NFL Betting Trends – Week 10

Betting expert and handicapper Bruce Marshall breaks down the top trends for the entire Week 10 NFL slate. Check them out below and be sure to visit our NFL picks page for expert selections on games this week!

Sunday, November 13

Seattle vs. Tampa Bay in Germany (FOX, 9:30 a.m.)

  • The ‘76 expansion twins!
  • Pete Carroll has Seahawks flying with wins and covers last four this season.
  • Meanwhile, Bucs broke 56-game spread skid last week vs. Rams, also “under” 7-2 first eight.

Tech Play: Seahawks, Under
Expert Picks

Jacksonville at Kansas City (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Jags broke 5-game SU and spread skid last week vs. Raiders, but still on 1-8 spread skid last nine away from home (counts London gave. vs. Denver Oct. 30). 
  • Chiefs, however 0-5 vs. spread last five at Arrowhead, KC also on 11-5 “over” run since late 2021.

Tech Play: Over
Expert Picks

Cleveland at Miami (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Streaky Browns working on back-to-back covers, also “over” 5-2 this season.
  • Dolphins 0-5-1 vs. spread last six this season, also 12-7 “under” run since mid 2021.

Tech Play: Browns
Expert Picks

New Orleans at Pittsburgh (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

  • If Steel gets points, note Mike Tomlin 3-3 as dog this season, and he’s 18-9 his last 27 as a dig since early 2019. 
  • Saints no covers first three on road this season, also "over” 4-2 last six.

Tech Play: Steelers
Expert Picks

Detroit at Chicago (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Dan Campbell has cooled down vs. line lately, after 14-6 first 20 vs. spread as Lions coach he’s now 1-3-1 last five.
  • He’s also just 5-19-1 SU as Detroit’s coach, but is off a rousing upset of the Packers.
  • Lions have split spread decisions vs. Bears past three seasons.
  • Chicago yet to have same spread result in consecutive weeks this campaign.

Tech Play: Lions
Expert Picks

Houston at N.Y. Giants (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Prior to loss at Seattle, G-Men had won and covered six of first seven this season, though just 1-1 as chalk.
  • NY “under” 29-10 since beginning of Covid 2020 campaign.
  • Lovie Smith 3-3 vs. line last five this season.

Tech Play: Giants, Under
Expert Picks

Minnesota at Buffalo (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Vikes 7-1 SU in 2022 but 0-1 as dog, no covers last four as dog dating to mid 2021. 2-5-1 vs. spread last seven away (1-2-1 for O’Connell this season).
  • Minny only 2-5-1 vs. spread last seven away (1-2-1 for O’Connell this season). 
  • Bills 7-3-2 vs. line in reg season since mid-December, also “under” 7-1 this season.

Tech Play: Bills, Under
Expert Picks

Denver at Tennessee (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Broncos “under” 7-1 this season, now “under” 19-6 since beginning of 2021.1-1 vs. line this season, Texans actually 6-2-1 vs. spread last nine since late 2021.
  • Titans “under” 65-2 in 2022 and 11-3 “under” dating to last December. 
  • Tenn also 5-1 SU and 6-0 vs. spread last six this season.

Tech Play: Titans, Under
Expert Picks

Indianapolis at Las Vegas (CBS, 4:05 p.m.)

  • Indy 8-3 last eleven as dog (2-2 this season), and still 13-6 vs. line last 19 away despite 1-4 mark TY.
  • Those are all Frank Rech numbers, which must be noted following his dismissal on Monday.
  • Colts also on 13-1 “under” run since last December.
  • Raiders 2-9 as chalk since last season.

Tech Play: Colts, Under
Expert Picks

Arizona at L.A. Rams (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)

  • Sean McVay has owned Big Red, he’s 11-1 SU vs. Cards and has covered 10 of those clashes.
  • But did lose in reg season at home last year to Az and Rams just 1-6 vs. spread last seven at SoFi.
  • Cards have lost and failed to cover last two away after 9-1 SU and spread mark previous ten in reg season.
  • L.A. also 8-2 “under” run.

Tech Play: Rams, Under
Expert Picks

Dallas at Green Bay (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)

  • Jerry Jones 6-1 SU and vs. spread last seven this season, also on 14-6 “under” run since early 2021.
  • Pack no SU wins last five this season, had dropped five straight vs. line prior to late backdoor at Buffalo, now 1-6 last seven vs. spread in 2022.

Tech Play: Cowboys, Under
Expert Picks

L.A. Chargers at San Francisco (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)

  • Note that road team has covered last seven Bolts games this season (Chargers 4-0 away vs. line, if counting last week at ATL as a win). 
  • Bolts also “over” 4-2 last six.
  • Niners on 12-4 “under” run since later 2021, and 6-1 SU and vs. spread last seven at Levi’s.

Tech Play: 49ers, Under
Expert Picks

Monday, November 13

Washington at Philadelphia (ESPN, 8:15 p.m.)

  • Wash 3-2-1 vs. spread last six meetings, while Ron Rivera undefeated vs. line last four in season after Wash loss, and 4-9-1 against spread since mid 2021.
  • Rivera also “under” 6-1 last seven this season. 
  • Birds 5-2 last seven vs. line after Houston game on Thurs.

Tech Play: Commanders, Under
Expert Picks

Thursday, November 10

Atlanta at Carolina (Prime Video, 8:15 p.m.)

  • Panthers 2-2 vs. spread for Steve Wilks, including cover in game Carolina could easily won at Mercedes Benz on Oct. 30.
  • Prior to the last three games, Panthers were on 3-17 SU and spread skids since early 2021.
  • Falcs did cover first six this season but no spread Ws last three outings, and road team has covered last five meetings.

Tech Play: Falcons
Expert Picks

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

  • Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
  • Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
  • Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.