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Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:48 PM

Indiana vs. FSU Predictions, Odds


  • December 9, 2020
  • By Thom Cunningham
  • VegasInsider.com

The Florida State Seminoles host the Indiana Hoosiers in one of many Big Ten vs. ACC games this week. The game is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. on ESPN, moved up after the Louisville-Wisconsin game was postponed due to COVID-19.

BETTING RESOURCES

Indiana-FSU Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: FSU -1
  • Money-Line: FSU -175 Indiana +140
  • Total: 140.5

Odds Subject to Change

Florida State enters this home game as a slight favorite over the visiting Hoosiers, marking just the second game of the season for the Seminoles. FSU has seen a few games postponed already, as this is the first true test of the season.

FSU handled North Florida in its first game of the season, hardly a measuring stick for a solid Big Ten opponent. The Seminoles did cover against the Ospreys, while Indiana is 3-1 ATS and undefeated SU on the road.

Indiana has seen impressive victories over Providence and Stanford already, while the lone loss came against Texas in a 20-point defeat. Despite the impressive resume for Indiana thus far, it might be safe to say FSU is the toughest team in its first five games of the season.

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Betting Analysis – Indiana Hoosiers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 3-1
  • ATS: 3-1
  • SU - Home: 1-1
  • SU - Away: 2-0
  • O/U: 2-2

Indiana's defense has been the standout for Archie Miller's club so far. The Hoosiers are allowing an average of 61.5 points per game, which ranks 54th nationally. The defensive rating for Indiana is also 88.2, ranking 81st out of 301 schools this season.

The production for Indiana is led by Trayce Jackson-Davis, who has skyrocketed up the Wooden Award odds list. Jackson-Davis is averaging 21.5 points per game to go along with seven rebounds. He has seen five blocks through four games, and has shot nine or more free throws in three of his last four games.

The size of Indiana is a bit concerning when facing a school like FSU. Jackson-Davis at 6'9" is the tallest player on the Hoosiers roster, while FSU's second-highest scorer is 7'1". If Indiana can rebound and get a solid performance from Jackson-Davis, they might cover the spread.

Betting Analysis – FSU Seminoles

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 1-0
  • ATS: 1-0
  • SU - Home: 1-0
  • SU - Away: 0-0
  • O/U: 0-1

The height is the big advantage for FSU, as it typically is. Balsa Koprivica can present a lot of issues for an otherwise altitude-challenged Indiana team. M.J. Walker is the top scorer for the Seminoles, averaging 17 points per game and the clear leader of this FSU club.

The difference for FSU is the play of Scottie Brooks, who is averaging a near triple-double. Brooks was a top Wooden Award candidate to begin the season, and should continue to pump life into this FSU offense throughout the 2021 season. What also makes FSU so dangerous is that Brooks is a freshman, as he can continue to develop and spread the ball while alleviating leadership duties to Walker.

Walker isn't the only leader either, as FSU has a lot of contributing upperclassmen. Sardaar Calhoun, Raiquan Gray, Nathaneal Jack, Malik Osborne and Anthony Polite all bring experience and production to the Seminoles.

This team is put together very nicely, with the only real concern being that they have only faced North Florida this season. Expectations included, FSU should win this home game and present a case to make a deep run in March Madness.

Inside the Stats – Indiana Hoosiers

  • PS/G: 72.8 (173rd)
  • PA/G: 61.5 (49th)
  • Off Rtg: 104.3 (135th)
  • Def Rtg: 88.2 (77th)

Inside the Stats – FSU Seminoles

  • PS/G: 86 (37th)
  • PA/G: 58 (29th)
  • Off Rtg: 119.4 (21st)
  • Def Rtg: 80.6 (30th)

Key Players to Watch

  • IND - Trayce Jackson-Davis (21.5 PPG, 7 RPG)
  • IND - Race Thompson (11.5 PPG, 7.5 RPG)
  • FSU - M.J. Walker (17 PPG, 4 RPG)
  • FSU - Scottie Brooks (8 PPG, 6 RPG, 6 APG)

Indiana-FSU Predictions

FSU has the edge in talent, height and playmaking ability. The Hoosier's only chance to win is to rebound like their lives depend on it, and take care of the basketball.

FSU saw 12 steals and six blocks against North Florida, and with the height disadvantage Indiana needs to be weary of the steals-blocks ratio. It would take a lot for Indiana to pull off a road upset here, although they can pull it off.

The safe bet is the better home team though, as FSU should win this game regardless of Indiana playing better competition thus far. If this game was in Indiana then maybe consider the upset, but there's no reason FSU shouldn't take their first big home game. The Seminoles are nearly unbeatable at home, so don't overthink this one.

  • Score Prediction: FSU 77 Indiana 71
  • Best Bets: FSU -1

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