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Value Index Edge

 

What is the VI Edge?

The Value Index Edge is a handicapping tool that creates an edge for each NFL matchup based on the VegasInsider.com Value Index power rankings, which are updated on Tuesday and Wednesday throughout the regular season and playoffs.

All 32 teams are given an "Index" rating and then the home team will receive extra points based on their venue and strength. Due to many teams not having fans at games in the upcoming 2020 season, this edge will be lower until further notice.

Week 8

Thursday, Oct. 29, 2020
Rotation Teams VI Index Homefield Edge Adjusted Rating Odds VI Edge
101 Atlanta 98.5 - 98.5 - -
102 Carolina 99 2 101 -2.5
Sunday, Nov. 1, 2020
Rotation Teams VI Index Homefield Edge Adjusted Rating Odds VI Edge
251 Indianapolis 102.5 - 102.5 -3 -
252 Detroit 99.5 1.5 101 - +1.5
253 Minnesota 99.5 - 99.5 - -
254 Green Bay 107.5 2 109.5 -6.5 +2.5
255 New England 101 - 101 - -
256 Buffalo 103.5 2 105.5 -3.5 +1
257 Tennessee 103.5 - 103.5 -6 -
258 Cincinnati 97 1.5 98.5 - +1
259 Las Vegas 100 - 100 - -
260 Cleveland 102 2 104 -3 +1
261 N.Y. Jets 90.5 - 90.5 - -
262 Kansas City 108.5 2.5 111 -19 +0.5
263 L.A. Rams 103.5 - 103.5 -4 -
264 Miami 98.5 1.5 100 - +0.5
267 New Orleans 104.5 - 104.5 -4 -
268 Chicago 101.5 1.5 103 - +2.5
269 San Francisco 103 - 103 - -
270 Seattle 105.5 2 107.5 -3 +1.5
271 Dallas 95.5 - 95.5 - +1
272 Philadelphia 100 2 102 -7.5 -
275 L.A. Chargers 101 - 101 -3 -
276 Denver 98.5 2 100.5 - +2.5
281 Pittsburgh 105.5 - 105.5 - -
282 Baltimore 108 2 110 -3.5 +1
Monday, Nov. 2, 2020
Rotation Teams VI Index Homefield Edge Adjusted Rating Odds VI Edge
273 Tampa Bay 105.5 - 105.5 -10.5
274 N.Y. Giants 96.5 1 97.5 - +2.5

Top Plays have VI Edge Leans of +2 or more

Overall Results (18-13-1, 58%)

VI Top Plays - Week 8 (Edge)

  • N.Y. Giants +2.5
  • Denver Broncos +2.5
  • Chicago Bears +2.5
  • Green Bay Packers +2.5

Top Plays (0-4) - Week 7 Results (ATS)

  • Dallas Cowboys +2.5 LOSS
  • Denver Broncos +2 LOSS
  • Philadelphia Eagles +2 LOSS
  • Chicago Bears +2 LOSS

Top Plays (4-2) - Week 6 Results (ATS)

  • Dallas Cowboys +5 LOSS
  • Denver Broncos +3 WIN
  • San Francisco 49ers +3 WIN
  • Tennessee Titans +3 WIN
  • Chicago Bears +3 WIN
  • Buffalo Bills +2 LOSS

Top Plays (1-1) - Week 5 Results (ATS)

  • Philadelphia Eagles +2.5 LOSS
  • Cleveland Browns +2.5 WIN

Top Plays (5-1-1) - Week 4 Results (ATS)

  • Denver Broncos +4.5 WIN
  • Green Bay Packers +3 WIN
  • Detroit Lions +3 LOSS
  • N.Y. Giants +2.5 WIN
  • Minnesota Vikings +2 WIN
  • Washington +2 PUSH
  • Kansas City Chiefs +2 WIN

Top Plays (2-2) - Week 3 Results (ATS)

  • Minnesota Vikings +2.5 WIN
  • Denver Broncos +2.5 LOSS
  • Las Vegas Raiders +2.5 LOSS
  • Green Bay Packers +2.5 WIN

Top Plays (2-1) - Week 2 Results (ATS)

  • Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 WIN
  • Minnesota Vikings +2.5 LOSS
  • Denver Broncos +2.5 WIN

Top Plays (4-2) - Week 1 Results (ATS)

  • N.Y. Giants +4 LOSS
  • Carolina Panthers +3 LOSS
  • L.A. Rams +2 WIN
  • Washington +2 WIN
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +2 WIN
  • Green Bay Packers +2 WIN

Calculating the VI Edge

The Value Index rankings are assigned each Wednesday for all 32 teams. Homefield edge, which varies per NFL team, are also added to the team rankings.

The difference of the rankings is created for each matchup before being measured against the VegasInsider.com NFL Consensus Odds, which creates an edge for the visitor or home team.

Example

  • Visitor Ranking: 95
  • Home Ranking: 100
  • Homefield Edge: 3
  • Calculation: 103-95
  • Difference: 8
  • Odds: Home Team -4
  • VI Edge: Home Team +4


  
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