NFL Betting Trends – Week 14

Betting expert and handicapper Bruce Marshall breaks down the top trends for the entire Week 14 NFL slate. Check them out below and be sure to visit our NFL picks page for expert selections on games this week!

Sunday, December 11

Baltimore at Pittsburgh (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Traditional slugfest. Teams yet to meet this season, last three clashes have landed on “under” side. 
  • Steelers covered both last season.
  • Ravens 10-4 “under” since late 2021, Steel “under” 10-6 last sixteen reg season games.

Tech Play: Steelers, Under
Expert Picks

Houston at Dallas (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Stumbling Texans no covers last four or six of last seven this season after latest loss vs. Browns.
  • Houston also “under” last four and five of last six this term as well.
  • After Colts romp, Cowboys 8-3 vs. line last 11 in 2022 and 5-1 vs. spread last six at Arlington (lone L on late backdoor TD by G-Men on Thanksgiving).

Tech Play: Cowboys, Under
Expert Picks

Jacksonville at Tennessee (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

  • First meeting of season. Titans have won five in a row SU in series, 4-1 vs. line in those games.
  • Jags have dropped last four vs. spread on road in 2022, just 2-7 last nine vs. spread this season.
  • Tenn “under” 9-1 last ten at Nashville. 

Tech Play: Titans, Under
Expert Picks

N.Y. Jets at Buffalo (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Jets won and covered first meeting Nov. 6 at MetLife.
  • J-Men have lost last two vs. spread on road this season after covering first four away.
  • Bills have covered 2 of last 3 this season after Patriots win but just 2-4 last six vs. spread since late October. 
  • Buffalo now “under” 9-3 this season. NY also “over” last two after “under” preceding five in 2022.

Tech Play: Jets, Under
Expert Picks

Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

  • First meeting of this season. Home team has won and covered last three meetings.
  • Birds 1-4 vs. line on road this season, also now “over” 12-6 last 18 since late 2021. 
  • G-Men 5-2 vs. spread at MetLife in 2022, 9-3 overall vs. line this season, “under” 30-12-1 since 2020.

Tech Play: Giants
Expert Picks

Minnesota at Detroit (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Four straight series covers for Lions, who are also on 6-0 spread surge after win over Jags.
  • Dan Campbell 19-9 vs. line since taking over Detroit last season, also 14-4 last 18 as dog.
  • Lions “over” 10-4 since late 2021, Vikes “over” 7-3 last ten this season after Jets game last Sunday. 

Tech Play: Lions, Over
Expert Picks

Cleveland at Cincinnati (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

  • Browns romped 32-13 at home on Halloween Monday night, but that’s the last game Bengals have lost this season, 4-0 SU and vs. line since.
  • Cleveland has actually won last 5 SU in series, but Cincy 9-3 vs. spread this season.
  • Bengals 17-3 last 20 on board since late 2021, also “under” 11-5-1 since late 2021.

Tech Play: Bengals
Expert Picks

Kansas City at Denver (CBS, 4:05 p.m.)

  • First meeting this season. Chiefs now on 13-game SU series win streak since second meeting of 2015, the longest win streak in series history.
  • Broncos did cover 2 of last 3 meetings however when under direction of Vic Fangio.
  • Speaking of Fangio, Denver has extended the 12-5 “under” mark for him last season, and then some, now 11-1 “under” in 2022, 23-6 “under” since 2021, though one of the KC games went “over” last season.
  • Chiefs “under” 3 of last 5 and 7-4 last 11 this season. 

Tech Play: Chiefs, Under
Expert Picks

Carolina at Seattle (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)

  • Panthers have covered last 2 and 5 of last 6 this season (5-2 vs. spread for Wilks). Also “under” last 3 and 8-4 “under” this season.
  • Seahawks no covers last three this season (fell a bit short in Rams win) after four-game spread surge at midseason.

Tech Play: Panthers, Under
Expert Picks

Tampa Bay at San Francisco (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)

  • Niners now 9-1 SU and 8-2 vs. line at Santa Clara since mid 2021 after win over Dolphins.
  • After Saints result on Monday, Bucs only 1-8-1 last ten vs. spread this season, also “under” 10-2 in 2022. 

Tech Play: 49ers, Under
Expert Picks

Miami at L.A. Chargers (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)

  • Bolts just 2-3 vs. line at home this season, 4-7 since mid 2021 vs. spread at SoFi.
  • After last week's loss at Niners, Dolphins 0-4-1 vs. spread last five away in 2022, also “over” 4-1 last five after SF game.

Tech Play: Over
Expert Picks

Monday, December 12

New England at Arizona (ESPN, 8:15 p.m.)

  • Belichick had covered three straight this season prior to the Vikings and Bills losses, and he’s still 3-1-1 vs. points last five away in 2022. 
  • Note Cards now 1-11 SU at Glendale since mid 2021, also 5-0-1 “over” last six this season.

Tech Play: Patriots, Over
Expert Picks

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

  • Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
  • Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
  • Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.