Best NFL Player Props Today | Seahawks vs Broncos Prediction: Best NFL Prop Bets Today, First, & Anytime TD Scorer (TNF Best Bets)

Zach Parkes Sports Betting Expert

28 minute read

The Polymarket promo code (INSIDER) is perfect to use on tonight's Thursday Night Football matchup at Mile High, and this Seahawks vs Broncos prediction rounds up our best NFL prop bets today straight from the live Polymarket board.

• The defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks arrive at 3-2 after a turnover-plagued 32-29 loss to the 49ers, and they're doing it on the road without lead back Jadarian Price.
• The Broncos sit at 3-2 as well, fresh off a 23-17 win over the Chargers in which Sean Payton's defense forced three turnovers, and Denver is making its lone home appearance of October under the Thursday night lights.

Here's our full picks table from one of the best prediction markets around before we break down every editor's pick, the game lines, and every player prop board tonight.

Best NFL Player Props for Seahawks vs Broncos

Every pick below is a real trade we'd make using one of the best prediction market apps for tonight's NFL slate, part of our best NFL player props for this entire matchup, ranked from the safest number down to the long shots.

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Updated on 10/15/26

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Best Receiving Yards Prop Today - Jaxon Smith-Njigba Under 100 Receiving Yards

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the reigning Offensive Player of the Year and still Seattle's clear focal point, but Denver's defense just held a Chargers offense to 118 passing yards and forced three turnovers last week.

Sean Payton's unit has been stingy through the air all season, and a short Thursday turnaround only helps a defense that already knows its gameplan cold.

At 55 cents on the No side, a $100 buy works out to roughly 182 shares, with the stated payout at $176.30.

• If Smith-Njigba stays under 100 receiving yards: Return of $176.30.
• If he clears it: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A near coin-flip number that still returns more than 1.75x your stake.

Best Passing Yards Prop Today - Bo Nix 200+ Passing Yards

Bo Nix and Denver's offense have leaned on ball control and a stout defense to win games this season rather than airing it out.

Seattle's defense carries real pedigree under Mike Macdonald, but a short week tends to push offenses toward their bread and butter, and Nix clearing 200 yards is still well within his range on a national stage.

At 48 cents, $100 buys roughly 208 shares, with the stated payout at $201.06.

• If Nix clears 200 passing yards: Return of $201.06.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A near coin-flip price that still pays back more than double your stake.

Best Rushing Yards Prop Today - J.K. Dobbins 50+ Rushing Yards

Dobbins has settled in as Denver's clear lead back, and Payton's offense is built to feed him early and often behind a defense that can protect a lead.

Seattle's run defense has had its slip-ups this season, and with the Seahawks banged up at running back themselves, this could turn into a game both sides try to win on the ground.

At 48 cents, $100 buys roughly 208 shares, with the stated payout at $201.06.

• If Dobbins clears 50 rushing yards: Return of $201.06.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

Another near coin-flip number that still pays back more than double your money.

Best Rushing Yards Prop Today - Emanuel Wilson 70+ Rushing Yards

With Jadarian Price out, Wilson steps into a featured early-down role for Seattle, and Denver's front has shown real cracks against the run this season.

Seattle's offense ranks near the bottom of the league in rushing efficiency overall, but a bigger workload against a softer front gives Wilson a real shot at this number regardless of scheme.

At 47 cents, $100 buys roughly 213 shares, with the stated payout at $205.21.

• If Wilson clears 70 rushing yards: Return of $205.21.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A near coin-flip price that still returns just over 2x your stake.

Best Passing Touchdowns Prop Today - Sam Darnold 2+ Touchdowns

Seattle's ground game has been one of the league's least efficient units this season, which pushes more of the scoring burden onto Darnold's arm with Price sidelined.

Darnold turned the ball over four times last week against San Francisco, but Denver's defense has lived off takeaways rather than consistent pressure, and a clean pocket could let him find the end zone twice through the air regardless of those giveaways.

At 43 cents, $100 buys roughly 233 shares, with the stated payout at $223.69.

