Last Updated Nov 30, 2022, 1:31 AM
College Football Week 7 Opening Odds Report
US Sports Betting Industry Expert
College Football Week 7 odds once again direct our attention to the SEC. And perhaps a new team in the College Football Playoff odds mix.
No. 3 Alabama travels to face fellow unbeaten and sixth-ranked Tennessee. There's a top-10 clash of unbeatens in the Big Ten, as well, with No. 10 Penn State visiting No. 5 Michigan.
Let's dive into Week 7 college football odds and action, with insights from multiple oddsmakers and sportsbooks. Check back regularly for updates.
College Football Week 7 Odds
No. 7 USC vs No. 20 Utah
Opening line: Utah -3.5; Over/Under 59.5
Time: 8 p.m. ET Saturday (TBD)
UPDATE 7 P.M. ET SATURDAY: An hour before kickoff, Utah is a 3.5-point favorite at DraftKings. The Utes opened -2.5, advanced to -4 Monday, then spent most of the week at various price iterations of -3.5.
Utah is now -3.5 flat, with 66% of spread tickets/57% of spread money on USC. The Trojans are also netting 74% of moneyline tickets/61% of moneyline dollars.
DK opened the total at 60.5, initially backed up to 59.5, then ramped up to 65 by Tuesday. The number inched down to 64.5 Thursday, then returned to 65 Friday. The Over is seeing 58% of tickets/64% of money.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: WynnBet's college football Week 6 odds market opened at Utah -3 (-120), and the Utes advanced to -4.5 by Monday morning. However, the Utes have been at various iterations of -3.5 since Monday afternoon.
Spread betting is practically all USC at WynnBet. The Trojans are taking 80% of tickets and a whopping 95% of money on the spread. Bettors are also pounding USC moneyline – currently +145 – to the tune of 67% of tickets/64% of money.
WynnBet opened the total at 59.5, and by Tuesday afternoon, it was all the way out to 65, where it remains this evening. Ticket count is almost even, but 89% of money is on the Over.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Utah opened -3.5 Sunday afternoon at Caesars Sports and initially fell back to -2.5. By Sunday evening, though, the Utes returned to -3.5, and they peaked at -4.5 late Monday morning.
However, a short time later, the Utes slipped back to -3.5, and the number has been steady since. USC is netting 62% of early spread bets/71% of early spread cash.
"USC getting sharp action here is a bit surprising, since the sharps have been fading [the Trojans] pretty much all year long,” Caesars lead college football trader Joey Feazel said. “We’ve gotten some sharp action on Utah, too. On Monday, the line was moving back and forth because we had multiple sharp accounts hitting each side. The line movement here is intriguing especially around that key number of 3, with two pretty evenly matched teams. This is probably the game where we’ll be watching the action the closest this week.”
The total is already all the way out to 65, reaching that point Tuesday after opening at 59.5. Betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET MONDAY: Southern Cal is 6-0 SU (4-2 ATS), yet oddsmakers still aren't believers in this Trojans team, making it a road 'dog in Week 7. USC is coming off a 30-14 home victory as 12-point chalk against Washington State.
Utah (4-2 SU and ATS) was getting preseason talk as a potential CFP contender, but with two losses already, that talk has gone silent. In Week 6, the Utes never led in a 42-32 loss laying 3 points at UCLA.
TwinSpires hasn't moved off Utah -3.5, despite strong early USC action. Ticket count is 2/1-plus and money 3/1 on Southern Cal.
"USC is shaping up to be a big public 'dog. It's early, but Utah will likely be a big need," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total is already up 3.5 points to 63, with tickets 2/1 and money 2.5/1 on the Over.
No. 4 Clemson vs Florida State
Opening line: Clemson -5.5; Over/Under 51
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday (ABC)
UPDATE 7 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Clemson hit DraftKings' college football Week 7 odds board as a 6.5-point road chalk, but that didn't last long. The Tigers dipped to -4.5 by Sunday afternoon, then to -3.5 late Monday morning. The number then spent most of the week at various price iterations of -3.5, before advancing to -4.5 this morning.
Clemson is drawing 72% of spread tickets/61% of spread money.
The total opened at 51.5, dipped to 51 early in the week, went to 50.5 this morning, then returned to 51. Ticket count is almost 4/1 and money about 2/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 7 P.M. ET FRIDAY: As is the case elsewhere, this matchup has seen significant movement on WynnBet's college football Week 7 odds board. Clemson opened -6 (-105) and initially toggled between -6 and -5.5 Sunday afternoon. The line tumbled to Tigers -4 Sunday evening, rebounded to -4.5 Monday morning, then spent most of the week at -3.5.
