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College Basketball

Indiana Hoosiers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish
Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert
6 minute read

The Indiana Hoosiers (12-3, 3-2 Big Ten) travel to meet the Iowa Hawkeyes (11-4, 1-3) in a Big Ten conference tilt at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City on Thursday. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on FOX Sports 1.

SCORE PREDICTION

Iowa 77, Indiana 73

BEST BETS

Iowa -165 ML at DraftKings

INDIANA HOOSIERS VS. IOWA HAWKEYES PREDICTIONS

The Hoosiers have picked up back-to-back victories at home against Ohio State and Minnesota, coming alive after a 61-58 road loss at Penn State as five-point favorites. Games at home haven't been the problem, it's when the Hoosiers hit the road. They're 0-3 SU/ATS in three true road games this season, including two conference road outings so far.

The Hawkeyes are still licking their wounds after an 87-78 loss at the Kohl Center against the Wisconsin Badgers last time out on Thursday. Iowa has failed to cover in each of the past two outings, and they're 3-4 ATS across the past seven games overall. Keegan Murray registered a game-high 27 points on 10-of-16 shooting for the Hawkeyes, and twin brother Kyle Murray was good for 12 points off the bench with three rebounds, two assists, two steals and two blocked shots. The Murray Brothers swatted five of the seven shots for Iowa. A big part of Iowa's problems came at the free-throw line, too, hitting just 58%, or 11-of-19, including Keegan Murray's 5-of-9 evening.

If Iowa cannot straighten out its free-throw shooting, they're going to be on the short end in a lot of games.

INDIANA HOOSIERS VS. IOWA HAWKEYES BETTING ODDS

More Odds | Futures Odds

INDIANA HOOSIERS VS. IOWA HAWKEYES BETTING RESOURCES

  • Matchup: Big 10
  • Date: Thursday, January 13, 2022
  • Venue: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
  • Location: Iowa City, Iowa
  • TV-Time: FS1 - 9:00 p.m. ET

INDIANA HOOSIERS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 12-3
  • ATS: 10-5
  • O/U: 5-10

Indiana has picked up wins and covers in each of the past two outings, blasting Ohio State by 16 points on Thursday, and topping Minnesota by 13 points on Sunday. But those games came at home, and the Hoosiers have been a completely different unit on the road. The last time they hit the road they were on the short end of a 61-58 loss at Penn State as five-point favorites.

The good news for Indiana is that it has won three straight in the series, while winning seven of the previous 10 meetings. It is also 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings, while going 7-1 ATS in the previous eight in the series. That includes an 81-69 win as 10-point underdogs in the most recent trip to Iowa City on Jan. 21, 2021. The UNDER has cashed in each of the past two after a 4-0 OVER run in the series.

The Hoosiers are 1-8-1 ATS in the past 10 road games, while going 0-6 ATS in the past six as a road underdog. They're also 0-7 ATS overall in the past seven as a 'dog. However, IU is 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six against winning teams.

For totals, the UNDER is 14-5 in the past 19 games overall, while going 6-1 in the past seven on the road. The UNDER is also 4-0 in the past four as a road 'dog. The OVER is 19-7 in the past 26 against teams with a winning overall mark. The good news for IU is that the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings in this series, too.

IOWA HAWKEYES BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 11-4
  • ATS: 9-6
  • O/U: 11-3-1

Iowa has failed to cover the past two games, but it hasn't had three or more consecutive non-covers in the regular season since an 0-5 ATS skid from Jan. 21-Feb. 7, including a pair of losses and non-covers against Indiana last season.

The Hawkeyes have covered five of the past seven games in Iowa City, while going 15-6-3 ATS in the past 24 home games against teams with a losing road mark. The Hawkeyes are 4-10 ATS in the past 14 games following a non-cover.

For totals, the OVER is 15-5-1 in the past 21 games for Iowa, while going 13-3-1 in the past 17 as a favorite. In addition, the OVER is 22-8-1 in the past 31 games at home, while going 7-2 in the past nine games against teams with a winning overall record.


Indiana is just 1-8-1 ATS in the past 10 games on the road. (AP)

INSIDE THE STATS - INDIANA HOOSIERS

  • Record: 12-3
  • VI Ranking: 36
  • PS/G: 74.9 (119th)
  • PA/G: 60.8 (27th)
  • ORtg: 105.9 (119th)
  • DRtg: 86.0 (15th)

INSIDE THE STATS - IOWA HAWKEYES

  • Record: 11-4
  • VI Ranking: 34
  • PS/G: 86.7 (4th)
  • PA/G: 71.6 (251st)
  • ORtg: 120.5 (2nd)
  • DRtg: 99.4 (220th)

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

  • IND: Trayce Jackson-Davis - F (19.4 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 1.9 APG, 60.0 FG%)
  • IND: Race Thompson - F (10.7 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 2.0 APG, 1.2 SPG)
  • IOWA: Patrick McCaffery - F (11.2 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 1.8 APG, 30.6 3P%)
  • IOWA: Keegan Murray - F (24.7 PPG, 7.9 RPG, 2.1 BPG, 1.5 SPG, 1.3 APG)

INDIANA HOOSIERS VS. IOWA HAWKEYES BETTING CONCLUSION

Indiana has played pretty good basketball lately, but all of that success has come at the Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington, not on the road. It's a completely different story when the Hoosiers hit the road, with the last victory in a true road game coming at Northwestern on Feb. 10, 2021 after seven straight losses away from home.

Iowa has a little more depth, as Keegan Murray is a jack of all trades who is going to make a run at Big Ten Conference Player of the Year, and Patrick McCafferty has stepped up as a solid secondary scoring option. Indiana has dominated this series lately, but it just cannot be trusted. Iowa is at home, and it will get it done in a hotly contested game.

INDIANA HOOSIERS VS. IOWA HAWKEYES BETTING TRENDS

  • Indiana is 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall.
  • Indiana is 1-8-1 ATS in the past 10 home games.
  • Indiana is 0-7 ATS in the past seven as an underdog.
  • Indiana is 0-6 ATS in the past six as a road underdog.
  • Indiana is 5-1 ATS in the past six vs. winning teams.
  • Iowa is 5-2 ATS in the past seven games at home.
  • The UNDER is 14-5 in the past 19 games overall for Indiana.
  • The UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven road games for Indiana.
  • The OVER is 19-7 in the past 26 vs. winning teams for Indiana.
  • The OVER is 15-5-1 in the past 21 games overall for Iowa.
  • The OVER is 13-3-1 in the past 17 as a favorite for Iowa.
  • The OVER is 7-2 in the past nine vs. winning teams for Iowa.
  • The OVER is 22-8-1 in the past 31 home games for Iowa.
  • The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.

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Daniel Dobish

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish
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