Week 1 NFL Tech Trends

Bruce Marshall Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

American football betting expert and handicapper Bruce Marshall breaks down the top trends for the entire Week 1 NFL slate. Check them out below and be sure sure to visit our NFL picks page for expert selections on games this week!

Thursday, Sept. 8

Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)

• Bills 9-3 vs. spread last 12 reg season road games.
• Buff “over” 10-3 last 13 road games (including playoffs).
• Rams 4-1 SU and vs. spread last five as dog., but only 5-6 vs. points at SoFi last season.

Tech Play: Bills, Over

Sunday, September 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Washington Commanders (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

• Jags lost and failed to cover last four on road a year ago en route to 2-6 spread mark away from home.
• J’ville also enters 2022 on 13-5 “under” run.
• Wash actually 6-2-1 vs. spread down stretch last season and was “under” last five at Fed Ex.
• Doug Pederson Jags debut.

Tech Play: Commanders, Under

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

• Bengals have won and covered last three meetings.
• Tomlin 4-4 as road dog in reg season a year ago, but was 11-3 previous 14 in role.
• Cincy closed 2021 by covering eight in a row, was also “under” last five in 2021.
• Bengals, Under

Tech Play: Bengals, Under

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

• Belichick has had problems in past at Miami even with some of his Super Bowl teams.
• He’s 2-7 SU and vs. spread last nine on road vs. Dolphins and has lost and failed to cover last three in series.
• Dolphins closed last season 8-1 S, 7-2 vs. line.
• McDaniel Miami debut.

Tech Play: Dolphins

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

• Birds covered 5 of last 7 on road in reg season a year ago, including 44-6 romp at Ford Field.
• Despite poor overall mark a year ago, Lions did manage covers in 6 of 8 at home (though not vs. Philly), and were a solid 11-6 vs. line overall, covering eight games in which they didn’t win outright!

Tech Play: Eagles

Cleveland Browns vs. Carolina Panthers (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

• Mayfield game! Browns lost and failed to cover six of last eight a season ago.
• Panthers however lost and failed to cover their last seven in 2021, losing and failing to cover last six in Charlotte.

Tech Play: Browns

San Francisco 49ers vs. Chicago Bears (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

• Niners won and covered at Soldier Field last Halloween, part of their 8-4 spread mark away from Santa Clara.
• SF now 20-8 vs. spread as visitor since 2019.
• Niners also “under” 7-1 last eight in 2021. Bears were 1-5 vs. line last six at home a year ago.
• Matt Eberflus Bears debut.

Tech Play: Niners

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

• Last year, Colts won and covered both meetings by near-identical 31-3 & 31-0 scorelines.
• Indy has covered six of last seven in series, and Reich had covered six straight on the road last season before last-game loss at Jags.
• Texans actually decent 5-4 for Culley at home in 2021 despite overall poor SU mark of 4-13.
• Last five “under” in series.

Tech Play: Colts, Under

Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Jets (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

• Ravens have won and covered 5 of last 6 openers (L came last year at Raiders), though they did drop 4 of 5 as road chalk during injury-plagued 2021.
• Jets have failed to cover in four of last five openers, also just 12-21 vs. spread last two seasons.

Tech Play: Ravens

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

• Saints have won and covered last four at Falcons.
• NO covered 6 of last 8 on road a year ago.
• Before both meetings went “over” a year ago, five straight were “under” in this series.
• Falcons failed to cover all seven at Mercedes Benz last season (one “home” game in London vs. Jets).
• Dennis Allen Saints debut.

Tech Play: Saints

New York Giants vs. Tennessee Titans (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

• Daboll Giants debut. G-Men closed 2021 with a whimper, lose and failed to cover last six and seven of last eight.
• Once sparkling road dog marks dissipated down stretch, dropping last four in role after 13-3 previous 16 getting points away.
• NY also on 18-5 “under” run since mid 2020. Titans were “under” 5 of last 6 in 2021, and covered 6 of last 8 in Nashville during reg season a year ago.

Tech Play: Under

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

• O’Connell Vikings debut.
• Teams have split the past two seasons.
• Pack dropped four of last five vs. spread in 2021 after covering 11 of first 13.
• No covers last three away in 2021 for Pack.
• Four straight “over” in this series.
• Vikes “over” 7 of last 8 in 2021.

Tech Play: Over

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Arizona Cardinals (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)

• Chiefs have won last seven openers, covering five of those.
• KC, however, only 5-8 vs. spread last 13 away, and just 12-19 against line last 31 on board.
• Chiefs “over” 7 of last 8 in 2021.
• Cards have covered last three openers, and 5-1 vs. spread in first two games of each of last three seasons.
• Kingsbury also 5-1 last six as dog.
• But Az only 2-7 vs. line last nine as host.

Tech Play: Cardinals, Over

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)

• McDaniels debut for Raiders, remember he won and covered his first six when at Denver in 2009 in last head coaching gig.
• Teams have split the past two seasons, three of those four meetings “over” as well.
• Raiders were just 3-5 vs. spread last eight away a season ago, Chargers “over” last six in 2021

Tech Play: Over

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)

• Same opener as last year only that one was in Tampa and Bucs prevailed 31-29 on a Thursday night, but no cover.
• Bucs only 4-5 vs. spread away last season.
• Cowboys opened with seven straight covers a season ago but were just 2-4 vs. spread last six in Arlington.
• Bowles Bucs debut.

Tech Play: Cowboys

Monday, September 12

Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)

• Hackett Broncos debut.
• Broncos “under” 12-5 with Fangio last season.
• Wilson back in Seattle where Seahawks only 4-4 vs. line a year ago.
• Pete Carroll enters season on 17-8 “under” run.

Tech Play: Under

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

• Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
• Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
• Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.

Bruce Marshall

Bruce's unique and colorful brand of football and basketball analysis, as well as informed commentary on the national and international sports scene, has made him an in-demand guest for many years on numerous sports talk radio and TV shows across the country. Bruce's vast array of editorial work has also been featured in VegasInsider, along with the Las Vegas Review-Journal and New York Post. Bruce, who is also in the midst of several book projects, combines all of his work while splitting time between Celebration, Florida and Henderson, Nevada. More from Bruce Marshall