Late this afternoon, Clemson advanced to -4 (-115), then to -4.5 flat. Point-spread ticket count is about 8/1 and spread money 2.5/1 on the road favorite Tigers.
WynnBet opened the total at 50.5 (Over -115), peaked at 51.5 (Under -115) Sunday afternoon, then spent all week at 51. Tickets and money are in the 2.5/1 range on the Over.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This number has tumbled dramatically at Caesars Sports, which opened Clemson -7.5 Sunday afternoon. By early Sunday evening, the Tigers were already down to -4, then toggled between -4 and -4.5 a couple times.
On Monday morning, Clemson fell to -3.5, and the line hasn't moved since then. The Tigers are attracting 83% of early spread bets, but 62% of early spread dollars are on the Seminoles.
“This seems like a classic sharp vs. public game,” Caesars lead college football trader Joey Feazel said. “I think the sharp action on Florida State is a bit of both being higher on Florida State and lower on Clemson than the public. The sharps have really been fading this Clemson team a lot this season, because they don’t think they have much offensive firepower. Meanwhile, [our traders] think that Clemson is really undervalued almost every week. I don’t think the market respects DJ [Uiagalelei] that much, but that defense is great.”
The total has been painted to 51 all week in Caesars' college football Week 7 odds. Betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET MONDAY: Clemson (6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS) has been a regular participant in the CFP, though Dabo Swinney and Co. failed to make the four-team playoff last year and look to remedy that this season. The Tigers rolled to a 31-3 victory giving 21 points at Boston College in Week 6.
Florida State (4-2 SU and ATS) is trying to halt a two-game SU losing skid. In Week 6, the Seminoles lost to North Carolina State 19-17, though they cashed as 3.5-point road 'dogs.
Clemson has already backed up 2 points at TwinSpires, going to -4.5 on the way to -3.5. The Tigers are taking 62% of early spread bets, but 60% of early spread cash is on the home 'dog Seminoles.
"An early Pros vs Joes vibe to this, with the Pros on Florida State early in the week," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total is stable at 51, with 59% of bets/57% of money on the over.
No. 3 Alabama vs No. 6 Tennessee
Opening line: Alabama -8.5; Over/Under 65.5
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday (CBS)
UPDATE 1:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: DraftKings toggled between the opener of Alabama -7 and -7.5 through much of the week, then stretched to -8.5 and -9 on Friday. Very early today, the line returned to -8.5, but it's been at -9 since this morning.
Crimson Tide QB Bryce Young (shoulder) is now expected to play.
That said, spread ticket count is 3/1 and spread money almost 2.5/1 on Tennessee. Further, although moneyline ticket count is almost 2/1 'Bama (currently -320), moneyline dollars are running 2/1 on Tennessee (currently +265).
The total opened at 65.5, bottomed out at 65 early in the week, climbed to 66.5 by Friday and 67.5 this morning. That said, it's not overwhelming action on the Over, at 54% of tickets/61% of money.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Alabama briefly touched its high point of -9 today at WynnBet, but the Crimson Tide have since backed up to -8. WynnBet opened 'Bama -7 (-125) on Sunday afternoon and spent most of the week toggling between various iterations of -7 and -7.5.
The Tide are currently -8 (-115), with 71% of spread tickets on Tennessee, and 53% of spread money on Alabama. The status of Alabama QB Bryce Young (shoulder) is still undetermined.
"It's been good two-way action on Alabama-Tennessee," WynnBet trader Andy Morrissey said. "We got Tennessee money at +7.5 early [in the week and went to +7. It's been a lot of Alabama since. The sharp guys are on both sides."
WynnBet opened the total at 65.5 in its college football Week 7 odds market. The number nudged to 66 briefly Wednesday, then back to 65.5. Late this morning, the total returned to 66. Ticket count is dead even, and 58% of money is on the Over.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Caesars Sports pegged Alabama an 8-point chalk at Sunday afternoon's outset, and the line dipped to -7.5 within three hours. The number briefly touched Crimson Tide -7 Monday morning, then stabilized at -7.5 (-105) by Monday night.
Early point-spread tickets and money are running heavily toward underdog Tennessee. Ticket count is 6/1 and money 7/1 on the Vols. In addition, Tennessee has taken two times more moneyline tickets than any other team on the college football Week 7 odds board. The Vols opened +250 on the moneyline and are now +235.
"If it continues to trend Tennessee getting this much of the tickets and money, it will definitely be one of our biggest decisions of the regular season,” Caesars lead college football trader Joey Feazel said. "I wasn’t expecting this much popularity for Tennessee, but I can understand it. Alabama was a play away from losing last week, and Tennessee won handily against a solid team on the road.
