Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:57 AM

Tech Trends - Week 4

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NFL Trends - Week 3

Thursday, Sept. 19
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
HOUSTON at TULANE ...Willie Fritz has covered 2 of last 3 in series, all as dog, won outright in 2017. Cougs just 5-12 as chalk away from home since late 2015. If Wave a dog note Fritz 4-0 in role at home since 2017.
Slight to Tulane, based on team trends.
Friday, Sept. 20
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
UTAH at SOUTHERN CAL...Utes 20-8-1 vs. line as visitor since 2014. Utes have covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 vs. Trojans, though they haven’t won SU yet at Coliseum since entering Pac in 2011. Helton 9-21-1 last 31 on board, and Trojans 2-11 as dog since 2015.
Utah, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
FIU at LA TECH...FIU has started slow this season (0-2) after Butch Davis 15-7 run vs. line entering 2019. FIU was 10-4 as dog entering this season but dropped Tulane opener. Skip just 3-8 vs. line at Ruston since 2017.
Slight to FIU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
AIR FORCE at BOISE STATE...Force had covered five straight vs. Boise prior to last two seasons. Falcs 18-8-1 as dog since 2014. Boise on 17-36 spread skid on blue carpet since late 2010.
Air Force, based on team and extended series trends.


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Saturday, Sept. 21
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
ULM at IOWA STATE...ULM was on 7-4 DD dog run into last season when dropping pair, but recovered at FSU on Sept. 7. Warhawks still just 5-11 last 16 on board. ISU 1-5 spread skid as home chalk, though is 5-0-1 vs. line last six years after facing Iowa.
Slight to Iowa State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MIAMI-OHIO at OHIO STATE...RedHawks 1-10 vs. line last 11 outside of MAC. Buckeyes 4-1 vs. points last five non-Big Ten at big Horseshoe, 8-5 last 13 laying 20 or more.
Ohio State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
CHARLOTTE at CLEMSON...49ers have covered 4 of last 5 as DD dog (1-0 for Will Healy). Dabo no covers last four vs. non-ACC at Death Valley.
Charlotte, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UCONN at INDIANA...Edsall 1-1 vs. line TY but just 1-5 last six as away dog. Hoosiers 1-3 last four laying DD vs. FBS-level foes though Tom Allen is above water at 8-6 as chalk since 2017.
Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UCF at PITT...Narduzzi 5-2-1 vs. line at home since LY but still just 10-16-1 vs. spread at Heinz Field since arriving in 2015. Also just 2-8-1 as non-ACC host vs. line since 2015. UCF 7-2 vs. spread last nine as visitor (all visiting chalk), 18-8-1 vs. line since 2017.
UCF, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UL-LAFAYETTE at OHIO...Cajuns 4-1-1 vs. spread as visitor for Billy Napier LY, also 4-1-1 as DD dog since 2018. Solich, however, 7-2 vs. line at home vs. FBS-level foes since 2017 and 5-2 vs. spread last seven vs. non-MAC FBS-level foes.
Ohio, based on Solich trends.
 vs. 
NEBRASKA at ILLINOIS...Huskers have won SU last three meetings and covered big last two. Frost covered last four on Big Ten road in 2018 and also covered last seven Big Ten games. Lovie only 4-10 as home dog with Illini and 6-15 last 21 vs. line in Big Ten.
Nebraska, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TEMPLE at BUFFALO...Buff 8-1-1 vs. line at home vs. BCS-level teams past two seasons. Leipold 17-8-1 vs. spread since 2017 vs. FBS-level foes. Rod Carey’s NIU teams, however, were 11-5 as road dog past five years.
Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.
 vs. 
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at MIAMI-FLA...McElwain 4-8 vs. spread last 12 vs. FBS-level teams (at Fla and CMU). Chips were 4-1 as DD dog LY for Bonamego but 0-1 for McElwain TY. Canes were only 5-7 as DD chalk for Richt past two seasons, though Diaz covered last week vs. BCU.
Slight to Miami, Fl., based on team trends.
 vs. 
OLD DOMINION at VIRGINIA...ODU 10-17-1 last 28 on board since late 2016 but Monarchs 3-1 last four as DD dog and covered Sept. 7 at VPI. Cavs 11-4-1 last 16 vs. line since LY and 6-1 last 7 vs. line non-ACC.
Virginia, based on team trends.
 vs. 
COASTAL CAROLINA at UMASS...Walt Bell 0-3 vs. line with UMass, Minutemen now on 5-11 spread skid. Coastal has won and covered last two in series, and Chants 6-2-1 last nine vs. line away.
Coastal Carolina, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MICHIGAN STATE at NORTHWESTERN...Cats have won last three in series, all as dog. If favored, note Dantonio just 3-10 as visiting chalk since 2015. Pat Fitz 14-5-1 as dog since 2016.
Northwestern, especially if dog, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
TROY at AKRON...Troy was 6-2 as chalk away from home past two years. Trojans 12-5 vs. spread away since 2016. Zips 0-3 vs. line for Arth, 3-11-1 last 15 vs. points as host.
Troy, based on team trends.
 vs. 
BOSTON COLLEGE at RUTGERS...BC 8-3 vs. spread last 11 as visitor. Rutgers had covered 6 in a row before Iowa loss, and has covered last four at New Brunswick. Ash 7-4 last 11 as home dog.
Slight to Boston College, based on team trends.
 vs. 
WESTERN MICHIGAN at SYRACUSE...WMU just 4-11 vs. spread last 15 vs. FBS-level foes. Also no covers last four as DD dog. Babers 7-2 last nine as chalk.
Syracuse based on team trends.
 vs. 
BALL STATE at NC STATE...Ball 3-9 last 12 as visiting dog and just 3-10 as DD dog since 2017 (though 1-0 TY). NCS 5-1 last six as home chalk vs. FBS-level foes (2-0 TY).
NC State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MICHIGAN at WISCONSIN...Harbaugh just 1-7 vs. line last 8 away from Ann Arbor. Mich no covers last six since late 2018. If dog Harbaugh only 2-3 in role with Wolverines. Badgers however just 1-6 as Madison chalk LY, though did rout CMU on Sept. 7.
Wisconsin, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TOLEDO at COLORADO STATE...Rockets 9-3 as visiting chalk since 2015, though just 3-7 last ten vs. spread non-MAC. Rams have covered just 3 of last 11 in Fort Collins, and Bobo just 4-8 last 12 as dog after covering 6 of previous 7 in role.
Slight to Toledo, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NEW MEXICO STATE at NEW MEXICO...Lobos had failed to cover four straight in series prior to 42-35 win LY. UNM 0-8 as home chalk since late 2016, just 8-19 last 27 overall vs. spread. Ags however just 2-7 last nine as road dog.
Slight to New Mexico State, based on extended series trends.
 vs. 
WASHINGTON at BYU...Huskies just 3-7 last 10 as chalk away from Seattle. Also just 4-7 last 11 vs. line non-Pac 12. Sitake on 15-6 spread run since late 2017.
BYU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
COLORADO at ARIZONA STATE...Buffs entered 2018 on 4-11-1 spread run in Pac 12. Home team has won last four and covered last six in series.
Arizona State, based on series trends.
 vs. 
CAL at OLE MISS...Bears have covered last four as visiting dog and are 7-2 last nine getting points. Cal has covered last three as non-Pac visitor. Rebs on 1-8 spread skid since mid 2018 but did cover last game against FBS foe (vs. Ark). If Rebs a dog note 0-5 mark in role at home under Matt Luke.
Cal, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TENNESSEE at FLORIDA...Vols actually 3-1 as road dog LY, though UT on 6-12 spread skid since late 2017 (6-9 Pruitt). Gators have long held upper hand in series and have covered 7 of last 9 meetings. Dan Mullen on 9-5 spread run since early 2018.
Florida, based on series trends.
 vs. 
GEORGIA STATE at TEXAS STATE...GS no covers last six (0-5-1) on Sun Belt road. Bobcats have covered last two in series though 0-3 vs. line for Spavital in early going.
Slight to Texas State, based on series trends.
 vs. 
SOUTHERN MISS at ALABAMA...Saban 4-11 vs. spread last 15 hosting non-SEC foes. Also 1-7 vs. line last 8 in final non-SEC game. USM 8-4 as dog for Jay Hopson since 2017.
Southern Miss, based on team trends.
 vs. 
KENTUCKY at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Home side has won and covered last four in series. Stoops 14-8 as dog however since 2016. Moorhead 6-1 as Starkville chalk since LY.
Slight to Mississippi State, based on series home trends.
 vs. 
LSU at VANDERBILT...Derek Mason 1-6 as home dog since 2017, 5-12 overall last 17 as dog. LSU four straight covers vs. FBS-level foes since late 2018.
LSU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
APP STATE at NORTH CAROLINA...App State 8-1 vs. spread last nine away from Boone, 6-1 last seven vs. number non-Sun Belt.
Slight to App State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
AUBURN at TEXAS A&M...Malzahn 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 vs. line at College Station, and road team 6-0-1 vs. points last seven meetings. Jimbo however on 13-3 spread run with Ags and is 8-1 vs. spread at Kyle Field.
Slight to Auburn, based on series trends.
 vs. 
WYOMING at TULSA...Bohl is hot, has covered 7 of last 8 on board since late 2018. Bohl has also covered last four as a dog.
Wyoming, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
SOUTH CAROLINA at MISSOURI...Muschamp 12-3 last 15 as dog, is also 3-0 SU and vs. line against Barry Odom. Tigers 9-2 vs. line last 11 at home.
Slight to South Carolina, based on Muschamp trends.
 vs. 
WEST VIRGINIA at KANSAS...Curious series trend with road team covering last five. Neal Brown was 6-2 as road chalk the past two years at Troy.
Slight to West Virginia, based on series trends.
 vs. 
OKLAHOMA STATE at TEXAS...Tom Herman only 4-7 as home chalk since 2017 with Horns. Gundy has won last 4 SU vs. Texas and was 4-0 LY as a dog.
Oklahoma State, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
BOWLING GREEN at KENT STATE...BGSU just 6-16 last 22 as dog (0-2 for Loeffler). Falcs 12-27 vs. points since 2016.
Slight to Kent State, based on BG negatives.
 vs. 
SMU at TCU...Metroplex war! Frogs have won SU last seven meetings and 2-0-1 vs. line last three. But Patterson just 4-15-1 vs. spread at Fort Worth since 2016. SMU 3-0 SU and vs. line in 2019
Slight to SMU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
SAN JOSE STATE at ARKANSAS...Ark just 5-9 as chalk since 2016 (3-3 for Chad Morris), also just 4-14 SU last 18 since late 2017. SJSU 8-3 last 11 as DD dog and has covered 5 of last 7 on road.
San Jose State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
SOUTH ALABAMA at UAB...UAB 19-9-1 vs. spread since returning in 2017, 5-2 as DD chalk since LY. Blazers also 10-2-1 vs. spread at Legion Field since 2017.
UAB, based on team trends.
 vs. 
OREGON at STANFORD...Tree has won and covered last three in series, as home dog note Stanford 5-0 in role since 2009. Ducks 4-14-1 vs. spread last 18 away from Eugene.
Stanford, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
BAYLOR at RICE...Old rivals from SWC days. Getting 20 or more, Bloomgren 6-2 vs. line since taking over Rice in 2017. Under 20 points, just 2-4. Rice just 2-7 vs. points last 9 as home dog. Matt Rhule has covered both as road chalk since taking over Bears in 2017, though only 2-4 laying DD.
Slight to Baylor, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UTSA at NORTH TEXAS...Home team has covered last five in series. Roadrunners just 3-8 last 11 as DD chalk (0-2 TY). UNT however on 1-8 spread skid, 2-10 last 12.
Slight to North Texas, based on series home trends.
 vs. 
NOTRE DAME at GEORGIA...Brian Kelly 3-3 as dog since 2016, but 0-2 as DD dog since 2015. Georgia 22-9 vs. spread last 31 vs. FBS foes.
Georgia, based on team trends.
 vs. 
LOUISVILLE at FLORIDA STATE...Satterfield on 16-3-1 spread uptick at App State and ‘Ville (2-0 with Cards). FSU 8-17-3 vs. spread since 2017, 4-10-1 for Taggart.
Louisville, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NEVADA at UTEP...Pack just 4-9 last 13 vs. line as visitor, no covers last three as road chalk. But Pack on mild 7-4 spread uptick. Miners 1-6 vs. spread at Sun Bowl for Dimel, 2-10 last 12 vs. spread as host.
Nevada, based on UTEP negatives.
 vs. 
UCLA at WASHINGTON STATE...Bruins now on 23-42 spread skid since 2014 (5-10 for Chip). Leach on 11-5 spread uptick.
Washington State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UTAH STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Utags on 11-3-1 spread uptick (2-0 for Andersen), Rocky 1-7 vs. line last eight as host!
Utah State, based on team trends.
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