Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:59 PM
Sunday's Tip Sheet
The final day of the college basketball regular season gets things started with a big showdown in the AAC between No. 12 Houston and the No. 20 Cincinnati Bearcats at Fifth Third Arena.
In the first of two season-ending tilts in the Big Ten, Iowa goes on the road to face the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Later on Sunday afternoon, the No. 21 Wisconsin Badgers close things out in a road game against Ohio State.
No. 12 Houston Cougars at No. 20 Cincinnati Bearcats (CBS, 12 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Cincinnati -1 ½, Total 127 ½
The Cougars beat Cincinnati 65-58 on Feb. 10 as 4 ½-point home favorites and they currently hold a one-game lead over their AAC rivals in the conference standings at 15-2 straight-up. They come into this rematch at 28-2 SU overall with an 18-10-2 record against the spread. After failing to cover as a 12 ½-point home favorite in Thursday’s 90-79 win against SMU, Houston slipped to 2-3-1 ATS over its last six games. Corey Davis Jr. scored 17 points in Thursday’s win. The senior guard is averaging a team-high 16.2 points per game.
Thursday’s 58-55 loss to Central Florida as 2 ½-point road underdogs snapped the Bearcats’ recent five-game SU winning streak. They have failed to cover the closing number in their last seven games as part of a costly 6-12 record ATS in AAC play. Cincinnati is 25-5 SU overall with a 12-18 mark ATS. The total stayed UNDER 126 ½ points in Thursday’s loss and it has stayed UNDER in seven of its last eight contests. Junior guard Jarron Cumberland is averaging a team-high 18.3 PPG, but he has failed to score more than 12 points in four of his last five starts.
-- The Cougars are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road with the total staying UNDER in six of those 10 contests.
-- The Bearcats have failed to cover in 10 of their last 17 home games, including their last four. The total has gone OVER in six of their last nine games played at home.
-- Cincinnati has won seven of the last 10 meetings SU, but the series is tied 5-5 ATS over that same span. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of those 10 games.
Iowa Hawkeyes at Nebraska Cornhuskers (Big Ten Network, 2 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Nebraska -2 ½, Total 148 ½
The Hawkeyes currently hold the No. 6 seed for next week’s Big Ten Tournament at 10-9 SU in conference play. They have lost their last three games SU while failing to cover in their last seven outings. Earlier in the season, Iowa did beat Nebraska 93-84 closing as a two-point home underdog. It is 4-5 SU on the road this season with a 3-6 record ATS. Going back to their last three losses, the Hawkeyes have been outscored by a combined 54 points against Ohio State, Rutgers and Wisconsin.
With just two SU wins in their last 13 games, the Cornhuskers have sunk to 5-14 SU in conference play. In their current four-game slide, they have lost three of those games by double figures. The total went OVER in all four contests. Nebraska is an even 15-15 SU (13-15-1 ATS) on the year with a SU 11-5 (8-6-1 ATS) record at home. One bright spot has been the steady play of senior guard James Palmer Jr. with 18.9 PPG. He posted 30 points in Tuesday’s 91-76 loss to Michigan State.
-- The Hawkeyes have a 1-4 record ATS in their last five road games and the total has gone OVER in four of their last six games played on the road.
-- The Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games with the total staying UNDER in 10 of their last 14 games at home.
-- The home team has won the last five meetings SU with Nebraska holding the slight 3-2 edge ATS. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in all five of those games.
No. 21 Wisconsin Badgers at Ohio State Buckeyes (Big Ten Network, 4:30 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Wisconsin -3, Total 122
The Badgers are holding onto fourth place in the Big Ten at 13-6 SU with a one game lead over Maryland. They are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games as part of an 8-11 record ATS in conference play. The total stayed UNDER 140 points in Thursday’s 65-45 victory at home against Iowa as a six-point favorite and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 12 of Wisconsin’s last 14 games. Senior forward Ethan Happ scored 21 points against the Hawkeyes and he averaging a team-high 17.9 points a game.
Ohio State slipped to 8-11 both SU and ATS in conference play with back-to-back losses to Purdue and Northwestern. Going back to a 63-56 loss to Illinois on Feb. 14 as eight-point home favorites, the Buckeyes are 2-5 (SU and ATS) in their last seven games. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last eight outings. Ohio State is averaging 69.4 PPG, but it has failed to score more than 63 points in seven of its last eight games.
-- The Badgers are 0-2-1 ATS in their last three road games as part of an overall road record of 6-5-1 ATS this season. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight road games.
-- The Buckeyes have covered in three of their last five home games, but they are 6-11 ATS at home this season. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six games played at home.
-- This will be the first meeting between the two this season. Ohio State won the last two meetings both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in the last four meetings.