• If Darnold throws two or more touchdowns: Return of $223.69.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A longer shot than the moneyline, but the payout still covers more than double your stake.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today - Cooper Kupp 30+ Receiving Yards

Kupp remains a reliable possession target for Seattle even in a complementary role behind Smith-Njigba, and a low bar like 30 yards is typically an early-down formality for him when he's on the field.

Denver's defense has been tough on opposing passing games this season, which explains why even a modest number like this sits below a coin flip.

At 39.99 cents, $100 buys roughly 250 shares, with the stated payout at $240.07.

• If Kupp clears 30 receiving yards: Return of $240.07.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A modest number priced as a longer shot, but the payout here is 2.4x your stake.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today - J.K. Dobbins 1+ Touchdown

Dobbins sits atop Denver's touchdown board among running backs, and a team built around ball control and short fields tends to feed its lead back near the goal line.

If Denver's defense continues forcing short fields the way it did against the Chargers, Dobbins projects for extra scoring chances tonight.

At 32 cents, $100 buys roughly 312 shares, with the stated payout at $298.40.

• If Dobbins scores a touchdown: Return of $298.40.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A true longshot price, but the payout here is almost 3x your stake.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today - Cooper Kupp 1+ Touchdown

Kupp still carries real red-zone equity even working behind Smith-Njigba in the target share, and Seattle's limited ground game means more of its scoring is likely to come through the air tonight.

It's a true longshot price, but a veteran possession receiver finding paydirt once in a shootout-leaning game isn't far-fetched.

At 17 cents, $100 buys roughly 588 shares, with the stated payout at $556.17.

• If Kupp scores a touchdown: Return of $556.17.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A deep longshot, but the payout here is more than 5.5x your stake.

Best First Touchdown Scorer Pick Today - Jaxon Smith-Njigba

As the reigning Offensive Player of the Year and Seattle's clear top target, Smith-Njigba is the most likely single player on this board to get there first if the Seahawks strike early.

Denver's defense has been disciplined, but a game-opening script that favors Seattle's passing attack puts him in range for an early score.

At 13 cents, $100 buys roughly 769 shares, with the stated payout at $725.38.

• If Smith-Njigba scores the game's first touchdown: Return of $725.38.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A true TNF best bets longshot, but the payout here is more than 7x your stake.

Best First Touchdown Scorer Pick Today - RJ Harvey

Harvey sits behind Dobbins in Denver's backfield pecking order, which makes a first-score role a true longshot rather than a featured early-down look.

If Denver wants to control tempo and keep Seattle's offense off the field early, a change-of-pace carry near the goal line could still get Harvey there first.

At 6 cents, $100 buys roughly 1,667 shares, with the stated payout at $1,564.50.

• If Harvey scores the game's first touchdown: Return of $1,564.50.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

An extreme longshot, but the payout here is more than 15x your money.

TNF Best Bets: Moneyline, Spread, and Total

Before the board dives into player props, here's where this Seahawks vs Broncos prediction stands on the base game lines tonight.

Even with Seattle favored, this line has moved slowly all week, and that steadiness carries right into tonight's full slate of anytime TD scorer predictions below.

Anytime TD Scorer Predictions

Our anytime TD scorer predictions below cover every player Polymarket has priced for this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 47%): Seattle's clear No. 1 target and focal point of the offense.
• Emanuel Wilson (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 45%): stepping into a bigger early-down role with Price out.
• J.K. Dobbins (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 32%): Denver's clear lead back near the goal line.
• Jaylen Waddle (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 26%): real big-play equity on any given snap.
• Courtland Sutton (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 26%): Denver's most trusted red-zone target.
• AJ Barner (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 24%): a sneaky red-zone body for Seattle's offense.
• RJ Harvey (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 23%): a change-of-pace role behind Dobbins.
• Rashid Shaheed (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 18%): a deep-shot threat for Seattle.
• Bo Nix (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 17%): sneak or scramble equity for Denver's mobile quarterback.
• Cooper Kupp (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 17%): still carries real red-zone equity for Seattle.
• George Holani (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 16%): Seattle's depth back in a complementary role.
• Evan Engram (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 15%): a reliable Denver safety valve.
• Troy Franklin (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 12%): a developing downfield option for Denver.
• Tory Horton (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 10%): a rookie carving out snaps for Seattle.
• Elijah Arroyo (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 9%): a rookie tight end mixing into Seattle's red-zone looks.
• Marvin Mims Jr. (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 9%): a big-play speed option for Denver.
• Adam Trautman (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 8%): a short-area safety valve for Denver.
• Sam Darnold (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 7%): longshot sneak equity for Seattle's quarterback.
• Tyler Badie (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 7%): Denver's third-string back.
• Velus Jones Jr. (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 7%): deep depth in Denver's receiver room.
• Nate Adkins (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 6%): Denver's depth tight end.
• Lil'Jordan Humphrey (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 6%): Seattle's depth receiver.
• Eric Saubert (Anytime TD 1+: Yes 5%): Seattle's second tight end in short-yardage packages.

