Tech Trends – Week 13

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NFL Trends - Week 12

Thursday, Nov. 22
Matchup Skinny Edge
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COLORADO STATE at AIR FORCE...CSU 4-14 L18 vs. line, 1-7 vs. line last 8 away from home.
Air Force, based on team trends.
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MISSISSIPPI STATE at OLE MISS...Egg Bowl! Moorhead 0-3 vs. line SEC road this season. Rebs, however, on 0-5 and 1-8 skids vs. spread this term, 1-3 as dog.
Slight to Miss State, based on recent trends.
Friday, Nov. 23
Matchup Skinny Edge
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AKRON at OHIO...Solich 15-8 vs. line since LY and has covered last 7 vs. FBS foes at Peden Stadium. Zips on 1-6 spread skid TY. Though Akron has covered last three in series.
Solich and Ohio, based on recent trends.
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EAST CAROLINA at CINCINNATI....ECU 10-23-1 vs. line since in 2016. Cincy has covered 3 of last 4 in series.
Cincy, based on team trends.
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EASTERN MICHIGAN at KENT STATE...EMU 4-1 vs. line away TY, 16-2 vs. spread last 18 away from Ypsilanti. Golden Flashes 4-8 vs. line last 12 MAC games.
EMU, based on team trends.
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BUFFALO at BOWLING GREEN...BGSU 11-23-1 vs. line since 2016. Bulls 8-3 vs. line last 11 on board and has covered last four vs. Falcons.
Buffalo, based on team and series trends.
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NEBRASKA at IOWA...Frost has covered last six vs. BCS foes TY. Hawkeyes, however, have covered last 3 and 5 of last 6 in this series.
Slight to Nebraska, based on recent trends.
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TEXAS at KANSAS...KU has covered last 2 and 4 of last 6 in series.
Slight to Kansas, based on series trends.
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ARKANSAS at MISSOURI...Mizzou has covered 7 of last 9 at home though the two Ls have been in last two at Columbia. Tigers 4-1 vs. line against Hogs since entering SEC. Porkers 1-5-1 vs. line last seven as true visitor (some neutral sites in there).
Mizzou, based on team and series trends.
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COASTAL CAROLINA at SOUTH ALABAMA...Jags 2-5 L7 vs. line. CC 4-1 vs. line last five away TY.
Coastal Carolina, based on team trends.
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CENTRAL MICHIGAN at TOLEDO...CMU on 1-5 spread skid. Though Chips have surprisingly covered 4 of 5 on road this season. Toledo has won last 8 SU in series, covering 7 of those.
Toledo, based on series trends.
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UCF at SOUTH FLORIDA...Charlie Strong on 5-11 spread skid in reg season. Though USF has covered last 3 in series. UCF 7-2 vs. spread last 9 away from home (if count Cincy LY as W).
UCF, based on team trends.
Saturday, Nov. 24
Matchup Skinny Edge
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PITT at MIAMI-FLA...Canes 4-11 vs. spread last 15 since late 2017. Pitt has covered last six TY and 7-2 vs. number last 9 away.
Pitt, based on recent trends.
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TEMPLE at UCONN...Owls 7-2 vs. line last 9 TY, 14-6 last 20 on board. Edsall 2-8-1 vs. line TY but did beat Owls LY.
Temple, based on team trends.
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KENTUCKY at LOUISVILLE...Cards 1-10 vs. line TY, Cats however no covers last 11 as chalk!
Slight to Kentucky, based on recent trends.
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SOUTH CAROLINA at CLEMSON...Dabo has won and covered six in a row TY and has romped past Muschamp last two. Though Gamecocks have covered 10 of last 11 away from Williams-Brice!
Slight to Clemson, based on team trends.
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RUTGERS at MICHIGAN STATE...Ugh! ‘Gers on surprising 4-game late-season cover streak. Though Dantonio has buried Rutgers each of past four years. Spartans 1-6 vs. spread last seven at East Lansing.
Slight to Michigan State, based on series trends.
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GEORGIA SOUTHERN at GEORGIA STATE...State no covers 9 of last 10 TY. Southern 10-4 vs. line last 14 since late 2017.
Southern, based on recent trends.
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MARSHALL at FIU...Butch Davis 13-5 vs. line last 18 reg season. MU 8-3 vs. line away since LY. FIU has buried Herd last two years.
