2022 French Open Picks, Predictions, Odds

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

12 minute read

The 2022 French Open, also known as Roland Garros, is set to begin on Sunday, May 22 from the Stade Roland Garros located in Paris, France. It is set to conclude on Sunday, June 5 with the Men's Championship match. The event is played on a clay court surface and matches can be viewed on Peacock TV, NBC and the Tennis Channel.

2022 French Open Predictions

For the first time in a while, there is a new favorite on the men's singles draw for a major as Carlos Alcaraz finally passed Novak Djokovic with an impressive 2022 run thus far. With the retirement of Ashleigh Barty earlier this year, the women's draw saw a shake up in both rankings and odds as Poland's Iga Swiatek is the new No. 1 women's tennis player and the minus-value favorite entering Roland Garros this season.

Its unusual to see a WTA player enter a major event as a minus-value favorite, as the WTA is the deepest pool of athletic talent compared to almost any sport globally. Swiatek has earned the odds though, winning over 25 straight matches entering Roland Garros. It's advised to have something on Swiatek entering the event, as she will likely be a -500 favorite or higher in most of her singles matches.

However, if you don't feel comfortable putting money on a minus-value player entering a tournament of over 100 competitors then I won't blame you. One might think Swiatek is actually due to slip up, as a 25+ match winning streak would likely end in a high-pressure event with world class opposition. So bet at your own risk with Swiatek, but for the sake's of player analysis we will leave her out of the player break downs below. I personally will throw something on her and if she looses then use single match betting to cover the loss.

2022 French Open Betting Resources

• Date: Sunday, May 22 - Sunday, June 5
• Venue: Stade Roland Garros
• Location: Paris, France
• Surface: Clay
• TV: Peacock, NBC, Tennis Channel
• Futures Odds

NBC owns the broadcasting rights for Roland Garros U.S. television coverage. NBC will air replays during the day as many matches will begin in early morning American hours when most are sleeping. Peacock TV is the most reliable coverage for all matches of Roland Garros, but the Tennis Channel will also have coverage of the event.

2022 French Open Contenders

Men's Contenders

Women's Contenders

2022 French Open Men's Favorites

Carlos Alcaraz (+220)

This kid is on a rampage right now, winning multiple events this season and making work out of top talents such as Zverev, Nadal and Djokovic on a clay court surface. His odds are justified and he's the top player worth having money on for either men's or women's draw. He won Miami which was a hard court surface but still a 1000 level ATP event. On clay he has already won Barcelona and Madrid, so this will be his biggest clay court event outside his home country but the location of events hasn't seemed to bother him one bit.

Novak Djokovic (+225)

He is the only player who will win this event if its not Alcaraz. Novak had a scare almost a month and a half ago when he returned to the court after some time off. He didn't look great, losing matches but eventually found his form again and actually took the trophy in Rome. He is back to being the big and scary Joker tennis fans, players and bettors all know and getting him at +225 is a steal for the likelihood he wins this event - which without Alcaraz is closer to Swiatek odds.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (+400)

Bathroom breaks aside, Sitty is a great pick for this event. The odds aren't great, but he's shown poise and conviction on clay this season. He is still having issues, as many top young talents, getting over the Joker/Nadal bump. Sitty's benefit is that Joker, Nadal and Alcaraz are all on the top half of the bracket - whereas Sitty is all alone on the bottom. He has the easiest path to the championship for any top player so getting plus-value on his minus-value run through the event is worth a shot. With him, though, it's always the first round in a major - if he can avoid the early upset he's probably a lock for the title appearance.

2022 French Open Women's Favorites

• As mentioned above, Swiatek will not be part of the favorites picks but is recommended you have something on her entering

Ons Jabeur (+1200)

The Tunisian is running through competition right now, and would have won in Rome if not for Swiatek. The fifth round is where Jabeur will see some tests, as she will likely have the leftover of what is the most difficult bracket of the tournament for either men or women. Belinda Bencic, Bianca Andreescu, Naomi Osaka, Amanda Anisimova and Maria Sakkari are all crammed into the quarter bracket under Jabeur - so theoretically she can advance against any with the thought that those other women are all left with little stamina facing one another. Ons is also on the bottom bracket for the women, which is the easier of the two if she can get past the traffic jammed fifth round.

