Last Updated Nov 28, 2022, 3:56 PM
NFL SUPER BOWL 57 BETTING PICKS
Our Super Bowl 57 Picks & Predictions are updated every week as the 18-week regular season rolls along, focusing on Super Bowl Odds, MVP Odds, Weekly Odds Reports, Betting Insights and much more.
Super Bowl 57 Picks
Buffalo 35 Dallas 28
In one of the most wide-open fields we’ve seen in a while, two squads have emerged as the most balanced of the bunch, and that’s Buffalo and Dallas. The Bills and Cowboys both have tremendous offensive attacks, with both squads currently ranked Top 10 in scoring, and on the other side, they also rank Top 5 in the league in defense, which can’t be said for most squads near the top of the league totem pole. But at full strength, the Bills still appear to have a slight edge over Dallas on both sides of the ball.
Exact Result Odds: Bills to beat Cowboys (+2500)
Super Bowl 57 Prediction per NFL Expert Michael Crosson
Week 13 NFL Odds Report
The NFL Week 13 Odds Report gives us our first look at the Week 13 NFL slate, including what should be the best matchup of the week.
Leading the way is a rematch of the 2022 AFC Championship, with the Kansas City Chiefs travelling to Cincinnati to play the Bengals. On Sunday as well, the Tennessee Titans travel east to Philadelphia to take on the 10-1 Eagles.
Casey Degnon, senior risk supervisor at the SuperBook, provides insights on Week 13 NFL odds and action.
Check back regularly for updates here from Patrick Everson:
NFL Week 13 Odds Report
Week 13 Games to Watch
The 13th week of the NFL season will offer up 14 games with two teams on bye and it will be highlighted with the rematch of last season's AFC Championship between the Chiefs and the Titans. Outside of that game, the Eagles and Titans will square off in a matchup of strong playoff contenders on Sunday afternoon before the Colts and Cowboys close out the slate on SNF.
Sunday Dec. 4
Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals
Tennessee Titans at Philadelphia Eagles
Super Bowl Betting Insights
Our friends at BetMGM provide weekly betting updates that shows you where the bets and money are going.
Futures Odds Movements
Bills +400 to +375
49ers +850 to +750
Cowboys +1400 to +900
Highest Ticket %
Bills 13.0%
Chiefs 11.1%
Eagles 6.9%
Highest Handle %
Bills 18.6%
Chiefs 12.4%
Buccaneers 7.7%
Odds to Win Super Bowl 57
Oddsmakers at BetMGM still have the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs as the top two choices. The AFC powers are followed by three clubs from the NFC, two from the East Division in the Eagles and Cowboys.
- Buffalo Bills +375
- Kansas City Chiefs +450
- Philadelphia Eagles +550
- San Francisco 49ers +750
- Dallas Cowboys +900
Odds to win 2022 NFL MVP
Quarterbacks were listed as the preseason favorites to win the 2022 NFL Most Valuable Player and that hasn't changed. Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes has moved to an odds-on favorite at 5/8 odds (Bet $100 to win $62.50) at BetMGM.
- Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City) -160
- Tua Tagovailoa (Miami) +600
- Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia) +600
- Josh Allen (Buffalo) +650
2022 NFL Predictions
Prior to the 2022 NFL regular season, we asked the VegasInsider NFL Experts handicapping stable for their futures predictions on which team will win Super Bowl 57 and much more.
The 25 betting experts responded with their best bets and we’ve listed all of the Top Consensus Picks below, plus we included a breakdown of each of the categories.
Who Will Win Super Bowl 57?
The Buffalo Bills have never won a Super Bowl in their franchise history but our experts believe that will change this season.
Eleven or 44 percent of our 25 NFL expert handicappers believe Buffalo will be raising the Lombardi Trophy on Feb. 12, 2023 when Super Bowl 57 concludes at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.
After the top choice, only the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4) and Los Angeles Chargers (3) received more than three votes to win Super Bowl 57.
According to our Super Bowl History, repeats have only happened eight times with the last doing so in 2003 and 2004 when the New England Patriots accomplished the feat. The L.A. Rams are in the position to do so and only one VI expert believes they will.
Listed below are the VegasInsider Experts Super Bowl consensus picks.
Super Bowl 57 Consensus Picks
- Buffalo 11 (44%)
- Tampa Bay 4 (16%)
- L.A. Chargers 3 (12%)
- Kansas City 2 (8%)
- Denver 2 (8%)
- Green Bay 1 (4%)
- L.A. Rams 1 (4%)
- Indianapolis 1 (4%)
NFC Championship Future Picks
Similar to our Super Bowl 57 Consensus Predictions, our VegasInsider NFL Experts provided their top picks on which teams will win both the NFC Championship and the AFC Championship games.
The VI handicappers believe it will be a two-horse race this season between Tampa Bay and Green Bay with the clubs receiving 8 and 7 votes respectively. The pair met in the NFC title game during the 2020 regular season and the Buccaneers came out on top of that match, eventually winning the Super Bowl.
The other team that received interest from our group was San Francisco, who has played in two of the last three NFC Championships including last year’s loss to the Los Angeles Rams, the Super Bowl 56 champions.
