have scored 20-plus points in six straight games, while clearing the 27-point scoring mark in half of those contests (3). However, their defense continues to struggle, highlighted by the Packers also surrendering an average of 24.8 PPG to their opponents during that stretch, and they’ve allowed 30-plus points in back-to-back matchups entering this week.

It’s an incredibly small sample size: but the Vikings have actually looked pretty good in Hall’s two brief appearances under center. He’s completed 8-of-10 passes for 101 yards and nearly rushed for a TD in very minimal action this season. Minnesota also owns a heavy advantage on the defensive side of the ball in this matchup.

While on the other side of that same coin, the Packers offense has churned out steady production in six straight games against a weak group of defenses. However, prior to their latest six-game stretch, Green Bay scored 20 points or less in seven straight contests. 

This has the makings of an excellent buy-low spot for the Vikings. I’m laying the point with Minnesota at home.

Score Prediction: Vikings 26, Packers 20
Best Bet: Vikings -1 (-110)

GB @ MIN Odds

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Packers vs Vikings Betting Resources

Date: Sunday, December 31
Matchup: NFC North
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
Time-TV: NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 17 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

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Green Bay Packers Betting Analysis

Over the last six weeks, the Packers have scored 20-plus points in six straight games against the Panthers, Buccaneers, Giants, Chargers, Chiefs and Lions – which seems to be leading many bettors to the over in this matchup. 

However, I would recommend treading with caution. Five of those six defenses are not very good – and prior to their latest six-game stretch, they failed to cross the 20-point mark in seven straight contests, which included a miserable 10-point performance against Minnesota. So I certainly wouldn’t bet next month’s rent on the Packers team total.

Check out our Super Bowl odds for a preview of the teams likely to be in the big game.

Minnesota Vikings Betting Analysis

The Vikings enter this contest following losses in four of their last five games. However, their latest struggles certainly haven’t come as a result of a scoring-shortage, highlighted by Minnesota scoring 24 points in back-to-back contests entering this week.

That said, the Vikings offense turned the ball over six times in their last two games, which has resulted in yet another change at QB for Minnesota. But as demoralizing as turnovers can be for a team, I don’t think the Vikings would have made another QB switch this late in the season if they weren’t confident in what they’ve seen with Hall behind the scenes. I’ll be rolling the dice on some Hall props in this contest as well.

Packers vs Vikings Betting Trends

  • The Packers are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in five straight Packers' games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of Minnesota's last 13 games.
  • The Vikings are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
  • The Packers are 4-2 SU in their last six games.

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