FIU, based on team trends.
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SYRACUSE at BOSTON COLLEGE...Eagles on 16-4 reg season spread run. Cuse Dino 9-3 last 12 as dog.
Slight to Boston College, based on team trends.
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MICHIGAN at OHIO STATE...Urban 6-0 SU vs. Michigan but 1-4 vs. line last 5, and note road team has covered last four in series.
Michigan, based on series trends.
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ILLINOIS at NORTHWESTERN...Lovie 1-5 vs. line last six TY and no covers last three away, 3-7 last ten vs. line as Big Ten visitor. Cats have won and covered big last three meetings. But note that underdogs are 10-0-1 vs. line in Cat games TY (NU 0-4 as chalk!).
Slight to Northwestern, based on recent series trends.
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GEORGIA TECH at GEORGIA...Major road series, a bit more pronounced when Bulldogs are visitor. But GT has won outright as dog last two at Athens, 5-1-1 last seven and 7-2-1 vs. spread last ten at Sanford Stadium. Paul Johnson 13-7 last 20 as dog.
Georgia Tech, based on team and series trends.
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WAKE FOREST at DUKE...Wake only 3-8 vs. line TY but has covered last two on road. Clawson 2-6 as dog TY but entered season on 10-2-1 dog run. Road team has covered last 3 meetings. Cutcliffe no covers last 4 at home TY.
Wake Forest, based on team and series trends.
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MINNESOTA at WISCONSIN...Axe! Slab of Bacon! Badgers 3-8 vs. line this season, 1-5 vs. line at Camp Randall. Though Fleck just 1-6-1 vs. points as Big Ten visitor since LY.
Slight to Wisconsin, based on series trends.
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NC STATE at NORTH CAROLINA...NCS only 2-4 vs. line last six TY. Fedora 5-3 as dog TY, 8-3 last 11 in role. Road team however has covered last five in series.
Slight to NC State, based on series trends.
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WESTERN KENTUCKY at LA TECH...WKU 1-4-1 vs. line last six TY. Skip has won and covered last 2 meetings in reg season.
La Tech, based on team trends.
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ODU at RICE...ODU 1-5 last six as chalk. Rice 4-1 vs. line last four TY though only 1-4 vs. line at home.
Slight to Rice, based on team trends.
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SOUTHERN MISS at UTEP...Jay Hopson 2-4 as road chalk with USM.
Slight to UTEP, based on team trends.
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NEW MEXICO STATE at LIBERTY...Rematch of 49-41 Ag win on Oct. 6! But NMSU 2-9 vs. spread TY and 1-4 vs. line away.
Liberty, based on team trends.
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UTAH STATE at BOISE STATE...Utags 8-2-1 vs. spread TY. Boise just 7-18 vs. points at home since late 2014.
Utah State, based on recent trends.
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BYU at UTAH...Sitake on 11-5 spread uptick since late LY. Cougs 5-1 last six as dog. Road team has covered last three in series, dog team has covered last four. Utes, however, on 9-3 spread run at Salt Lake.
Slight to BYU, based on series trends.
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TROY at APP STATE...Troy on 8-2 spread run TY! App, however, 11-2-1 last 14 on board. Trojans 9-3 as dog since 2014.
Slight to Troy, based on team trends.
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WYOMING at NEW MEXICO...Davie had won 3 and covered 4 straight vs. Wyo prior to LY. Lobos 3-9 vs. points last 12 at home and on 4-12 spread skid. Bohl 3-1 vs. line L4 TY and 6-4 vs. spread last 10 away from Laramie.
Wyoming, based on team trends.
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UAB at MTSU...Blazers 15-5-1 last 21 vs. spread. UAB 12-6 L18 as dog. MTSU 5-1 vs. line last six at home.
Slight to UAB, based on team trends.
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COLORADO at CAL...Buffs no wins or covers last six TY. Bears on 4-game cover streak TY after dropping previous 5 vs. line.
Cal, based on recent trends.
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STANFORD at UCLA...Tree has brutalized UCLA with ten straight series wins and covers in 9 of those. Bruins 7-18 vs. spread at Rose Bowl since late 2014.
Stanford, based on series trends.