Speaking of the defending champs, they did receive two votes to repeat this season.
Listed below are the VegasInsider Experts NFC Championship consensus picks.
NFC Championship Consensus Picks
- Tampa Bay 8 (32%)
- Green Bay 7 (28%)
- San Francisco 4 (16%)
- Arizona 2 (8%)
- L.A. Rams 2 (8%)
- Philadelphia 2 (8%)
AFC Championship Future Picks
Unlike the NFC Championship Consensus Picks, the VegasInsider experts are going all-in on the Buffalo Bills to win the AFC Championship next January. More than half (56%) of the VI handicapping stable is riding Buffalo to represent the AFC in Arizona at Super Bowl 57.
These results aren’t surprising considering the Bills are the top consensus pick to win Super Bowl 57 listed above. However, 11 of the 25 experts aren’t buying the team from Orchard Park, New York.
Five teams received at least one vote from our NFL experts and the Los Angeles Chargers were the next in line with four experts buying the Bolts. Make a note that since the team moved North from San Diego to Los Angeles in 2017, they’ve only made the playoffs once and they exited in the Divisional Round that season.
Listed below are the VegasInsider Experts AFC Championship consensus picks.
AFC Championship Consensus Picks
- Buffalo 14 (56%)
- L.A. Chargers 4 (16%)
- Kansas City 2 (8%)
- Denver 2 (8%)
- Indianapolis 2 (8%)
- Cincinnati 1 (4%)
2022-23 NFL Win Totals Picks
Along with picking the winners of Super Bowl 57 and both the NFC and AFC Championships, we had our VegasInsider handicappers focus on another popular futures betting market – NFL Win Totals. For this betting poll, the 25 VegasInsider NFL experts provided us with their top ‘over’ and top ‘under’ picks for each of the eight divisions.
Check out the most popular picks below and for more analysis and breakdown, be sure to visit our NFL Win Totals Odds.
NFL Win Totals - Over Picks
NFL Win Totals - Under Picks
2022-23 NFL Playoff Prop Picks
The NFL Playoff Props is a popular betting market to follow and it’s also easy to understand. Put simply, bettors can wager “Yes” or “No” on all 32 NFL teams.
Check out the most popular picks below from our VI NFL Experts and for more analysis and breakdown, be sure to visit our NFL Win Playoff Prop Odds.
NFC Playoff Projections
AFC Playoff Projections
2022-23 NFL MVP Picks
Our NFL VI Experts offered up their top three choices to win the NFL MVP in the 2022 regular season based on three betting ranges.
- Favorite - Up to 20/1 (Bet $100 to win $2,000)
- Middle Range - 21/1 to 30/1
- Long Shot - 31/1 and Above
Check out the top consensus picks below from our VI NFL Experts and for more analysis and breakdown, be sure to visit our NFL Most Valuable Player Odds.
2022-23 NFL Regular Season Betting Preview
The VegasInsider Editorial Team has gotten an early jump on the 2022-23 NFL regular season by handicapping all 32 teams. There's tons of interesting angles to dive into ahead of this season, so fortunately, we've got you covered with picks, odds, results, and team-by-team breakdown + analysis to help get you ready for the 2022-23 NFL season.
When last season was finally all said and done, the fourth-seeded Rams and the fourth-seeded Bengals were the final teams standing, marking the first time a pair of four seeds have squared off in the Super Bowl since NFL playoff seeding began back in 1975; and the first time a fourth-seed has won the Super Bowl since the Ravens back in 2012.
However, the oddsmakers aren't counting on a similar result this time around, as the Bills (+600), Buccaneers (+750), and Chiefs (+900) all come in as title favorites over the Rams (+1100) this season; while the Bengals (+2000) fall even further down the list behind the Packers (+1400), Niners (+1600), Cowboys (+1600), Broncos (+1600), and Chargers (+1600).
Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers won his second straight MVP award last season, making Rodgers the fifth player in NFL history to win back-to-back MVP honors following in the footsteps of Jim Brown, Joe Montana, Brett Favre, and Peyton Manning. However, only one player has ever won three straight MVP's (Favre), and the oddsmakers seemingly doubt Rodgers will be the second, as Bills' QB Josh Allen (+700), Chiefs' QB Patrick Mahomes (+800), and Bucs' QB Tom Brady (+800) all come in as slight favorites over the two-time reigning MVP in Rodgers (+900) this season.
At first glance, the league may seem a bit top heavy, however, this year's preseason future odds show just how wide open the playing field actually is at this point and time, highlighted by squads like the Titans (+135) earning the top seed in the AFC last season now falling behind the Colts (-105) on the division totem pole; or the Bengals coming just three points shy of winning last year's Super Bowl yet still own the 10th best title odds on the board ahead of this season.
There's tons of interesting angles to dive into ahead of this season, so fortunately, VegasInsider's stable of NFL betting experts has you covered with picks, odds, results, and team-by-team breakdown + analysis to help get you ready for the 2023 NFL season.
