ACC Report – Week 6

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

8 minute read

Georgia Tech at Louisville (Fri. - ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
It's amazing, but true. One of these teams will limp out of this game on Friday night with a fourth loss on the season. If they want to become bowl eligible, both will have work to do, starting with this key game on Friday night. The Yellow Jackets have really struggled against the number, going 1-6 ATS in their past seven overall and 1-4-1 ATS in their past six conference tilts. They're also a dismal 0-4-1 ATS in the past five on the road. Louisville isn't much better, going 3-9 ATS in their past 12 at home and 7-17 ATS in the past 24 at home against teams with a losing road record. Both of these teams are also looking to avoid going 0-3 in the conference. It's an important ACC battle, but not how it was expected to be heading into the season.

Syracuse at Pittsburgh (ACC Network, 12:20 p.m. ET)
The Orange nearly pulled off the monumental upset for a second straight season against Clemson, but they fell short in Death Valley last week. 'Cuse have been cover kings this season, going 4-0-1 ATS while hitting in seven of their past eight road games dating back to last season. They're also an impressive 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 conference tilts. Pitt is 5-2 ATS in their past seven ACC contests, and 4-1 ATS in the past five following a straight-up loss, but they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five overall and 7-17 ATS in their past 24 at home. Syracuse is just 2-5-2 ATS in their past nine against Pitt, and 2-5 ATS in their past seven trips to Western Pennsylvania.

The 'under' has been the dominant trend for both sides lately, going 5-1 in Syracuse's past six road games and 20-6-1 in their past 27 overall, including 15-5-1 in the past 21 inside the conference. The under is 8-2 in Pitt's past 10 ACC tilts, while cashing in six of the past seven against winning teams. The under is also 10-3-1 in their past 14 overall, and 5-2-1 in the past eight at Heinz Field. In this series, the under is 5-1 in the past six meetings.

Boston College at North Carolina State (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m. ET)
The Eagles head to Carter-Finley Stadium for a key ACC showdown, and one of the more underrated games of the weekend. B.C. had some cold water splashed on their early-season run with a loss in Purdue, but they have been ranked in the Top 25 this season, and could return with a road upset. The only thing that could cool off the Wolfpack was a visit from Hurricane Florence, wiping out a huge out of conference matchup (and potential loss) against West Virginia a few weeks ago. Instead, they're 4-0 SU and in the Top 25 themselves heading into the week.

The Eagles are an impressive 7-0-1 ATS in their past eight conference games, while going 6-1-1 ATS in their past eight against winning teams. They're also a solid 6-1 ATS in the past seven on the road and 11-3-1 ATS in the past 15 games overall. State has also been red-hot against the number, going 4-0 ATS in their past four against winning teams and 4-1 ATS in their past five games overall. The under has dominated this series, going 4-0 in the past four meetings. The road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the past four, too, while the Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS in the past five in this series.

Clemson at Wake Forest (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
Clemson heads to the Triad favored by 20 points after a near-miss at home against Syracuse a week ago. QB Trevor Lawrence is expected to be back under center after being knocked out of that game against the Orange, leaving Chase Brice to have to save the victory. Neither of these teams have been very good against the number lately. Clemson is 1-5 ATS in the past six overall and 0-4 ATS in the past four against teams with a winning overall mark. The Tigers are also 0-4-1 ATS in the past five games in the month of October. Wake is 4-1 ATS in the past five at home against winning teams and 10-4-1 ATS in their past 15 ACC battles, but they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five at home and 1-6 ATS in their past seven games. In addition, they have failed to cover in four in a row against winning sides. BB&T Stadium has been a house of horrors for the Tigers, at least against the number, over the years. Clemson is 2-6-1 ATS in their past nine trips to Winston-Salem, and 0-4 ATS in the past four meetings in this series. The underdog has cashed in four in a row, with the under 7-3 in the past 10 in the series.

Florida State at Miami-Florida (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Man, FSU and Miami used to mean EVERYTHING. This was THE game back in the 1980's and 1990's, but it has lost a lot of its luster over the years. National championship implications used to be on the line. Now, it's still an important game, and a great rivalry, and Hard Rock Stadium should still be a rare packed house, but with FSU struggling, it isn't as meaningful as the past. Still, Miami has put another feather in their cap as they look to return to the ACC Championship Game for a second straight season. Florida State earned its first conference win against two losses with a win at Louisville last week, but they still have work to do. They're 1-4-2 ATS in the past seven on the road, 1-6-2 ATS in the past nine against winning teams and 0-9-2 ATS in the past 11 inside the ACC. The Canes aren't much better, going 2-6 ATS in the past eight ACC games and 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning teams.

Bettors are likely to kick the tires on the under. The under has hit in seven straight meetings in this series. While the over is 5-1 in Miami's past six, and 4-1 in their past five at home, the under is 8-2 in their past 10 ACC tilts. The under is also 7-3 in Miami's past 10 against winning teams. The under is 7-2-1 in FSU's past 10 on the road and 22-8-1 in the past 31 inside the ACC.

Notre Dame at Virginia Tech (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)
It's a primetime battle in Blacksburg with the Irish paying a visit to the Hokies. Notre Dame has playoff aspirations, and can add to their resume with an impressive road win. The Hokies had playoff aspirations, too, until they were derailed in Norfolk two weeks ago by Old Dominion in an amazing upset. Virginia Tech righted the ship at Duke last week with a signature win, but any championship hopes outside of the conference likely sailed away at ODU. still, a win over Notre Dame could vault the Hokies back into the Top 15 neighborhood, perhaps, so who knows.

The Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in the past seven road games, but just 2-5 ATS in their past seven away from home against teams with a winning home record. The Hokies have covered 11 of their past 15 at Lane Stadium, while going 7-3 ATS in their past 10 non-conference games and 6-1 ATS in their past seven home games against a team with a winning road record. The under has been the prevailing trend for both sides. The under is 7-2 in ND's past nine overall and 6-2 in their past eight against winning sides. The under is 8-1 in Virginia Tech's past nine against winning teams and 6-2-1 in their past nine at Lane Stadium, while going 10-4 in the past 14 overall.

Teams On A Bye
Duke, North Carolina, Virginia

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