First TD Scorer Predictions

Here's the full first touchdown scorer board as well, where only one player on the field can cash.

• Emanuel Wilson (First TD Scorer: Yes 14%): the likeliest player on the board to find paydirt first.
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba (First TD Scorer: Yes 13%): Seattle's security-blanket target in scoring range.
• J.K. Dobbins (First TD Scorer: Yes 11%): Denver's first crack at the end zone often runs through him.
• Jaylen Waddle (First TD Scorer: Yes 7%): a deep-shot threat on any given snap.
• AJ Barner (First TD Scorer: Yes 6%): a sneaky early red-zone look for Seattle.
• RJ Harvey (First TD Scorer: Yes 6%): a change-of-pace carry near the goal line.
• Courtland Sutton (First TD Scorer: Yes 6%): Denver's most trusted red-zone target.
• Rashid Shaheed (First TD Scorer: Yes 5%): a short-area Seattle target.
• Cooper Kupp (First TD Scorer: Yes 5%): a veteran possession receiver with real red-zone equity.
• George Holani (First TD Scorer: Yes 5%): Seattle's complementary back.
• Evan Engram (First TD Scorer: Yes 4%): a reliable Denver safety valve.
• Bo Nix (First TD Scorer: Yes 4%): a true longshot sneak.
• Tory Horton (First TD Scorer: Yes 3%): a rookie carving out snaps for Seattle.
• Troy Franklin (First TD Scorer: Yes 3%): a developing downfield option for Denver.
• Nate Adkins (First TD Scorer: Yes 2%): Denver's depth tight end.
• Sam Darnold (First TD Scorer: Yes 2%): a true longshot sneak.
• Eric Saubert (First TD Scorer: Yes 2%): Seattle's second tight end.
• Marvin Mims Jr. (First TD Scorer: Yes 2%): a big-play speed option for Denver.
• Elijah Arroyo (First TD Scorer: Yes 2%): a rookie tight end mixing into the game plan.
• Tyler Badie (First TD Scorer: Yes 2%): Denver's third-string back.
• Lil'Jordan Humphrey (First TD Scorer: Yes 2%): Seattle's depth receiver.
• Adam Trautman (First TD Scorer: Yes 2%): a short-area safety valve for Denver.
• No Touchdown Scored (First TD Scorer: Yes 1%): the field still carries real value if this one stays a defensive struggle early.

QB Passing Predictions: NFL Player Props for Darnold and Nix

Our best NFL player props for the two starting quarterbacks tonight focus on touchdowns and yardage.

• Sam Darnold (Passing Touchdowns 2+: Yes 43%): the clear path to Seattle's scoring with the run game banged up.
• Bo Nix (Passing Touchdowns 2+: Yes 35%): a tougher number given Denver's ball-control approach.
• Sam Darnold (Passing Yards 225+: Yes 50%): a fair number against a defense that just limited a different passing attack.
• Bo Nix (Passing Yards 200+: Yes 48%): within range even on a night built around the run.