Simona Halep (+1400)

It's tough to take Halep here, as she will probably face Iga early in the event. However, she is one of a few women with an actual chance of beating Swiatek so it's wise to take a ticket on her incase she pulls off the upset - which she is more than capable of. If Halep beats the best player in the world then she is an instant threat and favorite to win Roland Garros. It's better to jump on her now than later as her odds will shorten and then definitely jump if she takes out the top seed - which again, is very possible.

Aryna Sabalenka(+2200)

This is another tough bet to make, but we are going against Swiatek so they're all tough bets. Sabby has a somewhat easy road to the fifth round, compared to many women, and has solid 22/1 odds of winning as she is top talent in WTA. She has looked pretty good on clay this season too, and went deep in big events until (like Ons) running into Swiatek. She has a pretty simple bracket until a potential Round 4 meeting with Danielle Collins, which would be her first big test. She can then get past a somewhat rubbish looking Badosa as of late before reaching the dreaded potential matchup against Swiatek. She can beat Iga, despite losing to her already, but is top talent and should be considered one of the few threats to Swiatek and the 22/1 odds make it easier to accept.

2022 French Open Men's Mid-Range

Casper Ruud (+2200)

Stamina is the only concern with Ruud, as he has played a ton of clay court matches. He has played in what seems like every clay court event so far, and has gone deep in all of them. That's why he's a solid mid-range value bet, because he demolishes lesser talent - even if that talent is very good (Reilly Opelka as an example). Ruud has a pretty simple bracket until a potential meeting against Sitty. I think stamina and the fact he's not as good as Sitty will be his downfall there, but he is capable of going on a run with his success on tour over the last two years and playing in the bottom bracket.

Jannik Sinner (+2800)

He's too young to think he can actually win the event, but is more than capable of competing with top talent if 'all hell breaks loose' between Alcaraz and Joker. Sinner plays on the bottom part of the bracket (where most our picks outside Alcaraz and Joker will be) and if he is in good form will more than likely reach the semifinals. His test comes against Andrey Rublev (potentially) in Round 4, but should actually be the favorite in single match betting moving forward if he can get past the Russian.

Andrey Rublev (+3300)

Same exact reasons for Rublev as they were for Sinner. The winner of this hypothetical Round 4 match should see great odds to reach the semifinals. The top seed in their bottom bracket is Daniil Medvedev, a favorite to fade. So between the young guns of Sinner and Rublev - the winner of that (potential) meeting could moonwalk right into a semifinal meeting with Sitty or Ruud - another match either could win.

2022 French Open Women's Mid-Range

Barbora Krejcikova (+3300)

It's been a while since we've seen her, but the odds given along with her placement in the bracket make it tough to ignore these odds. Krejcikova won this event not long ago, and is actually one of the world's best singles players over the last few years despite her being known for doubles. She is at the very bottom of the bracket where she should be favored in every single round she advances in, and quite frankly has the easiest road to the semifinals for any player on the men's or women's draw.

Elena Rybakina (+3300)

This is a sneaky good pick, as Rybakina's odds are worth the risk for how well she has played on the WTA circuit. She has a pretty simple bracket until a potential meeting against Paula Badosa, which she can win as the Spaniard has looked rubbish as of late. She might be the best player in her quarter that we don't know about just yet (from a grand scale), but her bracket is set up nicely for her to make a name for herself and she is capable of beating many opponents set up in front of her.

2022 French Open Men's Long Shots

Felix Auger Aliassime (+6600)

The young Canadian looks good, but does play in a very difficult part of the bracket - potentially meeting Joker before getting to Alcaraz. Not only that, but he might have to face (and likely will) Rafa Nadal in Round 4. Not easy, but Nadal is beatable right now and FAA looked decent against Joker in Rome. It will be tough but FAA is young and durable, always playing deep in tournaments and rarely missing time (much like Pablo Carreno Busta).

Pablo Carreno Busta (+6600)

Speaking of, PCB is in terrific shape to make a run in this event - some of the best resiliency and stamina in all of ATP. He is also set up nicely in the bottom bracket where Meddy is the top seed. Marin Cilic could give him issues, along with Miomir Kecmanovic should he beat Meddy, but Busta has the talent and durability to beat top players in the world along with many of the players in his quarter of the bracket. He is someone both Rublev or Sinner could face in the quarterfinals.

Miomir Kecmanovic (+6600)

Kecmanovic is in the same bracket as PCB, so the idea that these two meet in Round 4 is not too far-fetched. Meddy doesn't look good on clay at all, so I would expect Miomir to potentially beat him in a potential Round 3 meeting. Between these long shots (not including FAA) and the mid-range plays, we are basically betting on who will come out of the very bottom of the bracket. Rublev, Sinner, PCB and Kecmanovic present the best odds with the easiest paths and best pure natural talent.