TOP SUPER BOWL 57 PICKS
- Buffalo Bills (+600) | Full Preview
- Kansas City Chiefs (+900) | Full Preview
- Los Angeles Rams (+1100) | Full Preview
- Denver Broncos (+1600) | Full Preview
- Cincinnati Bengals (+2000) | Full Preview
TOP AWARD CONTENDER PICKS
- Tom Brady to Win MVP (+800) | Full Preview
- Christian McCaffrey to Win Comeback Player of the Year (+900) | Full Preview
- Justin Jefferson to Win OPOY (+2000) | Full Preview
- Joe Burrow to Win MVP (+1200) | Full Preview
- Derrick Henry to Win OPOY (+1100) | Full Preview
- Deebo Samuel to Win OPOY (+1400) | Full Preview
TOP DIVISION WINNER PICKS
- Packers to Win the NFC North (-170) | Full Preview
- Titans to Win the AFC South (+135) | Full Preview
- Rams to Win the NFC West (+130) | Full Preview
- Ravens to Win the AFC North (+150) | Full Preview
- Cowboys to Win the NFC East (+120) | Full Preview
- Bills to Win the AFC East (+190) | Full Preview
- Buccaneers to Win the NFC South | Full Preview
- Chiefs to Win the AFC West (+150) | Full Preview
TOP WIN TOTAL OVER-UNDER PICKS
- Commanders Over 7.5 Wins (-130) | Full Preview
- Raiders Under 8.5 Wins (-115) | Full Preview
- Cowboys Over 10.5 Wins (-115) | Full Preview
- Dolphins Under 8.5 Wins (+110) | Full Preview
- Saints Over 7.5 Wins (-170) | Full Preview
- Colts Under 9.5 Wins (+115) | Full Preview
- Giants Under 7.5 Wins (-170) | Full Preview
TOP PICKS TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS
- Eagles to Make the Playoffs (-160) | Full Preview
- Chargers to Make the Playoffs (-160) | Full Preview
- Ravens to Make the Playoffs (-130) | Full Preview
- Titans to Make the Playoffs (-115) | Full Preview
- Cardinals to Make the Playoffs (+125) | Full Preview
- Broncos to Make the Playoffs (-150) | Full Preview
- Steelers to Make the Playoffs (+270) | Full Preview
NFL POWER RATINGS
2022-23 NFL Preseason Power Ratings
Listed below are all the Week 1 NFL Power Ratings and homefield edge for all of the 32 NFL teams.
| Team | Rating |
| Buffalo Bills | 106.5 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 105.5 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 105 |
| Green Bay Packers | 103.5 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 103 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 102.5 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 102 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 102 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 102 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 102 |
| Denver Broncos | 101 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 101 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 100.5 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 100 |
| Tennessee Titans | 99.5 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 99.5 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 99.5 |
| New England Patriots | 99.5 |
| New Orleans Saints | 99 |
| Miami Dolphins | 99 |
| Cleveland Browns | 98 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 97 |
| Washington Commanders | 96 |
| New York Giants | 96 |
| Carolina Panthers | 96 |
| Detroit Lions | 95 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 95 |
| Chicago Bears | 95 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 94.5 |
| New York Jets | 94 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 94 |
| Houston Texans | 94 |
NFL BETTING HISTORY
Through the first 55 Super Bowls, the NFC has gone 28-27 against th AFC. The Pittsburgh Steelers and the New England Patriots have the most Super Bowl wins at six, while the Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers both have five.
Favorites have gone 36-18 straight up and 29-21-2 against the spread in the Super Bowl. The largest upset came in Super Bowl III (1969) when the New York Jets beat the Baltimore Colts 16-7 as 18-point underdogs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers became the first underdog to win a Super Bowl since the Philadelphia Eagles defeated the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LII.
| Super Bowl | Year | Location | Matchup | ATS Result |
| LV | 2021 | Tampa, FL | Tampa Bay (+3) 31 vs. Kansas City 9 | Underdog-Under (55) |
| LIV | 2020 | Miami, FL | Kansas City (-1.5) 31 vs. San Francisco 20 | Favorite-Under (53) |
| LIII | 2019 | Atlanta, GA | New England (-2.5) 13 vs. L.A. Rams 3 | Favorite-Under (56) |
| LII | 2018 | Minneapolis, MN | Philadelphia (+4) 41 vs. New England 33 | Underdog-Over (49) |
| LI | 2017 | Houston, TX | New England (-3) 34 vs. Atlanta 28 (OT) | Favorite-Over (57) |
WHERE CAN I BET ON THE SUPER BOWL?
Legal sports betting in the US is experiencing a literal renaissance. Sports betting became legal for states to provide after a federal ban was overturned in 2018. Now, users can get online with a growing number of commercial providers in states with online betting laws, and yes-- that includes betting on the Super Bowl!
Many online sportsbooks, available on websites and mobile apps, provide bonus codes for their users to get a bit of extra benefit when they sign up for the first time, whether it's free betting credit or risk-free bets with a first deposit. Some of our preferred online sportsbooks include:
If you're looking to place a legal bet on the Super Bowl this year, look to the above links for your direct line to promotional deals and exclusive bonus codes. VegasInsider.com is your go-to destination for everything from trends and picks to the latest in the sports and legal betting industries.
