Chicago Bears vs. New England Patriots Same Game Parlay Picks and Predictions

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

2 minute read

NFL betting expert Michael Crosson gives his same game parlay selection for Monday night's primetime matchup between the Chicago Bears and New England Patriots. Odds provided by DraftKings.

Bears vs. Patriots SGP Picks

• New England Patriots -9.5 (+100)
• Justin Fields (CHI) Over 149.5 Passing Yards (-175)
• Justin Fields (CHI) Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (-170)

Payout: +425

The Bears have one of the most dysfunctional offenses in recent memory, as Chicago averaged 15.5 PPG on 294 YPG across a 2-4 skid to open the season, with Justin Fields attempting just 19.2 passes per game across those six contests. However, the Bears’ relatively pedestrian record might be a bit misleading, as Chicago’s only wins came in a rainy slip-and-slide game against San Francisco in Week 1 (W, 19-10), and a seesaw thriller against Houston in Week 3 (W, 23-20).

The Patriots, on the other hand, have been on quite the rollercoaster to start the year, as New England’s offense averaged just 16.7 PPG across a 1-2 skid with Mac Jones under center to open the season. However, Jones suffered an ankle injury in Week 3, and New England’s offense has dominated since, as the Patriots racked up 30.3 PPG across a 2-1 stretch with backup QB Bailey Zappe leading the charge in Weeks 4 through 6, with their only loss during that span coming in overtime at Lambeau Field (L, 27-24 OT).

I’ll back New England to win by double-digits here, as we’re probably looking at a lopsided matchup between a Patriots squad that’s scored 24+ PTS in four straight contests (29.3 PPG), and a Bears squad that’s scored 23 PTS or less in all six of their games this season (15.5 PPG).

Justin Fields wasn't utilized much to start his sophomore campaign in Chicago, as Fields completed just 51% of his passes for 99 passing yards per game across the Bears’ first three contests, while rushing for 47 yards or less in all three of those affairs.

However, the Bears have leaned on him much more since Week 3, as Fields completed 57% of his passes for 191 passing yards per game across Chicago’s ensuing three matchups, while also rushing for 47+ yards in all three of those contests.

I’ll back Fields to keep it going in both departments here, as Fields attempted 17 passes or less in three straight contests to open the year, and while technically, that was the Bears most successful stint of the season thus far, I think we’ll see them continue to lean on their passing game on the road in Foxborough, however, that shouldn’t stop Fields from scrambling when the play breaks down, especially after averaging 62 yards on the ground across the last three weeks.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson