2028 United States Presidential Election Odds

2028 United States Presidential Election Odds

2028 Presidential Election Odds

The 2028 U.S. Presidential Election is generating buzz. Although you can not openly wager on who will win the 2028 presidential election, prediction markets allow you to trade shares on the outcome of the presidential election. Use our Kalshi promo code and click on the module below to get started.

Updated on 2/13/26

Kalshi
Trade $10, Get $10!
Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, and OH.

The best prediction markets such as Kalshi provide up to date odds based on user trading. Here are the latest 2028 Presidential election odds:

2028 PRESIDENTIAL ODDS: KEY INFO

  • Election Date: November 7, 2028
  • Democrat Candidate Favorite: Gavin Newsom
  • Republican Candidate Favorite: J.D. Vance

2024 US Presidential Election Analysis

The 2024 election resulted in a victory for President Donald Trump and Vice President-Elect J.D. Vance over Vice President Kamala Harris and her running mate Tim Walz.

President Donald Trump is set to be inaugurated for his second term on January 20th.

There is plenty of speculation on who the 2028 presidential nominees will be, as of right now, the betting odds say that J.D. Vance and Gavin Newsom are the favorites

Be sure to stay up to date on the latest 2028 presidential election odds and they change ahead of the election!

PARTY NOMINATION ODDS

Prediction markets also offer users a way to get into the game by buying and selling shares of outcomes. Check out the latest Democratic presidential nomination odds.

Want to see the odds on the other side of the aisle? Check out the latest republican presidential nomination odds.

HOW DOES THE US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WORK?

The United States uses Electoral Colleges to determine the president and vice president. The candidate with 270 Electoral College votes takes the presidency. Each state is assigned a set of votes based on the number of representatives in the House of Representatives, with two more added for the senators each state has in Congress. The candidate with the most votes for a particular state will take all of the Electoral College votes (Nebraska and Maine dole out their Electoral votes based on the proportion of the popular vote each candidate gets) to reach that magic number of 270. But just because you win the presidency doesn’t mean you won the nation’s popular vote.

There have been five instances when the winner hasn’t had more votes by the people. While three of those instances happened during the 1800s (John Quincy Adams, Rutherford B. Hayes, and Benjamin Harrison), we’ve seen it happen in two of the last four presidential elections: George W. Bush in 2000 and Donald Trump in 2016 won against Al Gore and Hillary Clinton, respectively.

And before you ask, yes, global bookmakers offer bets on different party combinations for the Electoral College and popular vote. While this type of betting is not available in the US, other betting on sporting events is available-- and you can use a DraftKings promo code for some extra bonuses when you sign up.

U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - SWING STATE ODDS

In the US, presidential elections are determined by six critical battlegrounds, which is often called the "swing states" race, due to their ability to swing an election in favor of one or another candidate.

These so-called "battleground" states have been determined below:

2028 U.S. ELECTION - SWING STATES

  • Arizona
  • Georgia
  • Michigan
  • North Carolina
  • Pennsylvania
  • Wisconsin

BETTING ON US ELECTIONS

Betting on political elections is no different than a typical sports wager. You have your typical money-line or fractional bet. Totals players can bet on the total number of Electoral College votes each candidate wins in the election.

Sportsbooks do not offer wagers on who will win elections. However, prediction markets allow users to trade on various markets, including who will win the 2028 presidential election.

US PRESIDENTIAL ODDS FAQ

CAN I BET ON THE US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? WHERE?

You can not "bet" on the 2028 presidential election, but you can trade on the election via prediction markets such as Kalshi.

HOW DO I TRADE ON THE 2028 ELECTION?

You can trade on the presidential election and other political markets on prediction markets such as Kalshi. Be sure to use our Kalshi promo code INSIDER to Trade $10, Get $10!

WHAT KIND OF ELECTION MARKETS ARE THERE?

The most straightforward political prop bet for the US election is simply "Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?" You can also find markets such as "Will there be a government shutdown?", "Who will be the democratic nominee for president?", and "Who will be the republican nominee for president?".