Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 10:02 AM

Tech Trends - Week 5

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NFL Trends - Week 4

Thursday, Sept. 27
Matchup Skinny Edge
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NORTH CAROLINA at MIAMI-FL...Tar Heels have covered 6 of last 7 on board since late LY. Heels have also covered the last thee vs. Canes, and Fedora 5-2 last seven as road dog. Richt 4-9 last 13 vs. line.
UNC, based on team and series trends.
Friday, Sept. 28
Matchup Skinny Edge
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MEMPHIS at TULANE...Tigers 7-2-1 vs. spread last ten reg season games and have covered seven of last eight laying DD. Willie Fritz 5-3 last eight as dog.
Memphis, based on team trends.
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UCLA at COLORADO...Bruins have now lost 12 in a row SU away from Rose Bowl, 4-8 vs. line in those. Buffs were 10-2 as Boulder chalk for Coach Mac until LY’s 1-3.
Colorado, based on team trends.
Saturday, Sept. 29
Matchup Skinny Edge
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ARMY at BUFFALO... UB has covered last two years in series, and Leipold covering a lot lately (12-2-2 last 16 vs. spread against FBS foes). Bulls 3-0-1 last 4 as home chalk vs. BCS.
Buffalo, based on team and series trends.
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CINCINNATI at UCONN...Prior to Ohio non-cover, Cincy 3-0 SU and vs. line for first time since Brian Kelly team in 2009. Edsall just 2-6 vs. spread at Pratt & Whitney Stadium since returning LY.
Cincy, based on recent trends.
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CENTRAL MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN STATE...CMU 7-2 last nine vs. line as visitor including 2-0 TY. Spartans 4-2 as home chalk since LY but that followed 12-20 mark in role previous five seasons. Dantonio 2-7 vs. line last nine hosting non-Big Ten.
CMU, based on team trends.
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NORTHERN ILLINOIS at EASTERN MICHIGAN...Ugh! If NIU a dog here note 10-4 spread mark away in role under Carey since 2013. Huskies haven’t lost SU vs. EMU since 2007 but just 2-2 vs. line last four meetings. Eagles on 21-7-1 spread run since late 2015.
Slight to NIU, based on extended team and series trends.
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KENT STATE at BALL STATE...Golden Flashes 6-9 last 14 as dog (2-1 TY). Cards, however, just 7-18 vs. spread last 25 at Muncie.
Slight to Kent State, based on recent trends.
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RICE at WAKE FOREST...Bloomgren 2-1 as dog TY, as Owls have moved beyond the last few failed years of the Bailiff regime. Wake no covers first 4 TY and 0-5-1 last five on board since late 2017. Deacs 2-4 vs. spread last six laying DD.
Slight to Rice, based on recent trends.
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OLD DOMINION at EAST CAROLINA...ODU big upset win last week but still on 4-10 spread run last 14. Also 2-6 last 8 as road dog. ECU just 2-4 as rare chalk since 2016 and 8-19 vs. line overall since Montgomery arrival in 2016.
Slight to ODU, based on extended ECU negatives.
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TEMPLE at BOSTON COLLEGE...BC 12-1 vs. line last 13 in reg season. Also 15-5 last 20 on board overall, and covered last five laying DD. Owls on 9-4 spread uptick since mid 2017. Addazio game!
BC, based on team trends.
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SYRACUSE at CLEMSON...Revenge for Clemson after losing at Carrier Dome last October. Cuse meanwhile 3-0 vs. spread and Babers 5-1 last six as road dog. Orange has also covered 3 of last 4 in series.
Syracuse, based on recent trends.
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SOUTH ALABAMA at APP STATE... App on a 6-game spread cover streak since late 2017. Jags 4-9 vs. spread last 13 away.
App State, based on recent trends.
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VIRGINIA TECH at DUKE...Fuente 1-6 vs. spread last seven as ACC visitor. Cutcliffe 9-4 vs. line last 13 at Wallace Wade Stadium and on 6-game cover streak vs. BCS foes since late 2017.
Duke, based on team trends.
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ULM at GEORGIA STATE...Could be rare chalk for Warhawks, 2-4-1 laying points for Matt Viator since 2016. GSU however 0-6-1 vs. spread last six ion reg season vs. BCS foes, and just 3-7 vs. points last ten as host.
Slight to ULM, based on team trends.
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UMASS at OHIO...Mass no covers last four on road dating to late 2017. Solich was 5-1 vs. spread at Athens in 2017.
Ohio, based on team trends.
