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2020 Las Vegas Raiders Props


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Books expect Jacobs to lead Raiders

Las Vegas is finally getting its own NFL team, so it’s only natural that sportsbooks are going to offer Raider-specific props for the locals to dabble in. The Westgate SuperBook put out an extensive variety of props for those looking to wager on the new team setting up camp on southern end of the strip.

Beyond the win total and divisional futures available for all 32 teams, player-specific props have been crafted for Las Vegas Raiders currently on the roster. An additional fun prop regarding the opening of Allegiant Stadium, referred to henceforth as the “Death Star,” is also available for the stadium’s regular-season debut against the New Orleans Saints on Sept. 21.


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For decades, skeptics wondered how Las Vegas could house a team in its backyard while also taking bets at counters on action. The paranoia was proven delusional by the arrival of the NHL’s Golden Knights, who have flourished as both a hometown team and a draw at the betting counter. The Raiders should function in the same manner as Jon Gruden looks to build a winner in the desert.

Although we’re months out from even knowing if we’ll have a conventional NFL Season, there are still a couple of numbers set forth that stand out as great value spots. The following is a list of available Las Vegas Raiders props at the Westgate SuperBook. Stipulations include players getting into at least one game for action and the season being completed by August of 2021.

List of available Las Vegas Raiders Props

(Odds courtesy of Westgate SuperBook)

Derek Carr 3,099.5 Passing yards (O/U -110)
Derek Carr 17.5 TD Passes (O/U -110)
Derek Carr 8.5 interceptions (O +110/U -130)
Josh Jacobs 1,149 Rushing yards (O +110/-130)
Josh Jacobs 7.5 Total TDs (O/U -110)
Lynn Bowden 375.5 Rushing and receiving yards (O/U -110)
Nelson Agholor 37.5 receptions (O/U -110)
Nelson Agholor 399.5 receiving yards (O/U -110)
Hunter Renfrow 47.5 receptions (O/U -110)
Hunter Renfrow 549.5 receiving yards (O/U -110)
Henry Ruggs III 45.5 receptions (O/U -110)
Henry Ruggs III 699.5 receiving yards (O/U -110)
Darren Waller 69.5 receptions (O/U -110)
Darren Waller 799.5 receiving yards (O/U -110)
Tyrell Williams 34.5 receptions (O/U -110)
Tyrell Williams 499.5 receiving yards (O/U -110)
Maxx Crosby 5.5 QB sacks (O/U -110)
Maxx Crosby 45.5 solo and assisted tackles (O/U -110)
Clelin Farrell 5.5 QB sacks (O/U -110)
Clelin Ferrell 40.5 solo and assisted tackles (O/U -110)

Best Bets

Nelson Agholor OVER 37.5 receptions
Nelson Agholor OVER 399.5 receiving yards
Josh Jacobs OVER 7.5 Total TDs
Derek Carr UNDER 3,099.5 Passing Yards
Hunter Renfrow UNDER 47.5 Receptions
Hunter Renfrow UNDER 549.5 Receiving Yards
Clelin Farrell UNDER 7.5 Total TDs

Analysis: My expectation is that Nelson Agholor will emerge as a major catalyst in the Raiders' passing games, so the numbers attached to him look low to me. Although rookie Henry Ruggs III was the big offseason haul, exciting Raider Nation given his standing as the fastest receiver in the loaded 2020 class, he'll still have to prove he can excel against pro defenses and needs to prove adept at round running, so even though his numbers appear to be low-hanging fruit, Agholor looks like the safter option.

The 26-year-old USC product fell out of favor in Philadelphia last season due to injuries and his repeated drop issues that plagued him throughout his pro career, but still managed to haul in 39 receptions despite appearing in a career-low 11 games. He made 126 catches over two seasons in 2017-18 and should be Las Vegas' No. 1 receiver, supplanting Tyrell Williams in that role. Barriing and injury and accounting for his case of the dropsies to follow him West, Agholor should still easily surpass 40 catches and 400 receiving yards.

Josh Jacobs scored seven touchdowns en route to setting a Raider rookie record with 1,150 rushing yards. While I have no opinion on whether he'll be able to eclipse that figure since the team has upgraded at receiver, I think they'll be in a better position to score points this season and expect Jacobs to find the end zone more than he managed to in his first season. Emerging as more of a receiving threat out of the backfield should aid the cause since he didn't record a TD catch in 2019.

If fading is more your scene, take a shot at Derek Carr not spending enough time under center to top 3,100 passing yards. Carr threw for over 4,000 yards last season but now has Marcus Mariota on board to trying to take his job. It's hard to imagine Las Vegas' season unfolding smoothly enough where Carr doesn't lose snaps to the newcomer. Ride the low side.

Former Clemson star Hunter Renfrow punctured a lung and suffered broken ribs last season but still managed to finish with 49 receptions for 605 yards as a rookie, but he figures to lose touches with Agholor and Ruggs on board. I'd ride the 'under' on his props too.

First to score TD at Allegiant Stadium in home opener

(Odds courtesy of Las Vegas Westgate SuperBook)

Alvin Kamara, Saints +500
Michael Thomas, Saints +600
Josh Jacobs, Raiders +800
Emmanuel Sanders, Saints +1200
Hunter Renfrow, Raiders +1400
Henry Ruggs III, Raiders +1400
Darren Waller, Raiders +1400
Tyrell Williams, Raiders +1600
Jared Cook, Saints +1600
Taysom Hill, Saints +1600
Latavius Murray, Saints +2000
Drew Brees, Saints +3000
Josh Hill, Saints +3000
Tre’Quan Smith, Saints +3000
Lynn Bowden, Raiders +3000
Derek Carr, Raiders +3000
Bryan Edwards, Raiders +3000
Jalen Richard, Raiders +3000
Field +800
TD scored in any other home game +30000

Best Bets

Michael Thomas, Saints +600
Jared Cook, Saints +1600
Josh Hill, Saints +3000

Analysis: The Saints should be favored to break through with the first touchdown scored at the Death Star since they'll be the 'chalk' for the game despite the atmosphere in a Monday night setting. Will the "Black Hole" travel well? You know Oakland's vote on that. In handicapping this prop, we'll ride with visiting New Orleans, especially since Drew Brees has been brilliant on Monday nights. He's won his last four games on MNF, throwing nine touchdown passes.

Brees' brilliance makes top target Michael Thomas, a native of nearby L.A., a great candidate to break through first. Other solid longshots are the team's tight ends, former Raider standout Jared Cook and Josh Hill, a veteran from Pocatello, Idaho, less than 600 from Las Vegas.

Follow Tony Mejia on Twitter at @TonyMejiaNBA or e-mail him at mejia@vegasinsider.com

  
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