"It’s the same thing with their [championship] futures prices. The stock value of Alabama is going down, and Tennessee’s odds improve by the week. But with Bryce Young looking like he’ll be back and how much he means to this team, that’s why the line is still where it’s at.”
The total opened at 65.5, nudged to 65 Tuesday, then returned to 65.5 at lunchtime today. Betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET MONDAY: Alabama lost a little luster with AP voters this week, dropping from No. 1 to No. 3. The Crimson Tide (6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS) struggled against two Lone Star State teams this season, most recently this past weekend with Texas A&M.
Going off as a 24.5-point home favorite, Alabama had to stop A&M at the goal line in the final seconds to secure a 24-20 victory. The Crimson Tide were without star QB Bryce Young (shoulder), and his status for the Tennessee game hasn't been determined yet.
Meanwhile, Tennessee (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) is hoping to ramp up its CFP credibility with a big upset this week. The Vols tuned up by blasting LSU 40-13 as 2.5-point road favorites.
'Bama is already down a point to -7.5 at TwinSpires Sportsbook. The Vols are taking 56% of early tickets/72% of early money on the spread.
"Sharp play on Tennessee +8.5," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.
The total nudged down to 65, with 61% of tickets/53% of money on the Over so far.
No. 8 Oklahoma State vs No. 13 TCU
Opening line: TCU -3.5; Over/Under 67.5
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday (TBD)
UPDATE 1:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: TCU opened -2.5 at DraftKings and within a few hours Sunday was up to -3.5 (-105). The Horned Frogs then reached -4 Tuesday morning and toggled between -4 and -3.5 until this morning, then the number climbed to -4.5, then to -5.
However, it's two-way spread action with a lean toward Oklahoma State, at 58% of tickets/54% of money.
The total opened at 68, bottomed out at 67.5 and spent most of the week at 68.5. It's now at 69 – a point it also reached on Tuesday – with ticket count 5/1 and money 9/1-plus on the Over.
UPDATE 7 P.M. ET FRIDAY: WynnBet has been stable at TCU -4 since Wednesday afternoon, after opening the Horned Frogs -3 (-125) and spending most of the first half of the week at -3.5. Road pup Oklahoma State is seeing 56% of spread bets/72% of spread money.
The total opened at 68.5, bottomed out at 67.5 Monday, peaked briefly Wednesday morning at 69 and has been at 68.5 since. Ticket count is 2/1 and money 3/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: TCU opened -1 and shot up to -4 by Sunday night at Caesars Sports. Since then, the Horned Frogs have bounced between -4 and -3.5 a couple of times, and they're currently at -4.
Underdog Oklahoma State is seeing 55% of early spread bets, while 64% of early spread cash is on home chalk Texas Christian.
The total opened at 68, bottomed out at 67.5 Monday morning, peaked at 69 this morning and is now 68.5. Betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET MONDAY: Texas Christian is one of the bigger surprises this year, following a 5-7 SU campaign in which it was one of the nation's worst ATS teams, at 2-9-1. The Horned Frogs (5-0 SU, 4-0-1 ATS) knocked off fellow Big 12 surprise Kansas in Week 6, notching a 38-31 road win to push as 7-point favorites.
Oklahoma State (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) remained unbeaten after surviving a tough test against visiting Texas Tech. The Cowboys closed as 11-point faves, then trailed at multiple junctures, but forged on to a 41-31 win.
TwinSpires hasn't moved off TCU -3.5. Oklahoma State is netting 69% of early spread bets/59% of early spread money.
"The public is piling up on Okie State early," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total is up a point to 68.5, with tickets and money in the 2.5/1 range on the Over.
No. 15 North Carolina State vs No. 18 Syracuse
Opening line: Syracuse -3.5; Over/Under 44.5
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday (ACC Network)
UPDATE 1:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: A couple of hours before kickoff, Syracuse is a 3-point favorite on DraftKings' college football Week 7 odds board. The Orange opened -6 on Sunday afternoon and tumbled to -3 by Monday morning. Syracuse then spent the week toggling between -3 and -3.5.
Spread tickets are almost dead even on this game, while 59% of spread money is on 'Cuse.
The total opened at 44, peaked at 44.5 Tuesday Monday, wound down to 41.5 by Wednesday afternoon, then rebounded to 42.5 by late Friday night. The Over is taking 78% of bets, while 59% of cash is on the Under.
UPDATE 7 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Syracuse hit WynnBet's college football Week 7 odds board as a 3.5-point chalk Sunday afternoon. That number quickly doubled to 'Cuse -6 by Sunday evening, but by late Monday morning corrected down to Orange -3 (-120).
