ACC Report – Week 9

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2018 ACC STANDINGS
ATLANTIC DIVISION
Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Boston College 5-2 2-1 5-2 5-2
Clemson 7-0 4-0 3-4 3-4
Florida State 4-3 2-3 3-4 4-3
Louisville 2-5 0-4 1-6 4-3
North Carolina State 5-1 2-1 3-3 2-4
Syracuse 5-2 2-2 4-2-1 4-3
Wake Forest 3-4 0-3 1-6 5-2
COASTAL DIVISION
Duke 5-2 1-2 4-3 3-4
Georgia Tech 3-4 1-3 2-5 4-3
Miami-Florida 5-2 2-1 3-4 5-2
North Carolina 1-5 1-3 3-2-1 4-2
Pittsburgh 3-4 2-1 3-4 3-4
Virginia 5-2 3-1 6-1 3-4
Virginia Tech 4-2 3-0 3-3 3-3

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (Thurs. - ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
The Ramblin' Wreck of Georgia Tech head up to Blacksburg to deal with Virginia Tech, trying to deal them their first conference loss. It won't be easy, especially for a Ga. Tech side which has already three losses on their ledger so far during ACC play. The Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in the past five ACC games, and 1-4-1 ATS in their past six games away from home. In addition, they're 0-4 ATS in the past four against teams with a winning record while going 1-5 ATS in their past six Thursday appearances. While the Hokies have had a hard time getting up for lesser competition, going 1-4 ATS in the past five against losing teams, they're 11-5 ATS in the past 16 at home and 4-1 ATS in their past five following a bye. The line has been driven down because Georgia Tech is 6-0 ATS in their past six trips to Blacksburg, while the road team is 7-1 ATS in the past eight in this series and the underdog is 11-1 ATS in the past 12. That's all well and good, but most of those kids who made those results aren't playing on the field Thursday.

Miami (Florida) at Boston College (Fri. - ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
The Hurricanes were flattened by Virginia last time they hit the road, and they have had two weeks to stew about it due to a bye. They'll hit the road again, playing a tough Boston College team in their place. QB Malik Rosier is back under center after a demotion, and he will be looking to turn things around. Miami is just 1-5 ATS in the past six on the road, 1-5 ATS in their past six league games and 1-6 ATS in the past seven against teams with a winning overall record while going 3-8 ATS in the past 11 overall. Meanwhile, B.C. loves the crisp, cool air of fall, going 7-0 ATS in their past seven games in October. They're also 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine against winning teams, 13-3-1 ATS in the past 17 games overall and 6-2-1 ATS in their past nine at home while posting a whopping 10-1-1 ATS mark in the past 12 inside the conference.

 Clemson at Florida State  (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Tigers steamrolled N.C. State at home in a battle of the last ACC unbeatens, and now they set their sights on the normally hostile environment of Tallahassee. FSU is a wounded animal, and having a down year - or really, a transition year - as they Willie Taggart gets everyone on the same page. They're starting to show signs of life, whipping up on Wake Forest last week after a near-miss at Miami two weeks prior. They're 3-1 ATS over their past four overall, too, after opening 0-3 ATS.

Clemson enters 5-1 ATS over their past six games inside the league, and they're 9-4 ATS in the past 13 meetings with FSU. However, the home side is 14-6 ATS in the past 20 meetings overall in this series. FSU is 5-2 ATS in their past seven in Tallahassee, but just 2-6-2 ATS in the past 10 against winning sides and 2-9-2 ATS in their past 13 games inside the conference. Total bettors might be tempted by the over. While the under is 8-3-1 in Clemson's past 12 ACC games, the over is 4-1 in their past five true road games. And the over is 4-1-1 in FSU's past six against winning teams. The over is also 7-2 in the past seven meetings at Doak Walker Stadium, while going 9-4-1 in the past 14 meetings overall in this series.

Wake Forest at Louisville (ACC Network, 12:00 p.m.)
It's hard to believer we're about to flip the calendar to November and both Wake and the 'Ville are still searching for their first conference victory. Someone is going to head into November winless in the ACC. The Cardinals enter this game as a slight favorite, likely because Wake is 1-8 ATS in their past nine overall and 0-4 ATS in the past four against league opponents. Louisville isn't much better, though, cashing just twice in the past seven against losing teams and seven times in the past 26 overall. They're also just 3-10 ATS in the past 13 at home. While the under is 4-1 in the past five meetings in this series, the over is the dominant trend lately for both sides. The over is 5-1 in Wake's past six, and 16-7 in Louisville's past 23 inside the league while going a perfect 5-0 in their past five games in the month of October.

North Carolina at Virginia (ACC Network, 12:20 p.m.)
UNC continues to experience near-misses, falling short in overtime at Syracuse. The Tar Heels have covered two in a row, but they have lost those games. They're 1-5 SU, but the past two losses have been by three points each. They could very well by 3-3 if things broke another way, ever so slightly. They won't be a tough out for Virginia, who is looking to stay alive for the Coastal Division championship and their first-ever appearance in the ACC Championship. To realize those dreams, they need to win out in league and can't slip up against UNC. The Tar Heels are 6-1 ATS in the past seven league games, while going 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 overall. The Hoos are 4-0 ATS in their past four at home, and 6-1 ATS in the past seven overall. UNC has rolled in this series in the recent past, going 4-0 ATS in the past four in Charlottesville, and 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings overall.

Duke at Pittsburgh (ACC Network, 3:30 p.m.)
The Blue Devils have been a hard team to figure out. They have won on the road, going 3-0 SU/ATS, and they're just 2-2 SU/1-3 ATS at home. Those two losses came against teams from the state of Virginia, too, so maybe they're easy to figure out. Duke is a perfect 5-0 ATS in their past five on the road, while going 14-6-1 ATS in the past 21 against losing teams. They're also 7-3 ATS in the past 10 overall. For Pittsburgh, they love the fall, going 4-0 ATS in their past four in the month of October. They're also 6-2 ATS in the past eight against winning teams, but just 8-17 ATS in the past 25 at home. The 'under' is the trend for both teams lately, going 5-0 in Duke's past five against losing teams and 7-2 in their past nine on the road. The under is also 13-5 in their past 18 overall, and 27-11 in the past 38 inside the ACC. The under is 14-5-1 in Pitt's past 20, and 8-3 in their past 11 inside the league.

North Carolina State at Syracuse (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)
Who would've thought the marquee game of the ACC weekend would be N.C. State-'Cuse, but that's what we're getting and it's gonna be a good one. Dave Doeren's Wolfpack got licked at Clemson last week, but they're still a decent 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 road games. Syracuse is 8-3 ATS in its past 11 against winning sides, but just 2-5 ATS in the past seven inside the conference. Total bettors might like the 'under' in this one. The under is 12-4 in the Wolfpack's past 16 overall, and 6-2 in their past eight on the road. The under is also 20-8 in the past 28 conference tilts for N.C. State. For Syracuse, the under is 11-3-1 in their past 15 at home, and 5-1 in their past six following a straight-up win. The under is also 15-5-1 in their past 21 inside the ACC, and 12-4-1 in their past 17 against winning sides.