NFL Betting Trends – Week 9

Bruce Marshall Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

NFL betting expert and handicapper Bruce Marshall breaks down the top trends for the entire Week 9 NFL slate. Check them out below and be sure sure to visit our NFL picks page for expert selections on games this week!

Sunday, November 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons

• Chargers have covered last three on road this season and dropped last three vs. points at home.
• Bolts “over” 4-1 last five and now "over" 13-6 since early 2021.
• Falcons 6-2 vs. line in 2022 (3-1 at home), but have dropped last two vs. spread following 6-0 ATS start.

Tech Play: Falcons, Over
Expert Picks

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets

• Bills have won last four meetings (3-1 vs. line in those), no losses to Jets since late 2019 at home.
• Buffalo hasn’t lost to J-Men at Meadowlands since 2017.
• Jets have covered four straight this season but only 1-2 vs. spread at MetLife.
• Bills “under” 5-1 in 2022.

Tech Play: Bills, Under
Expert Picks

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

• Raiders had covered last three this season and 6-3 last nine vs. spread in reg season before getting blanked at New Orleans last week.
• Vegas also “over” 4-2-1 in 2022 even with the "under" last week.
• Jags have dropped last five SU and vs. number.

Tech Play: Raiders, Over
Expert Picks

Carolina Panthers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

• Panthers were on 3-17 SU and spread skid prior to covers in last two games, including a SU win voer Bucs, for interim Steve Wilks.
• Caroilna also “under” 5-3 this season (though "over" last week at Falcons).
• Bengals had covered five straight in 2022 and 13-2 last fifteen since late 2021 prior to laying an egg on Monday vs. Browns.
• Cincy also “under” 10-2-1 last 13 (though “over” 2-0-1 last three).

Tech Play: Bengals, Under
Expert Picks

Minnesota Vikings vs. Washington Commanders

• Vikings 6-1 SU but only 3-4 vs. spread in 2022, just 2-5 vs. spread last seven away (1-2 this season).
• Rivera 5-3 vs. spread last eight at home, 10-6-1 vs. spread since mid 2021, with SU wins and covers last three this season.
• Wash also “under” 10-5 since late 2021.

Tech Play: Washington, Under
Expert Picks

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions

• Note that home team has covered last five in series, and Pack has dropped last five vs. line at Ford Field.
• Green Bay squeezed out late cover at Buffalo on Sunday night after four spread L's preceding, now just 3-7 last ten and 4-9 last thirteen vs. line since late 2021.
• After covering 14 of first 20 with Lions, Dan Campbell now 0-3-1 last four vs. points.
• Detroit 7-2 “over” since late 2021, and both meetings “over” last season.

Tech Play: Lions, Over
Expert Picks

Miami Dolphins vs. Chicago Bears

• Dolphins 0-4-1 vs. points last five this season, also “under” 7-4 last eleven since late 2021.
• Bears have been alternating spread covers since beginning of campaign.

Tech Play: Bears, Under
Expert Picks

Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots

• Colts “under” 7-1 this season, 12-1 “under” since late 2021.
• Also 1-4 vs. spread last five away, but did beat Patriots at Lucas Oil last Dec. 18.
• Belichick 1-2 vs. spread at home this season, though “over” 4-2 last six.
• Tech edge-“Under,” based on “totals” trends.

Tech Play: Under
Expert Picks

Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals

• Cards just snapped 8-game SU skid at Glendale in win over Saints, have now covered last two at State Farm Stadium after dropping previous seven vs. points as host.
• Hawks won at home vs. Big Red on Oct 16 and have now covered 3 of last 4 meetings.
• Cards 8-4 “under” run (though "over" last two), while Pete Carroll “over” 4-2 last six.

Tech Play: Seahawks
Expert Picks

Los Angeles Rams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Rematch of Division Round last January 23 won by Rams 30-27, not to mention last two Super Bowl champs.
• Neither looking that way lately, as LA only 2-7 vs. spread last nine since that playoff win, also “under” 8-1 those eight games.
• After loss to Ravens last Thursday, Bucs no covers last five this season and “under” 6-2 in 2022.

Tech Play: Under
Expert Picks

Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs

• Home team has won and covered all three meetings since 2019 (Titans 2-1).
• Mike Vrabel has won and covered last five this season, and Titans 9-3 “under” since late 2021.
• Meanwhile, Andy Reid no covers last four at Arrowhead since late 2021.

Tech Play: Titans, Under
Expert Picks

Baltimore Ravens vs. New Orleans Saints

• Ravens 3-1 SU and ATS away this season after Bucs win last Thursday, “under” also 7-2 in last nine prior to “over” at Tampa Bay.
• Saints just 3-5 vs. points this season and 4-6 vs. spread last ten, but coming off a comprehensive home shutout of the Raiders.
• NO was also “over” four straight in 2022 before the "under" vs. Vegas. Tech edge-Ravens, based on team trends.

Tech Play: Ravens
Expert Picks

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

• Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
• Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
• Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.

Bruce Marshall

Bruce's unique and colorful brand of football and basketball analysis, as well as informed commentary on the national and international sports scene, has made him an in-demand guest for many years on numerous sports talk radio and TV shows across the country. Bruce's vast array of editorial work has also been featured in VegasInsider, along with the Las Vegas Review-Journal and New York Post. Bruce, who is also in the midst of several book projects, combines all of his work while splitting time between Celebration, Florida and Henderson, Nevada. More from Bruce Marshall