Last Updated Sep 12, 2022, 8:19 PM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys Picks, Predictions, Odds

The first Sunday of regular season NFL action will conclude with a heavyweight NFC bout between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Dallas Cowboys. Coverage begins from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.


The Cowboys and Buccaneers will meet in Week 1 for a second straight season this Sunday night, and viewers should be in for a treat if its anything like last year’s thrilling 31-29 victory for Tampa Bay. Their previous 60-point shootout wasn’t exactly a fluke either, as the Cowboys’ offense went on to lead the entire league in scoring at 30.4 PPG, which barely edged the Bucs at 29.9 PPG.

However, both defenses quickly turned things around after poor performances in Week 1, as the Bucs finished the year seventh in the league in points allowed at 20.9 PPG; while the Cowboys' defensive unit finished directly behind them at 21.2 PPG.

It’s tough to ignore the reigning NFC East champs getting tagged as underdogs at home in this spot, but the over is probably your best bet here. Dallas and Tampa Bay both posted blistering hot starts on offense last season, as the Cowboys racked up 34.2 PPG across the first six weeks of the year; while the Bucs averaged a similar 33.3 PPG across their first seven. Both squads lost weaponry in the pass-catching department this offseason, but I still expect to see more Week 1 fireworks between a Bucs squad that scored 27+ PTS in 13-of-17 contests last year; and a Cowboys squad that scored 27+ PTS in 11-of-17 contests.

Score Prediction: Cowboys 30, Buccaneers 24
Best Bet: Over 50.5 (-110)


More Odds | Futures Odds


Date: Sunday, Sept. 11, 2022
Matchup: NFC South vs. NFC East
Venue: AT&T Stadium
Location: Arlington, Texas
Time-TV: NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET


The Buccaneers won the NFC South with a record of 13-4 last season, which marks the first time Tampa Bay has been crowned division champs since 2007 under head coach Jon Gruden and QB Jeff Garcia, trailing only the Packers for the top seed in the conference.

However, both squads’ postseason journeys came to a screeching halt in the Divisional Round, as the Packers dropped a stunner to San Francisco at Lambeau Field (L, 13-10); while the Bucs fell in heartbreaking fashion to the Rams (L, 30-27), who went on to host the NFC Championship Game and win the Super Bowl.

The Buccaneers ultimately came up short in the playoffs last year, but make no mistake, this is still one of top squads in the NFC, and they deservedly boast the second-best title odds after finishing top seven in both points scored and points allowed last season (29.9 OPPG, 20.9 DPPG); and coming just three points shy of knocking off the eventual Super Bowl Champs in the Divisional Round.

The Bucs are 0-5 SU in their last five road games against Dallas. (Getty Images)


The Cowboys won the NFC East with a record of 12-5 SU last season, earning the third seed in the conference and a home playoff matchup against San Francisco on Wild Card Weekend. However, their title hopes fizzled out quickly, as the Cowboys’ top-ranked scoring offense generated just 17 points on 307 total yards en route to a disappointing home loss to open the postseason (L, 23-17).

Prior to Wild Card Weekend, Dallas was respected as a legitimate title contender at +1200 to win last year’s Super Bowl, which only ranked behind the Packers (+380), Buccaneers (+800), and Rams (+1000) in the NFC; and rightfully so, as the Cowboys’ offense ranked 1st in scoring and 2nd in total yardage during the regular season (30.4 PPG, 401 YPG), which was backed by a solid defensive unit ranking 8th in points allowed and 18th in total yardage (21.2 PPG, 350 YPG).

I wouldn’t exactly call their first-round playoff loss a “choke,” especially after San Francisco went on to upset the Packers in the Divisional Round, and came just three points shy of knocking off the Rams in the NFC Championship Game (L, 20-17); but for a squad that’s 58-39 in the regular season since drafting Dak Prescott, you’d think Dallas would have more than one playoff win to show for their success during that span.


  • The Bucs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • The Cowboys are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games.
  • The Bucs are 2-7 SU in their last nine matchups against Dallas.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of Dallas' last 12 games.
  • The Bucs are 14-3 SU in their last 17 road games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of Dallas' last six games against Tampa Bay.
  • The Bucs are 0-5 SU in their last five road games against Dallas.
  • The total has gone OVER in 13 of Dallas' last 19 home games.
We may be compensated by the company links provided on this page. Read more

NFL News