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Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:57 AM

Tech Trends - Week 3

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NFL Trends - Week 1

Friday, Sept. 13
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
NORTH CAROLINA at WAKE FOREST...UNC 8-3 last eleven as dog. Heels 12-7 vs. points last 19 away from Chapel Hill. Deacs 1-7 vs. line last 8 at home, no covers last five as ACC host.
North Carolina, based on team trends.
 vs. 
KANSAS at BOSTON COLLEGE...KU was 5-3 as DD dog LY for Beaty. BC now 9-3-1 vs. spread at Chestnut Hill since 2017.
Boston College, based on team trends.
 vs. 
WASHINGTON STATE at HOUSTON...The only role that worked for UH under Applewhite was home chalk (8-4). Leach on 34-20 spread run since 2015, 22-10 vs. points as visitor since 2013.
Washington State, based on Leach trends.
Saturday, Sept. 14
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
OHIO STATE at INDIANA...In a stunner, Urban Meyer was just 1-6 vs. points against IU, and Hoosiers have also covered 7 of last 8 in series. Buckeyes just 2-6 vs. line away from Big Horseshoe LY. Though Hoosiers only 2-5 as home dog under Tom Allen.
Slight to Indiana, based on series trends.
 vs. 
KANSAS STATE at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Klieman first road game with KSU. Bill Snyder maintained good dog marks thru end of his career, as Cats 15-5 getting points the past three seasons. Moorhead was 5-1 as Starkville chalk LY and did win 31-10 at Manhattan.
-slight to Kansas State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NC STATE at WEST VIRGINIA...WVU closed the Holgorsen years 5-2-1 last 8 vs. line at Morgantown. NCS just 4-6 vs. spread last 10 non-ACC for Doeren.
Slight to West Virginia, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MARYLAND at TEMPLE...Terps were 0-4 as road dog last year for Matt Canada, but now 2-0 vs. line for Locksley. Owls won at Md a year ago and now on 15-7-1 spread run since mid 2017 (1-0 for Carey).
Slight to Temple, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MIAMI-OHIO at CINCINNATI...In this long rivalry, Cincy has now won 13 in a row SU, though Miami has covered 4 of last 6 meetings. Red Hawks have now failed to cover their last seven non-MAC games. Luke Fickell 5-2 vs. line as Nippert chalk since LY.
Cincy, based on team trends.
 vs. 
PITTSBURGH at PENN STATE...Narduzzi 12-6 as visiting dog with Pitt since 2015. Road team has covered last three years in series. James Franklin 4-6 vs. line last 9 as DD chalk vs. FBS foes.
Pitt, based on team trends.
 vs. 
EASTERN MICHIGAN at ILLINOIS...EMU righteous 19-5 vs. line last 24 away from Ypsilanti, 15-2 last 17 as dog away from Rynearson Stadium. Lovie 3-4 as home chalk with Illini, 7-11 vs. line at Champaign-Urbana.
Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.
 vs. 
ARKANSAS STATE at GEORGIA...Red Wolves only 4-6 as visiting dog since 2015. Though Kirby Smart only 11-11 laying DDs with Dawgs since 2016.
Slight to Georgia, based on team trends.
 vs. 
AIR FORCE at COLORADO...First meeting since 1974! Calhoun 17-8-1 as dog since 2014, 10-3-1 last 14 as visiting dog. Buffs 4-10 vs. spread last 13 at Boulder.
Air Force, based on team trends.
 vs. 
SAN DIEGO STATE at NEW MEXICO STATE...NMSU on 4-13 reg season spread skid since late 2017, and just 3-8 last ten as dog. Also 2-6 last eight vs. points at Las Cruces.
San Diego State, based on NMSU negatives.
 vs. 
FAU at BALL STATE...Lane Kiffin was just 1-6-1 as chalk in 2018 after 9-2 mark in role the previous year. But Ball State just 2-6 as Muncie dog for Mike Neu since 2016.
Slight to FAU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NEW MEXICO at NOTRE DAME...UNM as cooled considerably, now on 8-18 spread skid. Though Lobos have lately had more trouble as chalk (3-12 since 2016) than as dog (11-11 that span). Irish just 7-10 vs. spread at South Bend since 2016 and are 2-6-1 laying DD since last season.
Slight to Notre Dame, based on team trends.
 vs. 
AKRON at CENTRAL MICHIGAN... Akron on 5-10 spread skid (0-2 for Arth). Zips 1-5 vs. spread last 6 as MAC visitor. McElwain teams now 17-11 as home chalk since 2012 with CSU (1-0 with CMU), though Chips 0-4 vs. line as home chalk for Bonamego LY.
