NFL Odds Week 17: Packers vs Vikings Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Week 17 of the NFL season concludes with Sunday Night Football between the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings. The betting odds see Minnesota as a two-point home favorite despite coming off losses in four of their last five games. Coverage begins from U. S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis on Sunday, December 31 at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 17: Packers vs. Vikings lines, spreads, betting trends and more.

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Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Odds

• Opening point spread: Vikings -2
• Opening moneyline: Vikings -135/Packers +115
• Opening total: Over/Under 45 points scored
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)

UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: With kickoff looming, the Vikings are slim -1 (-105) favorites at BetMGM. As noted in the previous update (see below), Minnesota opened -2 and dipped to -1 on the Thursday news that rookie QB Jaren Hall would start.

The Vikes rebounded to -2 Thursday night, then went to -1.5 Saturday and -1 (-105) early this evening. Green Bay is drawing 60% of spread bets/55% of spread cash. And on the moneyline, the Packers are landing 65% of bets/59% of dollars.

The total reached a low of 42 this afternoon, after opening at 45 and peaking at 46.5 early in the week. It's now 42.5, with 76% of bets/81% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Vikes opened -2 in BetMGM's NFL odds Week 17 market and slid to -1.5 Wednesday. On Thursday evening, Minnesota hit a low -1, but quickly bounced back to -2. Today, however, the Vikings are back down to -1.

Early spread bettors are on underdog Green Bay, with ticket count 2.5/1 and money almost 4/1 on the Packers.

The total opened at 45, peaked at 46.5 Tuesday, then slid down to 43.5 by Thursday evening. It's still at 43.5 this afternoon, though tickets are 3/1 and money almost 4/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Minnesota (7-8 SU/7-5-3 ATS) is on a potentially season-killing 1-4 SU purge. In Week 17, the Vikings lost to Detroit 30-24 catching 2.5 points at home.

Green Bay (7-8 SU and ATS) halted an ill-timed 0-2 SU and ATS hiccup. The Packers edged Carolina 33-30, pushing as 3-point road favorites.

The SuperBook opened Packers-Vikes at Minnesota -2 in the NFL odds Week 17 market. There was no movement tonight on the spread nor on the 45 total.

"We're higher on the total than the market at the moment, because Green Bay especially feels like an over team right now," Michaelson said. "This will be an important game between two fairly evenly matched teams. We expect a nice handle."

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 17 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Packers vs Vikings Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

Minnesota's defense has been a revelation this season under Brian Flores, but the Vikings defense has faded as teams adjust. It's also beatable by good QBs and offensive systems, and the Packers have proven they have both of those things, now top 10 offensively by DVOA on the season, including fourth passing.

The Packers are near the top of the league in Pass Block Win Rate, and if those Flores blitzes can't get home, the Vikings have proven weak on short and middle passes and don't have the personnel to keep up with Jordan Love if he's getting his throws off.

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Green Bay's defense has been atrocious, especially against the run, but Minnesota's offense isn't built to take advantage of that. The Vikings can't run the ball, and a rookie fourth-string QB missing two of his top three weapons isn't going to pick apart even Joe Barry's schemes.

Matt LaFleur is 19-9 ATS (68%) as an underdog, and a number of late-season divisional-game trends line up in Green Bay's favor too. Trust LaFleur and Love's offense, and trust that Minnesota can't take advantage of the bad defense. Green Bay -7 is +275 at bet365 if you want to be aggressive.

Pick: Packers +2

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 17: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Packers vs Vikings

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

Packers: Jordan Love in night games: 1-3 SU/ATS.

For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 17 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson