Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 14:01 PM
Sunday Blitz - Week 7
Editor's Note: Kevin Rogers is currently on a 7-2 run in the NFL coming off Thursday's blowout win by the Broncos. He is locked and loaded with four winners for Week 7 NFL action. Click to win!
GAMES TO WATCH
Patriots (-3, 49) at Bears – 1:00 PM EST
One month ago, New England (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) put up 10 points in a loss at Detroit to fall to 1-2. The Patriots, per usual, woke up and pulled off three consecutive wins in which they scored 38 points or more. The latest triumph came in a thrilling 43-40 victory over the previously undefeated Chiefs last Sunday night to finish off a three-game sweep at Gillette Stadium. Although New England failed to cash as 3 ½-point favorites, Tom Brady threw for 340 yards and rookie running back Sony Michel rushed for two touchdowns to lead the Patriots to their 11th straight home victory.
The Bears (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) return home after seeing their three-game winning streak snapped in a 31-28 overtime setback at Miami last Sunday. Chicago’s defense was eaten up in its worst performance of the season by allowing its most points in regulation (28) and yielding over 540 yards to Miami. Mitchell Trubisky played his second consecutive solid game under center for Chicago as the second-year quarterback threw for 316 yards and three touchdowns, but the Bears fell to 0-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Now, Chicago is flipped to the home underdog role for the first time this season after defeating Seattle and Tampa Bay as a favorite at Soldier Field. Last season, the Bears put together a solid 4-0-1 ATS mark as a home ‘dog, while compiling an impressive 8-1-1 ATS ledger in this role since 2016. However, New England is 4-0 under Brady against Chicago since 2002, including a 51-23 rout at Gillette Stadium in their last meeting in 2014.
Best Bet: Bears 23, Patriots 21
Panthers at Eagles (-4 ½, 45 ½) – 1:00 PM EST
Two of the last three NFC champions meet at Lincoln Financial Field as these two squads are seeking their fourth win of the season. Carolina (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) faces its second straight NFC East opponent after falling at Washington last Sunday, 23-17. The Panthers closed as a one-point favorite but fell in a 17-0 hole before Carolina scored its first touchdown late in the second quarter on an athletic catch by wide receiver Devin Funchess. Carolina has been transparent from a home/away standpoint as the Panthers own a 3-0 mark at Bank of America Stadium, but are winless in two tries on the highway.
The Panthers will try to break through on the road against an Eagles (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) squad that is seeking back-to-back wins for the first time this season. Philadelphia put together its most complete effort in a 34-13 rout of the Giants last Thursday night to easily cash as 1 ½-point road favorites. Carson Wentz returned to his old form by tossing three touchdown passes, including two to Alshon Jeffery to end a four-game ATS skid.
Philadelphia held off Carolina last season in Charlotte, 28-23 to cash as three-point underdogs. Wentz connected on three touchdown passes, while Panthers’ quarterback Cam Newton was intercepted three times as Philadelphia won at Bank of America Stadium for the first time since 2009. The Panthers own a 6-3 ATS mark in the underdog role since the start of last season, but Carolina has dropped five consecutive road contests since Week 13 of 2017.
Best Bet: Eagles 24, Panthers 21
Saints at Ravens (-2 ½, 50) – 4:05 PM EST
New Orleans (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) returns from the bye week seeking its fifth consecutive win after losing the season opener to Tampa Bay. Drew Brees overtook Peyton Manning for the most passing yards in NFL history on a 63-yard touchdown strike to Tre’quan Smith in a 43-19 home rout of Washington in Week 5. Brees owns an incredible 11/0 touchdown to interception ratio this season, while the Saints have scored 43, 33, and 43 points the last three games.
The Saints will be definitely tested against this Ravens (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) defense, that has allowed 14 points or less in four consecutive games. Baltimore hasn’t yielded a touchdown in each of the past two weeks, while blanking Tennessee last week, 21-0 as the Ravens limited the Titans to a shade over 100 yards of offense. Since cashing the OVER in the first two games, Baltimore is currently on a 4-0 run to the UNDER, while New Orleans is off an OVER against Washington, but the Saints haven’t hit back-to-back OVERS this season.
Brees is winless in three starts against the Ravens since arriving in New Orleans in 2006, including a 34-27 setback at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in 2014. New Orleans has covered in five of its last six interconference games away from the Big Easy, including victories over Miami and Buffalo last season. The Ravens are back at home following a three-game road trip as teams in this situation in 2017 posted a 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS mark.
Best Bet: Ravens 26, Saints 23
Kevin Rogers (3-2 last week, 17-11-2 on season)
Lions -2 ½
Panthers +4 ½
Chris David (1-3-1 last week, 18-11-1 on season)
Saints +2 ½
Rams -9 ½
Giants +5 ½
Kevin Rogers (5-1)
Colts over Bills
Chris David (5-1)
Colts over Bills
BEST TOTAL PLAY (1-0 last week, 4-2 this season)
OVER 52 – Rams at 49ers
Last week, we went with the UNDER on the Rams in Denver as L.A. escaped with a 23-20 win on a 50 total. The Rams are coming off their lowest point total of the season, but this team is capable of dropping at least 30 points, which they have done five times. The 49ers are currently on a five-game OVER streak since cashing the UNDER in their opening week loss at Minnesota. San Francisco has scored 27 points or more in four of the past five weeks, while allowing at least 27 points in five consecutive contests.
TRAP OF THE WEEK
For the second consecutive season, the Jets own a 3-3 record through six games. New York welcomes in Minnesota, as the Vikings are coming off back-to-back wins over the Cardinals and Eagles. The Jets are listed as a home underdog for the first time this season, as New York posted an impressive 7-1 ATS mark in this role in 2017, including four outright wins. Dating back to last season, the Vikings have compiled a 1-5-1 ATS mark in their last seven opportunities as a favorite, including a non-cover in a tie at Green Bay in Week 2.
BIGGEST LINE MOVE
The Colts opened up a 6 ½-point home favorite over the Bills as Indianapolis is coming off road losses to the Patriots and Jets. Buffalo will be without rookie quarterback Josh Allen due to an elbow injury, as the Bills turn to journeyman Derek Anderson this week. After that move at quarterback, the Colts moved to a 7 ½-point favorite as that line should continue to climb towards kickoff. Since Buffalo pounded Minnesota in Week 3 by a 27-6 count, the Bills have scored a combined 26 points the last three weeks.
BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW
The Dolphins pulled off an impressive home overtime victory over the Bears last week to improve to 4-2 on the season and 3-0 at Hard Rock Stadium. Miami moved to 5-1 SU/ATS in its past six home contests dating back to last December, including four outright wins as an underdog. The Dolphins will start Brock Osweiler at quarterback once in place of the injured Ryan Tannehill as Miami hosts Detroit. The Lions are three-point favorites in spite of losing both road games this season and owning a 3-6-1 ATS mark in its past 10 as chalk away from Ford Field.
Want FREE picks for Week 7 in the NFL? Check them out here for the top three games of the weekend along with other insider selections.
You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at [email protected]
Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.