Slight to Central Michigan, based on team trends.
 vs. 
STANFORD at UCF...David Shaw 13-6-1 as dog since 2011, also 5-2 vs. spread as visitor since LY. UCF 10-4 vs. line for Heupel since LY, now 17-8-1 vs. points since 2017.
Slight to UCF, based on team trends.
 vs. 
ALABAMA at SOUTH CAROLINA...Last time Saban played at Williams-Brice he lost to Spurrier 35-21 in 2010. Muschamp 10-3 as dog since 2017, though only 2-3 as Columbia dog that span. Saban 10-5 as visiting chalk since 2015, now 12-3 last 15 vs. points as SEC visitor.
Alabama, based on team trends.
 vs. 
EAST CAROLINA at NAVY...ECU continues to skid, now 10-26-1 vs. line since 2016 (0-1 for Mike Houston). Pirates just 3-12-1 as road dog that span. Navy has covered five in a row overall since late in 2018.
Navy, based on ECU negatives.
 vs. 
ARMY at UTSA...Army 8-1 vs. line last 9 away from Michie, though only 7-9 as chalk since 2017. UTSA just 3-9 vs. spread at Alamodome since 2017.
Slight to Army, based on team trends.
 vs. 
USC at BYU...Clay Helton on 9-20 spread skid last 29 on board, though he is 6-3 as visiting chalk since 2016. Cougs 0-4-1 as home dog for Sitake since 2016 but are 14-6 last 20 overall vs. line.
BYU, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at MINNESOTA...GSU 12-7-1 vs. line and 5-2 as dog since Lunsford too
Slight to Georgia Southern, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UNLV at NORTHWESTERN...Sanchez 14-7 as visiting dog with Rebs since 2015, 4-0 vs. spread visiting Power 5 schools. As DD dog, UNLV 8-4 since 2016. NU 0-4 as Evanston chalk LY, 10-17 in role since 2013. Also just 2-6 last 8 vs. spread hosting non-Big 10 foes.
UNLV, based on team trends.
 vs. 
OKLAHOMA STATE at TULSA...Gundy has won and covered last 3 vs. Tulsa (though teams haven’t met every year) and has scored 59 or more on each occasion, dating to 2010. OSU 8-4-1 as DD chalk since 2017. Golden Hurricane 1-3 vs. spread last 4 hosting FBS non-ACC teams.
Oklahoma State, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
MEMPHIS at SOUTH ALABAMA...Memphis 6-2 last 8 as visiting favorite, though Tigers didn’t cover vs. USA at Liberty Bowl in 2018. Memphis still 10-4 as DD chalk since 2017.
Memphis, based on team trends.
 vs. 
IOWA at IOWA STATE...Cy-Hawk! Ferentz has now won four straight in series and 3-0-1 vs. line that span. Iowa has also won SU last three visits to Ames. Iowa 5-0-1 vs. spread last six as visitor and 13-3-1 last 17 overall vs. spread since late 2017. ISU only 3-6 vs. spread last 9 at Ames.
Iowa, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
COLORADO STATE at ARKANSAS...Revenge for Hogs after loss at Fort Collins LY. Ark just 4-9 as chalk since 2016 (0-1 TY). Rams just 1-5 last 6 as dog away from home.
Slight to Arkansas, based on CSU negatives.
 vs. 
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. LOUISVILLE (at Nashville)...WKU was 6-2-1 vs. line as dog since LY. Focusing on Satterfield marks for ‘Ville as his App State and Card teams now 15-3-1 last 19 vs. spread.
Louisville, based on Satterfield marks.
 vs. 
ARIZONA STATE at MICHIGAN STATE...Dantonio 1-6 last 7 as East Lansing chalk. Herm 3-1 as visiting dog LY, ASU 10-6-1 as dog since 2017 including upset win over MSU LY.
Arizona State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NORTH TEXAS at CAL...UNT 0-8 last 8 vs. line and 1-10 last eleven since mid 2018. No covers last six away from Denton. Bears 1-6-1 last 8 vs. line at Berkeley and 0-4-1 last five as home chalk.
Slight to Cal, based on recent UNT negatives.
 vs. 
LA TECH at BOWLING GREEN...Skip Holtz 6-3 as visiting chalk since 2016 and 10-4-1 away from Ruston vs. spread since 2017. BG now on 12-26 spread skid since 2016.
La Tech, based on team trends.
 vs. 
BUFFALO at LIBERTY...Flames just 5-9 vs. line since LY (0-2 for Freeze). UB 4-0 as visiting chalk in 2018, Leipold 17-7-2 vs. spread last 26 against FBS foes since late 2016.
Buffalo, based on team trends.
 vs. 
SOUTHERN MISS at TROY... USM 7-4 last 11 as dog. Golden Eagles 17-10-1 vs. spread since late 2016.
Slight to Southern Miss, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UMASS at CHARLOTTE...Rare home chalk for Charlotte, just 2-3 all-time in role. UMass however on 2-6 spread skid last 8 away from home (0-1 for Walt Bell).
Slight to Charlotte, based on UMass negatives.
 vs. 
OHIO at MARSHALL...Solich 8-3 as visiting dog since 2015, also 6-2 last 8 vs. spread as non-MAC visitor. Herd 4-10 as home chalk since 2016, 7-16 overall as chalk that span. Dog team is 28-12 in Herd games since 2016.
Ohio, based on team trends.
 vs. 
KENT STATE at AUBURN...Malzahn 7-19-1 vs. line as home chalk since mid 2014, 4-10-1 last 15 as non-SEC home chalk.
Kent State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
FLORIDA at KENTUCKY...Prior to LY’s 27-16 upset win at Gainesville, UK hadn’t beaten UF outright since 1986! Stoops 4-13 last 17 vs. spread at Lexington but 2-0 TY. Stoops also 13-8 as dog since 2016. Dan Mullen 4-0 vs. line as visitor with Gators LY.
Slight to Florida, based on extended series trends.
 vs. 
GEORGIA STATE at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Panthers were 0-4-2 as visiting dog LY before Vol upset. WMU rolled 34-15 in Atlanta LY though Broncos only 5-10 vs. spread since LY.
Slight to Western Michigan, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TEXAS STATE at SMU...Sonny Dykes 0-2 as DD chalk LY, though Bobcats just 1-4 vs. spread last five as non-Belt visitor.
Slight to SMU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
DUKE at MIDDLE TENNESSEE...Duke 1-6 as chalk in 2018 though Cutcliffe was 24-12 laying points from 2012-17. Blue Devils 5-2 vs. spread last 7 as non-ACC visitor. MTSU 9-4 vs. line last 13 as home dog.
Duke, based on extended trends.
 vs. 
HAWAII at WASHINGTON...Rolovich only 4-6 as mainland dog the past two seasons and 6-10-1 as underdog since 2017 (though 1-0 in role TY). Huskies just 2-6 as Seattle chalk since LY. Petersen just 2-5 vs. line last seven hosting non-Pac 12 foes.
Slight to Houston, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TCU at PURDUE...Frogs only 6-11 vs. line since late in 2017 but have covered 3 straight and 4 of last 5 as non-Big 12 visitor. Patterson 13-8 last 21 as dog. Purdue 1-4 as Ross-Ade chalk since LY.
TCU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
CLEMSON at SYRACUSE...Dino has covered last two vs. Dabo and scored upset in 2017. Cuse 5-1 vs. spread at Carrier Dome in 2018. Dabo 6-3-1 as visiting chalk past two years but did lose here in 2017. Clemson 17-9-1 as chalk since 2017 though 0-2 vs. Orange that span.
Syracuse, based on team and recent series trends.
 vs. 
FLORIDA STATE at VIRGINIA...FSU now 8-17-2 vs. spread since 2017, 4-10 for Taggart. Noles 2-7 as dog since 2017 (2-4 for Taggart). Cavs on 11-4 spread uptick since 2018, 8-4 last 12 vs. line at home.
Virginia, based on team trends.
 vs. 
OKLAHOMA at UCLA...UCLA now on 23-41 skid vs. spread dating to 2014, also just 2-7 last 9 vs. points at Rose Bowl. Bruins 2-7 as home dog since 2013 (2-3 for Chip).
Oklahoma, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at NEBRASKA...NIU12-6 as visiting dogs since 2013. Huskies did upset Huskers in Lincoln two years ago. Huskers just 2-7 as Lincoln chalk since 2017 (2-4 for Scott Frost since LY).
NIU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TEXAS vs. RICE (at NRG Stadium)...Note that Tom Herman was just 1-4 vs. line as chalk away from home LY and he’s just 2-6 laying DD with Horns (though 1-0 TY). Since 2016 with Houston, Herman 3-11-1 as DD chalk (1-0 TY). Rice interestingly is 6-1 getting 20 or more since Bloomgren took over LY.
Rice, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TEXAS TECH at ARIZONA...Matt Wells 10-3-2 vs. line since LY with Utags & TT. Under Kingsbury., Red Raiders 10-5 as visiting dog past four years. Sumlin 0-3 vs. line with UA vs. non-Pac 12 BCS foes.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.
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