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PITTSBURGH at UCF...Narduzzi 5-1 vs. spread last six as visiting dog. UCF just 4-6-1 vs. spread last 11 in Orlando (counts Cure Bowl in 2016 at Citrus Bowl).
Slight to Pitt, based on team trends.
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SOUTH CAROLINA at KENTUCKY...Note Muschamp has covered last eight away from Williams-Brice since late 2016. Though UK has won last 4 and covered last five in series.
South Carolina, based on team trends.
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VIRGINIA at NC STATE...Cavs have started 4-0 vs. line TY. Pack 1-6 last seven as Raleigh chalk.
Virginia, based on team trends.
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INDIANA at RUTGERS...IU 4-1 laying DD since 2017. Also 6-3 last nine overall as chalk, though has failed to cover last two at ‘Gers. Scarlet Knights 4-8 vs. spread last 12 as Big Ten host.
Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.
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NEVADA at AIR FORCE...Pack just 4-9 as road dog since 2016. Force just 1-6 last seven as chalk vs. FBS foes.
Slight to Nevada, based on team trends.
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UTAH at WASHINGTON STATE...Utes 10-2 as road dog since 2014. Leach on 10-5 spread run since early 2017 and has covered last five as Pac-12 Pullman chalk.
Slight to WSU, based on team trends.
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OREGON STATE at ARIZONA STATE...Beavs 26-20 as road dog since 2008. Early days for Herm, though note Graham covered last four tries as Pac-12 home chalk.
Slight to OSU, based on extended trends.
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BYU at WASHINGTON...Sitake has already won SU as dog at Arizona and Wisconsin this September. Cougs 9-2 vs. spread last 11 as visiting dog. Huskies only 2-6 last seven vs. spread since late 2017.
BYU, based on team trends.
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TOLEDO at FRESNO STATE...Tedford 12-3-2 vs. line since taking over FSU in 2017. He’s 4-2 as home chalk that span, and Bulldogs 17-5-2 vs. line since late 2016. Rockets 2-4 as dog for Jason Candle.
Fresno State, based on team trends.
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WESTERN MICHIGAN at MIAMI-OHIO...Miami on 5-11 spread skid since last season. RedHawks also just 3-7 vs. line last ten at Yager Stadium.
WMU, based on team trends.
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FLORIDA STATE at LOUISVILLE...Noles on 5-10-2 spread skid, Cards 5-16 last 21. Petrino has won and covered last two meetings handily, however.
Slight to FSU, based on recent trends.
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OHIO STATE at PENN STATE...James Franklin has covered last two vs. Urban Meyer. Buckeyes just 3-5 vs. spread last eight on Big Ten road. Franklin 5-1 last six as dog, and on 21-5 spread run since early 2016.
Penn State, based on team trends.
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ARKANSAS STATE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...Ark State has won and covered last 2 years vs. GaSo, and Red Wolves 9-3 last 12 vs. line on Sun Belt road. Eagles however have covered first three TY and 5 of last 6 since late 2017 for Lunsford.
Slight to Ark State, based on extended trends.
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TENNESSEE at GEORGIA...Vols 3-13 spread skid since 2017. UT 1-6-1 vs. points last 8 on SEC road. Kirby Smart only 4-8 as home chalk since taking over Bulldogs in 2016, but Dawgs on 14-6 spread uptick since late 2016.
Georgia, based on team trends.
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LIBERTY at NEW MEXICO...Davie no covers last six as chalk at home vs. BCS foes since mid 2016.
Slight to Liberty, based on team trends.
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SOUTHERN MISS at AUBURN...Malzahn on 4-16-1 spread skid as chalk at Jordan-Hare and 21-34-2 overall vs. line since 2014. USM 5-2 last seven as dog for Jay Hopson.
Southern Miss, based on team trends.
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IOWA STATE at TCU...ISU 12-7-1 as dog since Matt Campbell arrived in 2016, has also covered last two vs. Frogs and won SU in 2017. Campbell on 17-8-1 spread uptick since early 2016. Patterson 2-10-1 last 13 as Fort Worth chalk.
Iowa State, based on team trends.
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ULL at ALABAMA... Non-league home games had been a problem for Bama, 2-8-1 previous 11 hosting BCS non-SEC foes prior to Ark State win. ULL 2-6 as road dog since LY and no covers last 6 as DD dog.
Slight to Alabama, based on team trends.
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BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA...OU only 1-3 vs. line in early going TY though Sooners were 9-2 as Norman chalk past two seasons.
Slight to Oklahoma, based on recent trends.
