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Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:47 PM

St. Louis vs. Richmond Predictions, Odds



  • January 29, 2021
  • By Thom Cunningham
  • VegasInsider.com

The St. Louis Billikens look to get back on track with a road game against the pre-season A-10 favorite, the Richmond Spiders. Tip for this huge conference game is set for 6:30 p.m. and will air on ESPN2.

BETTING RESOURCES

WHERE TO BET ST. LOUIS-RICHMOND

St. Louis-Richmond Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Pick em
  • Money-Line: Richmond -110 St. Louis -110
  • Total: 147.5

Odds Subject to Change

Richmond enters split with St. Louis, as the Billikens opened as -2-point favorites but have since dwindled. St. Louis has covered the spread in six of its last nine games, while Richmond has covered the spread in eight of its last 13 games.

The point total is set at 147.5, which St. Louis tends to go OVER on a lot. The Billikens have gone OVER the point total in seven of nine games this season, while Richmond is 7-6 on the O/U.

Betting Analysis – St. Louis Billikens

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 7-2
  • ATS: 6-3
  • SU - Home: 7-1
  • SU - Away: 0-1
  • O/U: 7-2

St. Louis finally returned to the college basketball landscape after a month-long hiatus. The Billikens lost their return game though, beaten at home against Dayton. Now the ninth-most efficient offense in the sport tries to rebound with a road game against ores-season favorite Richmond.

The Spiders are struggling as well, dropping a home game to La Salle on Saturday. St. Louis will have to be ready for a focused Richmond team. What makes St. Louis good? Where to start. The Billikens average over 80 points per game (20th nationally), while also allowing just 65.8 points per game (71st nationally).

They also feature three players who average a double-digit point total in Javonte Perkins, Jordan Goodwin and Gibson Jimerson Goodwin also averages 11.1 rebounds per game, while Yuri Collins averages 7.7 assists per game.

Collins is often overlooked, as he also averages six points a game. His assists are key though, as it has led St. Louis to 19.6 per game which ranks fourth in the nation. St. Louis also features five players that average a steal or more per game, with three of those five players average 1.8 steals per game or more.

Hasahn French is a big difference maker for St. Louis, averaging about 10 points and seven rebounds a game. He is one of the senior leaders of this team, and averages about two blocks per game.

Betting Analysis – Richmond Spiders

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 10-4
  • ATS: 8-5
  • SU - Home: 3-3
  • SU - Away: 7-1
  • O/U: 7-6

Richmond was picked to win the A-10 to start the season, and even touched the AP rankings after beating Kentucky. The road hasn't been easy since then for Richmond, as inconsistency has plagued this team. However, the Spiders have five players average a double-digit point total and shot the 32nd-best field goal percentage in the nation (48.4%).

Despite averaging 8.6 steals per game (ranks 26th nationally), the weakness for this team is defense. Richmond has a defensive efficiency rating of 100.2, which ranks 213th out of 347 schools. Also, they give up about 70 points a game which is only six points off what their offensive averages.

It's difficult to trust a team that has seen three of its four total losses at home, but there are things Richmond does well. They pass the ball well, averaging 15.1 a game which ranks 81st nationally. Jacob Gilyard averages 5.5 assists per game, while team leading point scorers Grant Golden and Blake Francis also average a handful themselves.

Richmond also takes and makes easy buckets, scoring 21 two-pointers per game which ranks 41st nationally. The inside shots are also efficient, making 55.9% of their two-pointers which ranks 31st in the nation.


Inside the Stats – St. Louis Billikens

  • PS/G: 82.4 (21st)
  • PA/G: 65.8 (72nd)
  • Off Rtg: 115.4 (9th)
  • Def Rtg: 92.1 (39th)

Inside the Stats – Richmond Spiders

  • PS/G: 76.3 (90th)
  • PA/G: 70.3 (182nd)
  • Off Rtg: 108.8 (63rd)
  • Def Rtg: 100.2 (212th)

Key Players to Watch

  • STL - Javonte Perkins (18 PPG)
  • STL - Jordan Goodwin (16.2 PPG, 11.1 RPG)
  • RICH - Blake Francis (16.6 PPG)
  • RICH - Grant Golden (14.8 PPG, 6.5 RPG)

St. Louis-Richmond Predictions

Its tough to take Richmond after dropping a home game to La Salle, as the Billikens will probably want to prove to the rest of the conference they're a legit March Madness team. With both teams struggling a bit and a straight pick em, go with the overall talent which lies in the Billikens' corner.

I like to recommend live betting for plus-value whenever there is a pick em present, so if you fancy the Billikens then that's the strategy I would consider. Live betting also allows you more time to make a judgment call. The point total odds lie with St. Louis as well, going OVER in seven of nine.

Both teams need to touch about 70 points minimum for the 147.5 to go OVER. Richmond averages 76 while the Billikens average over 80, so feel free to take the OVER here and lean in the point total market if live betting scares you.

  • Score Prediction: St. Louis 77 Richmond 71
  • Best Bets: OVER
  • Best Bets: St. Louis SU

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