Timberwolves vs Suns Game 3 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

The 2024 NBA Playoffs continue with a solid 3-game slate on Friday night -- and the final matchup of the evening we'll preview is Timberwolves vs. Suns Game 3, which is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

The T-Wolves are 4-point underdogs on the spread in Friday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 207.5 total points at DraftKings.

Here's everything you need to know about T-Wolves vs. Suns Game 3 -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Playoffs on Friday, April 26.

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Timberwolves vs Suns Odds

MIN @ PHO Odds

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Timberwolves vs Suns Picks & Prediction

The Timberwolves earned the three-seed in the West with a record of 56-26 this season – and nearly earned the one-seed, as they finished just one game behind Denver and Oklahoma City in a three-horse race to the finish line in the closing days of the regular season. 

However, despite their overwhelming success throughout the season, the oddsmakers at FanDuel still opened the series market for this matchup with the T-Wolves tagged as short underdogs (+110) against Phoenix (-130) in the first round of the playoffs, which might have been a slight misfire by the oddsmakers, despite Phoenix being favored (-4) to bounce back in Friday’s contest.

Minnesota doesn’t have all the flashy tools and gadgets. But, the T-Wolves rank third in the NBA in net rating, only behind Boston and OKC, and the secret sauce is the best defensive rating in the entire league behind Defensive Player of the Year finalist, Rudy Gobert. Plus, they have a bona fide superstar capable of going toe-to-toe in a slugfest with anybody in Anthony Edwards, which was more than enough to get the job done in the first two matchups of this series – with Minnesota boasting a point differential of +37 through two games.

The Suns certainly still wield the offensive firepower to beat anybody on any given night. Phoenix finished the season ranked top-10 in both offensive rating and points per game – which is pretty impressive, considering they went significant chunks of the season without Bradley Beal and Devin Booker.

Push comes to shove though, the dominance of Minnesota’s defense far outweighs the prowess of Phoenix’s offense, and that notion was on full display in the first two matchups of this series – highlighted by the T-Wolves holding the Suns to an offensive rating of 99.4 in Games 1 and 2, which ranks 15th among the 16 active playoff teams, and would rank dead-last in the NBA if that number persisted during the regular season.

The Suns are certainly still capable of winning a game in this series, especially with the T-Wolves ranking in the middle of the pack offensively. But I’m not so sure a shift in homecourt advantage should create such a large swing on the spread in favor of a Phoenix team that posted records of 25-16 at home and 24-17 on the road this season.

The Suns’ big-3 hasn’t played many games together, and their lack of chemistry has been put on full display by a very strong defensive team in Minnesota. The size and physicality of the T-Wolves was far too much for Phoenix to withstand in the first two matchups in this series, and I expect the same to remain true as these teams shift locations for Game 3. I’ll take the points with Minnesota.

Pick: Timberwolves +4 (-110)

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Timberwolves vs Suns Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Friday, April 26
Matchup: Pacific vs Northwest
Venue: Footprint Center
Location: Phoenix, AZ
Time-TV: ESPN, 10:30 p.m. ET

Timberwolves vs Suns Betting Stats

3) Minnesota Timberwolves
(3rd Place, Northwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +1700
  • Odds to Win Conference: +650
  • Odds to Win Series: -480
  • SU: 56-26
  • ATS: 41-41
  • O/U: 41-40-1
  • PPG: 113.0
  • OPPG: 106.5

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6) Phoenix Suns
(2nd Place, Pacific)

  • Odds To Win Finals: +8000
  • Odds to Win Conference: +3100
  • Odds to Series: +350
  • SU: 49-33
  • ATS: 36-46
  • O/U: 36-45-1
  • PPG: 116.2
  • OPPG: 113.2

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