Syracuse then spent most of the week at various versions of -3.5, save for a couple of short stints back at -3. This evening, the Orange returned to -3 (-115). North Carolina State is taking 56% of spread bets, while 68% of spread money is on Syracuse.
WynnBet opened the total at 44.5, dipped to 44 Sunday afternoon and returned to 44.5 Monday afternoon. By Wednesday afternoon, however, the total fell back to 42, where it remains this evening.
Ticket count is just shy of 2/1 on the Under, and practically all the early dollars are on the Under.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Caesars Sports opened Syracuse at -3.5 and got to 'Cuse -5.5 within a couple of hours Sunday. However, by Monday morning, the number was down to -3, with stops at -5, -4.5 and -4 along the way.
Since then, Syracuse has mostly been at various iterations -3.5 and is currently -3.5 flat. North Carolina State is getting 60% of early spread bets, while 56% of early spread cash is on the Orange.
The total opened at 44, peaked at 44.5 Monday afternoon, but has since made its way down to 42. Betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET MONDAY: Much like TCU and Kansas, Syracuse is another surprise team. The Orange (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) also got an extra week to prepare for this key ACC matchup, with a Week 6 bye. And Week 5 was basically a bye, too, with Syracuse drubbing FCS foe Wagner 59-0 as a 53.5-point home chalk.
However, that spread-cover didn't pay off for most bettors, as only 50 minutes of game time was played. Sportsbook operators generally require the contesting of at least 55 minutes of game time.
North Carolina State has been steady on the field, at 5-1 SU, but not so much at the betting window, with a 2-4 ATS mark. In Week 6 at home against Florida State, the Wolfpack squeaked out a 19-17 win laying 3.5 points.
This line has toggled around a bit at TwinSpires, going up to Syracuse -4.5, returning to -3.5 and now sitting at -4. N.C. State is seeing 58% of early spread tickets/55% of early spread money.
"We've seen sharp play on both sides so far," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total inched down to 44, with 60% of tickets/59% of money on the Over.
No. 10 Penn State vs No. 5 Michigan
Opening line: Michigan -7.5; Over/Under 51.5
Time: Noon ET Saturday (FOX)
UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Thirty minutes before kickoff, Michigan is a 7-point favorite in DraftKings' college football Week 7 odds market. The Wolverines opened -8 and quickly backed up to -7 by Sunday night, then spent all week at various price iterations of -7.
Michigan is currently -7 flat, with 54% of tickets/57% of money on touchdown underdog Penn State.
The total opened at 51.5 (Under -115), peaked at 53.5 Tuesday, then made its way down to 49 by Friday morning. On Friday night, it ticked back up to 49.5, then this morning returned to 49. The Under is seeing 59% of tickets/61% of money.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: WynnBet opened Michigan at -6.5 (-115) on Sunday afternoon and within a couple of hours stabilized at -7. The Wolverines have been at -7 all week, at various prices, and the number is currently -7 flat.
Point-spread ticket count is almost dead even at WynnBet, but 69% of spread dollars are on the Wolverines.
"We took a sharp bet on Penn State at +7, but it's been mostly Michigan [money]," WynnBet trader Andy Morrissey said. "We're a small winner to Penn State currently."
The total opened at 50.5, got to 51.5 late Sunday night, then stretched to 53 by Tuesday afternoon. But the total has since significantly receded, as WynnBet dropped to 52 by Wednesday morning, 50.5 late Thursday morning, then this afternoon went to 49.
"The sharper guys bet the Under. We will need the Over," Morrissey said.
The Under is netting 71% of tickets/64% of money.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Michigan hit Caesars Sports' Week 7 college football odds board as a 7.5-point home chalk, then toggled between -7.5 and -7 a couple of times Sunday/early Monday. The rest of Monday, Michigan bounced between various price iterations of -6.5 and -7, before settling at -7 flat early Tuesday.
Penn State is taking 54% of early spread tickets and 65% of early spread dollars.
The total opened at 50.5, stretched out to 53 by Monday afternoon, then backed up to 51.5 late this morning. Betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET MONDAY: For the first time this season, Michigan (6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS) isn't a double-digit favorite. In Week 6, the Wolverines went to Indiana as 23.5-point faves and exited with a 31-10 victory, just short of covering.
Penn State (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) enters this pivotal Big Ten matchup off a bye week. In Week 6, the Nittany Lions fended off Northwestern 17-7, falling well short of cashing as 25-point home favorites.
This number has already made a move toward Penn State, with TwinSpires dipping to Michigan -7. The Wolverines are seeing 63% of early spread tickets, while 59% of early spread dollars are on Penn State.
"Sharp play on Penn State +7.5," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total is up a half-point to 52 on two-way early play: 54% of tickets on the Under/56% of early money on the Over.