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TENNESSEE at VANDERBILT...Vandy has turned around this series, winning 4 and covering 5 of last 6 meetings. Though Vols are 3-0 vs. line on SEC road for Pruitt TY and Dores 1-6 L7 as SEC host.
Slight to Tennessee, based on recent trends.
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OKLAHOMA STATE at TCU...Frogs 1-7 vs. line last 8 TY. Cowboys 5-2 vs. points last seven away from Stillwater.
Oklahoma State, based on team trends.
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FLORIDA at FLORIDA STATE...Taggart 4-7 vs. line TY, though Noles have won and covered last three in series.
Slight to Florida, based on team trends.
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MARYLAND at PENN STATE...James Franklin has routed Terps last 2 years, and Nittany 13-5 vs. spread last 18 at Happy Valley. Terps 1-6 vs. spread last seven on Big Ten road.
Penn State, based on team trends.
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TEXAS TECH vs. BAYLOR (at Arlington)...TT has won and covered last two meetings and 3-1 vs. line last four in series.
Texas Tech, based on series trends.
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SAN JOSE STATE at FRESNO STATE...Tedford 18-5-2 vs. line since arriving at Fresno LY. Spartans 4-1 vs. line away TY.
Slight to Fresno State, based on team trends.
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KANSAS STATE at IOWA STATE... Bill Snyder has covered 5 of last 6 as dog TY and now 32-16 in role since 2011. ISU however has covered last four meetings and on 22-10-1 spread run.
Slight to Iowa State, based on recent and series trends.
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LSU at TEXAS A&M...Tigers have owned this series since A&M joined SEC, winning and covering all six meetings. If Orgeron a dog here note covers in last four in role on road. Jimbo 6-0 vs. spread at Kyle Field TY.
Slight to LSU, based on series trends.
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PURDUE at INDIANA...Old Oaken Bucket! Purdue has covered 5 of last 7 Buckets. Brohm 7-4 vs. spread away from Ross-Ade.
Purdue, based on team trends.
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NAVY at TULANE... Mids only 4-7 vs. line TY but 2-1 as dog away from Annapolis, now 19-10 as visiting dog since 2009. Road team has covered last 3 in series.
Navy, based on team and series trends.
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ULL at ULM...Cajuns on 6-2 spread run. Visiting team 7-0-1 vs. points last 8 meetings!
ULL, based on team trends.
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SMU at TULSA...Tulsa only 7-13 last 20 vs. spread. Road team has covered last four in series.
SMU, based on team and series trends.
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CHARLOTTE at FAU... FAU on 2-0-1 spread run. Though Kiffin just 3-7-1 vs. points TY. 49ers were one of only two C-USA teams to cover vs. FAU LY. Owls 6-3-1 vs. spread last 10 at Boca Raton vs. FBS.
Slight to FAU, based on team trends.
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ARKANSAS STATE at TEXAS STATE...ASU has covered 4 of last 5 TY, but TSU 5-1 vs. line L6. Bobcats have covered last 2 meetings.
Texas State, based on series trends.
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NORTH TEXAS at UTSA...Runners 4-15 spread skid. UNT no covers last 4 TY. Home team has covered last 4 in series.
Slight to UTSA, based on team trends.
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NOTRE DAME at USC...Helton 3-8 vs. line TY, 7-19 vs. points since late 2016. Home team has won and covered last five meetings, but Helton 1-8 last nine as dog.
Notre Dame, based on recent trends.
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AUBURN vs. ALABAMA...Iron Bowl! Tigers have not covered at Tuscaloosa in three tries since Cam beat Saban in 2010. After Malzahn 5-0 as dog in 2013 debut, he’s just 6-10 as dog since.
Alabama, based on team trends.
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NEVADA at UNLV...Fremont Cannon! Pack is 11-2 SU last 13 meetings and has won six straight at Sam Boyd. Sanchez 2-6 vs. line last 8 at home vs. FBS.
Nevada, based on team and series trends.
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HAWAII at SAN DIEGO STATE...Rocky Long 0-5 as home chalk TY, though Aztecs have won and covered last six in series. UH on 2-7-1 spread skid.
Slight to San Diego State, based on series trends.
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ARIZONA STATE at ARIZONA...Territorial Cup! Cats have covered 4 of last 5 at Tucson TY. Home team has covered last 5.
Slight to Arizona, based on series trends.