Receiving Yards Props

• Courtland Sutton (Receiving Yards 30+: Yes 55%): Denver's clear top target.
• Evan Engram (Receiving Yards 20+: Yes 55%): a reliable safety valve underneath.
• Rashid Shaheed (Receiving Yards 20+: Yes 54%): a low bar for Seattle's deep-shot threat.
• Marvin Mims Jr. (Receiving Yards 10+: Yes 51%): an efficient role for Denver.
• AJ Barner (Receiving Yards 30+: Yes 47%): a realistic number given his role in the passing game.
• Troy Franklin (Receiving Yards 20+: Yes 47%): one explosive play away from clearing this number.
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Receiving Yards 100+: Yes 46%): the highest bar on this board for Seattle's top target.
• Jaylen Waddle (Receiving Yards 50+: Yes 46%): real big-play upside on any given target.
• Cooper Kupp (Receiving Yards 25+: Yes 45%): a reliable possession floor behind Smith-Njigba.

Rushing Yards Props

• RJ Harvey (Rushing Yards 15+: Yes 51%): a low bar in a change-of-pace role.
• J.K. Dobbins (Rushing Yards 50+: Yes 48%): a realistic workload number for Denver's lead back.
• George Holani (Rushing Yards 15+: Yes 48%): a modest number for Seattle's complementary back.
• Emanuel Wilson (Rushing Yards 70+: Yes 47%): his clearest path to a heavy workload tonight.
• Bo Nix (Rushing Yards 15+: Yes 47%): real scramble equity in a quarterback who can tuck it down.

What's Moving the Market

Prediction markets and prices can move for several reasons. This week, all of our best NFL prop bets today lean on two things: Seattle's turnover-prone offense without Jadarian Price in the backfield, and Denver's defense, which just forced three takeaways and held the Chargers to 118 passing yards.

That same defensive form is exactly why Denver's offense can afford to stay patient, leaning on Dobbins and a ball-control gameplan rather than pushing Nix downfield more than he needs to.

Early action has nudged Seattle's moneyline up slightly after last week's giveaways, a sign the market still trusts the Seahawks' overall talent gap even with the turnover concerns priced in on a short week.

How to Trade This Board on Polymarket

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• Monitor the relevant tab on Polymarket to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
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Updated on 10/15/26

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Deposit $10, Get a $25 Trading Bonus!

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18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

📝 POLYMARKET TERMS & CONDITIONS

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Final Thoughts: Best NFL Prop Bets Today

Seattle still looks like the more talented roster across most of the board tonight, but a short week, a banged-up backfield, and last week's turnovers keep this one from being a lock in either direction.

Denver's defense is the swing factor: if it plays the way it did against the Chargers, this Seahawks vs Broncos prediction could get tight fast, and that's exactly why the board has so many near coin-flip numbers up and down tonight's TNF best bets and best NFL player props.

Our anytime TD scorer predictions reflect that same uncertainty, with the top of the board bunched closer together than you'd expect between a Super Bowl favorite and a defense-first underdog.

That wraps our full Seahawks vs Broncos prediction and every best NFL prop bets today pick we'd make on the Polymarket board.

Seahawks vs Broncos Prediction FAQs

Who wins the Seahawks vs Broncos prediction tonight?

The Polymarket board favors Seattle at 57% to win outright, with the Seahawks also laying 2.5 points on the spread.

What are the best NFL player props for this game?

Our top plays lean on Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving yards number, Bo Nix's passing yards floor, and the rushing workloads for both backfields with Jadarian Price sidelined for Seattle.

What are the best anytime TD scorer predictions for Seahawks vs Broncos?

Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Emanuel Wilson sit atop the full anytime touchdown board, with J.K. Dobbins priced as Denver's safest option.

How do I use the Polymarket promo code on VegasInsider?

Create an account, make a qualifying deposit, and enter the Polymarket promo code to unlock a trading bonus before kickoff.

What time does Seahawks vs Broncos kick off?

This one plays out during tonight's TNF window, with Denver hosting Seattle at Empower Field at Mile High.

What is the best NFL prop bet today for this game?

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving yards number and Bo Nix's passing yards floor are the two picks we'd point to first, given how close to a coin flip both are priced.

Zach Parkes

Zach Parkes is a Toronto-based casino enthusiast and an avid sports fan. As an SEO Content Analyst in the Casino division of Better Collective, he provides expertise in the rapidly growing North American online casino market. More from Zach Parkes