NFL Betting Trends – Week 9

NFL betting expert and handicapper Bruce Marshall breaks down the top trends for the entire Week 9 NFL slate. Check them out below and be sure sure to visit our NFL picks page for expert selections on games this week!

Sunday, November 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons

  • Chargers have covered last three on road this season and dropped last three vs. points at home.
  • Bolts “over” 4-1 last five and now "over" 13-6 since early 2021.
  • Falcons 6-2 vs. line in 2022 (3-1 at home), but have dropped last two vs. spread following 6-0 ATS start.

Tech Play: Falcons, Over
Expert Picks

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets

  • Bills have won last four meetings (3-1 vs. line in those), no losses to Jets since late 2019 at home.
  • Buffalo hasn’t lost to J-Men at Meadowlands since 2017.
  • Jets have covered four straight this season but only 1-2 vs. spread at MetLife.
  • Bills “under” 5-1 in 2022.

Tech Play: Bills, Under
Expert Picks

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Raiders had covered last three this season and 6-3 last nine vs. spread in reg season before getting blanked at New Orleans last week.
  • Vegas also “over” 4-2-1 in 2022 even with the "under" last week.
  • Jags have dropped last five SU and vs. number.

Tech Play: Raiders, Over
Expert Picks

Carolina Panthers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

  • Panthers were on 3-17 SU and spread skid prior to covers in last two games, including a SU win voer Bucs, for interim Steve Wilks.
  • Caroilna also “under” 5-3 this season (though "over" last week at Falcons).
  • Bengals had covered five straight in 2022 and 13-2 last fifteen since late 2021 prior to laying an egg on Monday vs. Browns.
  • Cincy also “under” 10-2-1 last 13 (though “over” 2-0-1 last three).

Tech Play: Bengals, Under
Expert Picks

Minnesota Vikings vs. Washington Commanders

  • Vikings 6-1 SU but only 3-4 vs. spread in 2022, just 2-5 vs. spread last seven away (1-2 this season).
  • Rivera 5-3 vs. spread last eight at home, 10-6-1 vs. spread since mid 2021, with SU wins and covers last three this season.
  • Wash also “under” 10-5 since late 2021.

Tech Play: Washington, Under
Expert Picks

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions

  • Note that home team has covered last five in series, and Pack has dropped last five vs. line at Ford Field.
  • Green Bay squeezed out late cover at Buffalo on Sunday night after four spread L's preceding, now just 3-7 last ten and 4-9 last thirteen vs. line since late 2021.
  • After covering 14 of first 20 with Lions, Dan Campbell now 0-3-1 last four vs. points.
  • Detroit 7-2 “over” since late 2021, and both meetings “over” last season.

Tech Play: Lions, Over
Expert Picks

Miami Dolphins vs. Chicago Bears

  • Dolphins 0-4-1 vs. points last five this season, also “under” 7-4 last eleven since late 2021.
  • Bears have been alternating spread covers since beginning of campaign.

Tech Play: Bears, Under
Expert Picks

Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots

  • Colts “under” 7-1 this season, 12-1 “under” since late 2021.
  • Also 1-4 vs. spread last five away, but did beat Patriots at Lucas Oil last Dec. 18.
  • Belichick 1-2 vs. spread at home this season, though “over” 4-2 last six.
  • Tech edge-“Under,” based on “totals” trends.

Tech Play: Under
Expert Picks

Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals

  • Cards just snapped 8-game SU skid at Glendale in win over Saints, have now covered last two at State Farm Stadium after dropping previous seven vs. points as host.
  • Hawks won at home vs. Big Red on Oct 16 and have now covered 3 of last 4 meetings.
  • Cards 8-4 “under” run (though "over" last two), while Pete Carroll “over” 4-2 last six.

Tech Play: Seahawks
Expert Picks

Los Angeles Rams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Rematch of Division Round last January 23 won by Rams 30-27, not to mention last two Super Bowl champs.
  • Neither looking that way lately, as LA only 2-7 vs. spread last nine since that playoff win, also “under” 8-1 those eight games.
  • After loss to Ravens last Thursday, Bucs no covers last five this season and “under” 6-2 in 2022.

Tech Play: Under
Expert Picks

Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs

  • Home team has won and covered all three meetings since 2019 (Titans 2-1).
  • Mike Vrabel has won and covered last five this season, and Titans 9-3 “under” since late 2021.
  • Meanwhile, Andy Reid no covers last four at Arrowhead since late 2021.

Tech Play: Titans, Under
Expert Picks

Baltimore Ravens vs. New Orleans Saints

  • Ravens 3-1 SU and ATS away this season after Bucs win last Thursday, “under” also 7-2 in last nine prior to “over” at Tampa Bay.
  • Saints just 3-5 vs. points this season and 4-6 vs. spread last ten, but coming off a comprehensive home shutout of the Raiders.
  • NO was also “over” four straight in 2022 before the "under" vs. Vegas. Tech edge-Ravens, based on team trends.

Tech Play: Ravens
Expert Picks

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

  • Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
  • Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
  • Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.