Week 1 NFL Tech Trends

American football betting expert and handicapper Bruce Marshall breaks down the top trends for the entire Week 1 NFL slate. Check them out below and be sure sure to visit our NFL picks page for expert selections on games this week!

Thursday, Sept. 8

Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)

  • Bills 9-3 vs. spread last 12 reg season road games.
  • Buff “over” 10-3 last 13 road games (including playoffs).
  • Rams 4-1 SU and vs. spread last five as dog., but only 5-6 vs. points at SoFi last season.

Tech Play: Bills, Over

Sunday, September 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Washington Commanders (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

  • Jags lost and failed to cover last four on road a year ago en route to 2-6 spread mark away from home.
  • J’ville also enters 2022 on 13-5 “under” run.
  • Wash actually 6-2-1 vs. spread down stretch last season and was “under” last five at Fed Ex.
  • Doug Pederson Jags debut.

Tech Play: Commanders, Under

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

  • Bengals have won and covered last three meetings.
  • Tomlin 4-4 as road dog in reg season a year ago, but was 11-3 previous 14 in role.
  • Cincy closed 2021 by covering eight in a row, was also “under” last five in 2021.
  • Bengals, Under

Tech Play: Bengals, Under

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

  • Belichick has had problems in past at Miami even with some of his Super Bowl teams.
  • He’s 2-7 SU and vs. spread last nine on road vs. Dolphins and has lost and failed to cover last three in series.
  • Dolphins closed last season 8-1 S, 7-2 vs. line.
  • McDaniel Miami debut.

Tech Play: Dolphins

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

  • Birds covered 5 of last 7 on road in reg season a year ago, including 44-6 romp at Ford Field.
  • Despite poor overall mark a year ago, Lions did manage covers in 6 of 8 at home (though not vs. Philly), and were a solid 11-6 vs. line overall, covering eight games in which they didn’t win outright!

Tech Play: Eagles

Cleveland Browns vs. Carolina Panthers (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

  • Mayfield game! Browns lost and failed to cover six of last eight a season ago.
  • Panthers however lost and failed to cover their last seven in 2021, losing and failing to cover last six in Charlotte.

Tech Play: Browns

San Francisco 49ers vs. Chicago Bears (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

  • Niners won and covered at Soldier Field last Halloween, part of their 8-4 spread mark away from Santa Clara.
  • SF now 20-8 vs. spread as visitor since 2019.
  • Niners also “under” 7-1 last eight in 2021. Bears were 1-5 vs. line last six at home a year ago.
  • Matt Eberflus Bears debut.

Tech Play: Niners

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

  • Last year, Colts won and covered both meetings by near-identical 31-3 & 31-0 scorelines.
  • Indy has covered six of last seven in series, and Reich had covered six straight on the road last season before last-game loss at Jags.
  • Texans actually decent 5-4 for Culley at home in 2021 despite overall poor SU mark of 4-13.
  • Last five “under” in series.

Tech Play: Colts, Under

Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Jets (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

  • Ravens have won and covered 5 of last 6 openers (L came last year at Raiders), though they did drop 4 of 5 as road chalk during injury-plagued 2021.
  • Jets have failed to cover in four of last five openers, also just 12-21 vs. spread last two seasons.

Tech Play: Ravens

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

  • Saints have won and covered last four at Falcons.
  • NO covered 6 of last 8 on road a year ago.
  • Before both meetings went “over” a year ago, five straight were “under” in this series.
  • Falcons failed to cover all seven at Mercedes Benz last season (one “home” game in London vs. Jets).
  • Dennis Allen Saints debut.

Tech Play: Saints

New York Giants vs. Tennessee Titans (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

  • Daboll Giants debut. G-Men closed 2021 with a whimper, lose and failed to cover last six and seven of last eight.
  • Once sparkling road dog marks dissipated down stretch, dropping last four in role after 13-3 previous 16 getting points away.
  • NY also on 18-5 “under” run since mid 2020. Titans were “under” 5 of last 6 in 2021, and covered 6 of last 8 in Nashville during reg season a year ago.

Tech Play: Under

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

  • O’Connell Vikings debut.
  • Teams have split the past two seasons.
  • Pack dropped four of last five vs. spread in 2021 after covering 11 of first 13.
  • No covers last three away in 2021 for Pack.
  • Four straight “over” in this series.
  • Vikes “over” 7 of last 8 in 2021.

Tech Play: Over

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Arizona Cardinals (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)

  • Chiefs have won last seven openers, covering five of those.
  • KC, however, only 5-8 vs. spread last 13 away, and just 12-19 against line last 31 on board.
  • Chiefs “over” 7 of last 8 in 2021.
  • Cards have covered last three openers, and 5-1 vs. spread in first two games of each of last three seasons.
  • Kingsbury also 5-1 last six as dog.
  • But Az only 2-7 vs. line last nine as host.

Tech Play: Cardinals, Over

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)

  • McDaniels debut for Raiders, remember he won and covered his first six when at Denver in 2009 in last head coaching gig.
  • Teams have split the past two seasons, three of those four meetings “over” as well.
  • Raiders were just 3-5 vs. spread last eight away a season ago, Chargers “over” last six in 2021

Tech Play: Over

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)

  • Same opener as last year only that one was in Tampa and Bucs prevailed 31-29 on a Thursday night, but no cover.
  • Bucs only 4-5 vs. spread away last season.
  • Cowboys opened with seven straight covers a season ago but were just 2-4 vs. spread last six in Arlington.
  • Bowles Bucs debut.

Tech Play: Cowboys

Monday, September 12

Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)

  • Hackett Broncos debut.
  • Broncos “under” 12-5 with Fangio last season.
  • Wilson back in Seattle where Seahawks only 4-4 vs. line a year ago.
  • Pete Carroll enters season on 17-8 “under” run.

Tech Play: Under

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  • Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
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