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UTEP at UTSA...UTEP 3-12-1 vs. line since LY, but UTSA no covers last 8 or 11 of last 12. Road team has won and covered all five meetings since 2013.
UTEP, based on series road trends.
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PURDUE at NEBRASKA...Huskers prevailed narrowly LY, but Purdue has covered 3 of last 4 in series. Frost only 7-10-1 last 18 on board with UCF & Huskers (0-3 with Nebraska).
Purdue, based on team trends.
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TEXAS at KANSAS STATE...Bill Snyder 9-2 vs. line his last 11 vs. Texas. Snyder 28-14 as dog since 2011.
Kansas State, based on Snyder trends.
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WEST VIRGINIA at TEXAS TECH...Tech has covered 4 of 6 vs. WVU since Mounties entered Big 12 in 2012. Kingsbury 9-5-1 vs. line last 15 at Lubbock. Holgorsen just 7-7 vs. spread last 14 as visitor.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.
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LA TECH at NORTH TEXAS...Skip Holtz 13-5 as dog since 2014. Skip 7-3 vs. spread last 10 on C-USA road. Tech had won and covered 3 straight in series prior to LY. Mean Green 6-3 vs. line last nine at Denton.
La Tech, based on team trends.
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CHARLOTTE at UAB...Blazers upset LY in Charlotte, only SU win of 2017 for 49ers. But UAB 8-1-1 last 10 vs. spread at legion Field dating back to late 2014.
Slight to UAB, based on team trends.
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OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS... Note OSU has only covered 2 of last 6 in series (2-2-2). OSU however is 6-2 vs. line last eight away from Stillwater. Beaty still just 8-13-1 vs. points at home since taking over KU in 2014.
Oklahoma State, based on team trends.
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MARSHALL at WESTERN KENTUCKY...Herd 7-1 vs. line last 8 away from Huntington. WKU just 6-10 vs. points for Sanford since he arrived in 2017. Tops however have covered last four in series.
Marshall, based on team trends.
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FLORIDA at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Bulldogs 7-2 last 9 vs. line at home (2-0 Moorhead). Mullen returns to Starkville and was 17-10 his last 27 as dog with MSU. Gators however 0-4 as dog LY before his arrival.
Slight to Miss State, based on team trends.
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OLE MISS at LSU...Rebs have covered 5 of last 7 since late 2017 and four straight away from Oxford. Orgeron only 2-6 as home chalk with Tigers, though he’s won and covered handily last two years vs. Rebs.
Ole Miss, based on team trends.
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COASTAL CAROLINA at TROY...Troy just 2-7 vs. line last nine as host (1-1 TY), though did cover handily at Coastal LY.
Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on team trends.
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FAU at MTSU...Lane Kiffin was 9-0 SU and 7-2 vs. line against C-USA LY, and rolled MTSU 38-20. Kiffin has yet to cover in 2018 (0-4). Blue Raiders just 2-6 last 8 as dog.
FAU, based on Kiffin and team trends.
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USC at ARIZONA...Clay Helton no covers last six since last LY and just 4-15 last 19 vs. number.
Arizona, based on extended trends.
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BOISE STATE at WYOMING... Bohl has covered last three in series. Wyo also 7-3 last 10 as Laramie dog. Boise, however, is 37-16 as visiting chalk since 2008.
Slight to Boise State, based on team trends.
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HAWAII at SAN JOSE STATE...Rolovich no covers last three after quick start, though road team has covered last five in this series. Spartans have actually covered 4 of last 5 since late 2017.
Slight to Hawaii, based on team trends.
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STANFORD at NOTRE DAME... Tree has won last 3 and 4 of last 5 SU in series. Stanford 0-5 vs. line as visitor LY (though did cover two neutrals), and Shaw just 9-9-1 last 19 on board.
Slight to ND, based on team trends.
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MICHIGAN at NORTHWESTERN...Pat Fitz 17-9 last 26 as dog. Hasn’t faced Mich since 2015 and hasn’t won SU vs. Wolverines since 2008 (0-5 SU since). Harbaugh 1-5 vs. spread last six away from Ann Arbor.
Northwestern, based on team trends.
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ARKANSAS vs. TEXAS A&M (at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Tx)...Hogs have lost 6 in a row to A&M though 2-2-1 last five vs. line in series. Ark on 5-12-1 spread skid since late 2016 and the Bielema era. Jimbo 4-0 vs. line with Ags.
Texas A&M, based on team trends.
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OREGON at CAL...Cal 8-3 as dog for Wilcox since he arrived in 2017. Ducks have not covered their last six away from Eugene.
California, based on team trends.
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