2022 French Open Women's Long Shots

Danielle Collins (+4000)

The odds aren't much of a long shot, but at 40/1 it feels like a long shot number for how good Collins has been. Injuries are always the concern with Collins, but she is as tough as they come and has some of the most raw power on tour. Her bracket is kind but does have a potential meeting with Sabalenka in Round 4. If she can get past Sabby then it won't get easier - but she's built for long events and has gone deep in multiple majors already.

Jessica Pegula (+6600)

At 66/1, Pegula is a nice pick here. She will run into Swiatek however, but prior to the quarterfinals she has a pretty simple bracket to get through. Her toughest opponent might be Pliskova, who just lost to Juvan. Pegula has looked great on clay this year, but runs into trouble among top talent such as Swiatek or Sabalenka. Still, the upset is there for to take and present a great long shot bet if she can somehow get past the Polish star and into the semifinals.

Kaia Kanepi (+15000)

Now this is a true long shot, as evident by the large 150/1 odds. Kanepi is always a sleeper to watch in major events, typically upsetting top stars in the early rounds before fading near the quarterfinals. She is, shockingly, one of the more consistent players at a tennis major event and even is set up nicely in Round 1 against Garbine Muguruza - a favorite to fade. Kanepi won't fear any of her opponents in her bracket, as she can win matches against Coco Gauff, Anett Kontaveit, etc... She is actually set up to face a lot of top favorites to fade, so getting her at 150/1 is worth a shot if you're looking for a legit long shot.

2022 French Open Favorites to Fade

Rafael Nadal (+400)

I can't believe I'm typing this, but stay away from Rafa Nadal this Roland Garros. For +400 at this event, typically I would jump on these odds - but Nadal hasn't looked like top form Rafa on clay this season. He might be holding back, but he has lost a few matches to top young talent this season and even has injury concerns following his early exit last event. I love Rafa at this event, especially for 4/1 odds, but the pool of talent is way too blood thirsty right now and Rafa isn't 100% swimming with these sharks.

Amanda Anisimova (+2500)

Many are high on the young American, and she has a great future ahead. Her bracket is way too difficult to seriously consider as a champion though, facing Naomi Osaka in Round 1. If that wasn't unkind enough, she then gets (potentially) Andreescu, Bencic, Sakkari and Jabeur. Shake the hand of any bettor who takes and hits her this Roland Garros season, it's just too difficult - plain and simple.

Coco Gauff (+2800)

She's typically the top favorite to fade in every major. Not because she isn't good enough, but because she's a bit too young to consider winning a major. Yes, the 2021 U.S. Open proved that wrong - but keep in mind that was an anomaly which happens in sports every now and then but rarely on a consistent basis. Also, neither Raducanu or Fernandez had 'favored' odds to win. Gauff with long odds would be a great long shot bet to consider. Gauff with favored odds is one to avoid. She has way too much to learn and way too many aspects of her game to work on before we can seriously consider her winning a major at favored odds.

Garbine Muguruza (+3300)

She just hasn't looked like her top form self, plain and simple. She lost recently to Trevisan after winning the first set in Morocco, and also saw a Round 1 exit in Rome against Putintseva. If that wasn't enough, she gets Kanepi in Round 1 - who loves major upsets in the early stages.

Daniil Medvedev (+3300)

The odds are enough indication to stay away from this top talent, as he is just not good on a clay court surface. Meddy is thew top player in the world on a hard court surface, but on clay court watching him play is like night and day. He is coming off of a loss to Richard Gasquet and is loaded in a bracket with young and talent clay court feigns.

Denis Shapovalov (+8000)

For 80/1 you would think this isn't a bad bet, but the inconsistency Shap has shown is tough to wager on. He's one of the top young talents in the game, and many seem high on his future. For now though, he still has much to learn and just needs to be more consistent. His ability to beat Nadal on clay then lose to Ilya Ivashka the next event is truly difficult to wager on. Yes, he has potential to go far in this event but he will make you pull your hair out getting there. Ignore the young Canadian for now, as he still has a lot to work on before finishing through a major finish line.

2022 French Open Notable Withdraws

• Roger Federer
• Serena Williams
• Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
• Andy Murray
• Nick Kyrgios
• Matteo Berrettini
• Elina Svitolina
• Venus Williams
• Gael Monfils

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers