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Value Index Edge

 

What is the VI Edge?

The Value Index Edge is a handicapping tool that creates an edge for each NFL matchup based on the VegasInsider.com Value Index power rankings, which are updated throughout the regular season and playoffs.

All 32 teams are given an "Index" rating and then the home team will receive extra points based on their venue and strength. Due to many teams not having fans at games in the upcoming 2020-21 season, this edge will be much lower in all cases and some teams won't have an edge at their respective venues at all.

Super Bowl 55

Sunday, Feb. 7, 2021
Rotation Teams VI Index Homefield Edge Adjusted Rating Odds VI Edge
101 Kansas City 110.5 - 110.5 -3 +1
102 Tampa Bay 106.5 - 106.5 - -

Top Plays have VI Edge Leans of +2 or more

Overall Results (54-32-1, 62.7%)

VI Top Plays - Super Bowl (Edge)

Kansas City has a +1 edge in our Value Index Edge and our tool only recommends plays on games where there is an edge of +2 or greater.

Top Plays (0-1) - Championship Results (ATS)

  • Green Bay Packers +2 - LOSS

Top Plays (1-0) - Divisional Playoff Round Results (ATS)

  • Cleveland Browns +4 - WIN

Top Plays (3-0) - Wild Card Results (ATS)

  • Washington +3 - WIN
  • Cleveland Browns +2.5 - WIN
  • Indianapolis Colts +2.5 - WIN

VI Top Plays - Wild Card Round (Edge)

Top Plays (4-1) - Week 17 Results (ATS)

  • Philadelphia Eagles +2 - WIN
  • New York Giants +2 - WIN
  • Denver Broncos +2 - WIN
  • New England Patriots +2 - WIN
  • Minnesota Vikings +2 - LOSS

Top Plays (1-2) - Week 16 Results (ATS)

  • Minnesota Vikings +2 - LOSS
  • Las Vegas Raiders +2.5 - WIN
  • Cleveland Browns +2 - LOSS

Top Plays (5-1) - Week 15 Results (ATS)

  • Dallas Cowboys +3.5 - WIN
  • Washington +3 - WIN
  • N.Y. Jets +3 - WIN
  • Atlanta Falcons +2.5 - WIN
  • Baltimore Ravens +2 - WIN
  • Detroit Lions +2 - LOSS

Top Plays (2-3) - Week 14 Results (ATS)

  • Minnesota Vikings +3 - LOSS
  • L.A. Chargers +2 - WIN
  • Las Vegas Raiders +2 - LOSS
  • N.Y. Giants +2 - LOSS
  • Washington +2 - WIN

Top Plays (2-2) - Week 13 Results (ATS)

  • Buffalo Bills +3.5 - WIN
  • Cincinnati Bengals +3 - LOSS
  • Arizona Cardinals +2.5 - LOSS
  • Cleveland Browns +2.5 - WIN

Top Plays (2-1) - Week 12 Results (ATS)

  • Atlanta Falcons +2.5 - WIN
  • Detroit Lions +2.5 - LOSS
  • Buffalo Bills +2 - WIN

Top Plays (1-2) - Week 11 Results (ATS)

  • Denver Broncos +3.5 - WIN
  • New England Patriots +3 - LOSS
  • Green Bay Packers +2 - LOSS

Top Plays (2-2) - Week 10 Results (ATS)

  • Buffalo Bills +3.5 - WIN
  • New England Patriots +3 - WIN
  • Seattle Seahawks +2.5 - LOSS
  • Chicago Bears +2.5 - LOSS

Top Plays (3-3) - Week 9 Results (ATS)

  • Dallas Cowboys +4 - WIN
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +3 - WIN
  • Chicago Bears +3- LOSS
  • Detroit Lions +3 - LOSS
  • Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 - LOSS
  • Buffalo Bills +2.5 - WIN

Top Plays (3-1) - Week 8 Results (ATS)

  • N.Y. Giants +2.5 - WIN
  • Denver Broncos +2.5 - WIN
  • Chicago Bears +2.5 - WIN
  • Green Bay Packers +2.5 - LOSS

Top Plays (0-4) - Week 7 Results (ATS)

  • Dallas Cowboys +2.5 LOSS
  • Denver Broncos +2 LOSS
  • Philadelphia Eagles +2 LOSS
  • Chicago Bears +2 LOSS

Top Plays (4-2) - Week 6 Results (ATS)

  • Dallas Cowboys +5 LOSS
  • Denver Broncos +3 WIN
  • San Francisco 49ers +3 WIN
  • Tennessee Titans +3 WIN
  • Chicago Bears +3 WIN
  • Buffalo Bills +2 LOSS

Top Plays (1-1) - Week 5 Results (ATS)

  • Philadelphia Eagles +2.5 LOSS
  • Cleveland Browns +2.5 WIN

Top Plays (5-1-1) - Week 4 Results (ATS)

  • Denver Broncos +4.5 WIN
  • Green Bay Packers +3 WIN
  • Detroit Lions +3 LOSS
  • N.Y. Giants +2.5 WIN
  • Minnesota Vikings +2 WIN
  • Washington +2 PUSH
  • Kansas City Chiefs +2 WIN

Top Plays (2-2) - Week 3 Results (ATS)

  • Minnesota Vikings +2.5 WIN
  • Denver Broncos +2.5 LOSS
  • Las Vegas Raiders +2.5 LOSS
  • Green Bay Packers +2.5 WIN

Top Plays (2-1) - Week 2 Results (ATS)

  • Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 WIN
  • Minnesota Vikings +2.5 LOSS
  • Denver Broncos +2.5 WIN

Top Plays (4-2) - Week 1 Results (ATS)

  • N.Y. Giants +4 LOSS
  • Carolina Panthers +3 LOSS
  • L.A. Rams +2 WIN
  • Washington +2 WIN
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +2 WIN
  • Green Bay Packers +2 WIN

Calculating the VI Edge

The Value Index rankings are assigned each Wednesday for all 32 teams. Homefield edge, which varies per NFL team, are also added to the team rankings.

The difference of the rankings is created for each matchup before being measured against the VegasInsider.com NFL Consensus Odds, which creates an edge for the visitor or home team.

Example

  • Visitor Ranking: 95
  • Home Ranking: 100
  • Homefield Edge: 3
  • Calculation: 103-95
  • Difference: 8
  • Odds: Home Team -4
  • VI Edge: Home Team +4


  
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