ACC Report – Week 10

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

7 minute read

Pittsburgh at Virginia (Fri. - ESPN2, 7:30 p.m. ET)
It's hard to believe, but this is a very important game in the Coastal Division. The Panthers are 3-1 in the conference, while the Cavaliers are 4-1. A loss doesn't necessarily eliminate either side from winning the division, but a win will put someone in the driver's seat, especially Virginia. The Panthers are an impressive 5-1 ATS across their past six conference tilts, while going 7-2 ATS in their past nine tries against winning teams. The Hoos, favored by seven points as of Thursday morning, enter 5-0 ATS in the past five at Scott Stadium, while going 7-1 ATS in their past eight overall. They, too, are 4-1 ATS over their past five ACC outings, too. Looking at the total trends, the under is 8-1 in Pitt's past nine road games and 14-6-1 in their past 21 overall. The under is also 7-3 in their past 10 against winning teams and 3-1-1 in the past five vs. UVA. The under is 25-12-1 in the past 38 inside the ACC for the Cavs, too. While Pitt is 3-1-1 ATSa in the past five meetings, the favorite is 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight in this series.

Louisville at Clemson (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Cardinals have been brutally bad this season, something we haven't seen in Louisville in a long time. Clemson has been amazingly good this season, something which has been very frequent lately. They are favored by 38 1/2 points as of Thursday morning, and that might even be a bit low. Ask skidding Florida State how good Clemson is, as the Tigers handed them their worst-ever home loss last week, 59-10. To say Clemson is clicking is an understatment, as they have outscored their past three opponents (3-0 SU/ATS) by a combined 163-20, or an average winning margin of 47.7 PPG. The Cardinals are 7-20 ATS in their past 27 games overall, and 0-4 ATS in the past four road games. Clemson is 6-1 ATS in the past seven ACC outings, but just 1-4 ATS in the past five in Death Valley.

 Syracuse at Wake Forest  (ACC Network, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Orange are already bowl eligible after winning a pair of exciting home games against North Carolina and North Carolina State over the past two weekends. Now, they'll play for the third straight weekend against a Tar Heel state team when they head to the Triad to take on the Demon Deacons. They earned their first ACC win last week by throttling Louisville. The Orange has posted a 7-2 ATS mark over the past nine games overall, and they're 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight overall. Last week's cover for Wake was a rarity, as the Deacs are 1-4 ATS in the past five ACC battles, and 2-8 ATS in the past 10 overall. They're also 1-5 ATS in the past six at home, and 0-5 ATS in the past five against winning teams.

Georgia Tech at North Carolina (ACC Network, 12:15 p.m.)
The Ramblin' Wreck look to add to UNC's woes and officially eliminate them from bowl eligibility. This game opened at 4 1/2 at most shops, but Georgia Tech is up to a six-point favorite as of Thursday morning. Ga. Tech is 5-1 ATS in the past six against losing teams, but just 3-7 ATs in their past 10 games overall. They're also just 1-3-1 ATS in the past five following a straight-up win. UNC has covered their past four at Kenan, and they're 6-2 ATS in the past eight games inside the ACC. The Tar Heels are also 6-2 ATS in the past eight confernce games, and 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 overall. The over is 4-0 in the past four meetings in Chapel Hill, while going 6-2 in the past eight overall. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings, but the home team is also 4-1 ATS in the past five with Georgia Tech just 2-5 ATS in the past seven trips to Chapel Hill.

Florida State at North Carolina State (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Florida State got cracked hard at home, as they're not even close to being in the same league with Clemson. N.C. State isn't that far off, as they were hammered 41-7 by the Tigers two weeks ago. Two weeks ago the Wolfpack was also ranked, and now they have two losses in a row and are desperate for a win. The Seminoles are 2-7-2 ATS in their past 11 against winning sides, and a terrible 2-10-2 ATS in their past 14 inside the conference. N.C. State isn't much better, going 1-5-1 ATS in their past seven ACC games. However, the Wolfpack are likely kryptonite to the Seminoles, even when things were going well in Tallahassee. FSU is 4-16-1 ATS in the past 21 meetings, and 0-7-1 ATS in their past eight visits to Carter-Finley. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings, too.

Boston College at Virginia Tech (ACC Network, 3:45 p.m.)
The Eagles returned to the rankings after a solid home win over Miami last week on Red Bandana Day. Look it up, as it's one of the coolest traditions in all of sports. BC and Va. Tech are each 3-1 in the conference, but for some reason BC's record feels a lot better. The Hokies have been very erratic this season, losing to a then-winless Old Dominion, beating a good Duke team and then losing at home to a so-so Georgia Tech side. You never know who is going to show up. The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in the past four against winning teams, and 7-1 ATS in the past eight road games while going 14-3-1 ATS in the past 18 overall and 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 conference battles. Va. Tech is 6-2 ATS in the past eight home games against a team with a winning road mark, but they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five overall. In this series, the Eagles are 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings, while the over is 7-3-1 in the past 11 in the series, including 4-0-1 in the past five in Blacksburg.

Duke at Miami-Florida (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)
Both of these teams are skidding, as the Blue Devils lost a shootout at Pittsburgh to suffer a third loss, and Miami was dumped by BC last time out on Friday, following up a disappointing road setback to Virginia. But Miami has been solid at home, going 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS. Duke is 5-1 ATS in the past six on the road, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven against winning teams. However, they have managed a 3-7-1 ATS in the past 11 inside the conference and 1-4 ATs in the past five overall. Miami just 1-4 ATS in their past five overall, and 1-6 ATS in the past seven inside the league. They have also failed to cover in four in a row against teams with a winning overall record. While the over is 5-2 in the past eight meetings, the under has dominated lately for both teams. The under is 10-2 in Duke's past 12 ACC games, and 7-3 in their past 10 on the road. The over is 5-1 in Miami's past six at home, but the under is 10-3 in the past 13 league games forthe Canes and 5-2 in their past seven at home against teams with a winning road record.

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