Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:57 AM

Tech Trends - Week 5

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NFL Trends - Week 4

Thursday, Sept. 26
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
NAVY at MEMPHIS ...Mids have played Memphis tough, 3-1 SU and 4-0 vs. line since joining AAC in 2014. Navy 20-10 as visiting dog since 2009, 13-6-1 last 20 as dog overall.
Navy, based on series and team trends.
Friday, Sept. 27
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
DUKE at VIRGINIA TECH...Hokies have covered last 2 and won last 3 SU in series. Though Fuente 0-3 vs. line TY and 7-14 last 21 on board. If Cutcliffe a dog note 24-12-1 mark in role since 2013.
Duke, based on team trends.
 vs. 
PENN STATE at MARYLAND...Locksley 2-0 vs. line at home this season, now 7-2 vs. spread last nine as host. But James Franklin has been merciless with three big wins and covers in a row vs. Terps, the last two by combined 104-6 scoreline! Franklin 7-4 as visiting chalk since 2016.
Penn State, based on series trends.
 vs. 
SAN JOSE STATE at AIR FORCE...Spartans are 6-2 last eight as a road dog and 9-3 last 11 as DD dog. Calhoun 4-2 last six as DD chalk though only 6-7 vs. line as host since 2016.
Slight to San Jose State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
ARIZONA STATE at CAL...If Herm a dog note his 6-3 mark in role since joining ASU last year. Cal 1-7-1 last 9 as chalk (0-2 TY), and these teams “under” a combined 6-2 this season.
Arizona State and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

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Saturday, Sept. 28
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
NORTHWESTERN at WISCONSIN...Cats 14-6-1 as dog since 2016, and NU has covered last ten as Big Ten road dog! Also covered last two vs. Badgers. Wiscy has covered last four since late 2018.
Slight to Northwestern, based on team and recent series trends.
 vs. 
WAKE FOREST at BOSTON COLLEGE...Punishing series, road team has won and covered last four meetings and won outright last five. Clawson 6-2-1 vs. spread last nine away from home. If BC is a dog note 5-1-1 mark last seven at home in role though Addazio just 1-4-1 last six on board since late LY.
Wake Forest, based on series and team trends.
 vs. 
UCONN at UCF...Huskies 3-12 vs. line since LY (1-2 TY). UConn 1-6 as visiting dog since LY and 1-6 last 7 getting 20 or more. Teams haven’t played since 2017 though note UConn had covered 3 of last 4 to that point! Knights have covered last 6 of last 7 and 8 of last 10 reg season games and 9-3 last 12 as DD chalk (4-2 last six laying 20 or more).
UCF, based on team trends.
 vs. 
SMU at SOUTH FLORIDA...Sonny Dykes off to 4-0 SU and spread start in 2019. Charlie Strong 1-9 vs. points last ten at home vs. FBS-level foes.
SMU, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
BUFFALO at MIAMI-OHIO... Miami no covers first four TY, though Chuck Martin has tended to play in streaks (RedHawks had covered last 3 and 8 of last 9 in 2018). UB was 4-0 as visiting chalk LY but dropped first chance in role TY at Liberty.
Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.
 vs. 
GEORGIA TECH at TEMPLE...Collins game! Not so good thus far for GT, 0-3 vs. line, now 5-13 vs. points dating to the later portion of the Paul Johnson era. Collins was 6-4 as dog at Temple. Carey was just 6-9 as chalk the past two years with NIU before moving to Owls.
Slight to Temple, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
NC STATE at FLORIDA STATE...Taggart just 5-10-1 vs. line with FSU since LY, Noles on 9-17-3 spread skid since 2017. Pack has won SU last two and covered last three in series.
N.C. State, based on team and recent series trends.
 vs. 
IOWA STATE at BAYLOR...ISU has won SU last two meetings and covered 3 of past 4. Matt Campbell 17-8-1 as dog since 2016 with Cyclones. Also 11-3 vs. spread last 14 away from Ames. Rhule 2-4 vs. spread last six as Big 12 host at Waco.
Iowa State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
BYU at TOLEDO...Sitake on 15-7 spread uptick since late 2017. If Cougs are dogs they’re 10-2 on road in role since 2016. Rockets 8-3 vs. spread last 11 at Glass Bowl.
Slight to BYU, if dog, based on team trends.
 vs. 
AKRON at UMASS...Both 0-4 vs. line to start season, UMass now on 4-11 spread skid since early 2018. Zips were 4-3 vs. line away LY before losing first two away in 2019.
Slight to Akron, based on team trends.
 vs. 
RUTGERS at MICHIGAN...Harbaugh now no covers last seven since late 2018, though Mich still 5-3 as Ann Arbor chalk since LY. Harbaugh has beaten Rutgers all four meetings none by fewer than 21 points. Ash 2-5 last seven as visiting dog.
Slight to Michigan, based on series trends.
 vs. 
MINNESOTA at PURDUE...Fleck 0-2-1 vs. line TY, 6-11-1 vs. line in Big Ten since 2017. Home team has won outright last 3 in series. Purdue 1-4 as home chalk, 3-1 as home dog since 2017.
Purdue, especially if dog, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UL-LAFAYETTE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...Cajuns 7-1-1 vs. line away from Lafayette for Billy Napier (since LY). GSU however 11-5 vs. spread since last season, 6-1 last 7 vs. spread at home.
Slight to ULL, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MIDDLE TENNESSEE at IOWA...Stockstill 7-3 vs. line last ten vs. Power 5. Ferentz 7-2 laying DD since 2017, 13-4-1 vs. spread last 18 on board. Also 5-1 last six vs. line hosting non-Big Ten.
Slight to Iowa, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UNLV at WYOMING...Bohl on 7-1 spread run, Rebs 1-4 vs. points last five on MW road.
Wyoming, based on team trends.
 vs. 
WASHINGTON STATE at UTAH...Utes no covers last three TY, 1-6 last seven vs. spread. Leach 13-5 last 18 as dog and has won and covered last two vs. Utes.
Washington State, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
FRESNO STATE at NEW MEXICO STATE...Old PCAA/Big West battle! Ags 1-8 vs. spread last nine at Las Cruces, 5-14 overall last 19 vs. line. Fresno 13-1-2 vs. line away from home since Tedford arrived in 2017.
Fresno State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
HAWAII at NEVADA...Bows have lost five in a row SU at Reno and failed to cover last three at Mackay Stadium. Rolovich only 4-9 vs. spread last 13 on road. Pack 9-4 vs. spread last 13 at home for Jay Norvell.
Nevada, based on team trends.
 vs. 
STANFORD at OREGON STATE...Tree has won 11 in a row SU vs. Beavs and 4-2 vs. line last six. Stanford was 5-1 vs. line on reg season road LY but has dropped three in a row away from Farm vs. number. Shaw still 8-3 as visiting chalk since 2016. OSU 0-6 as home dog for Smith.
Stanford, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
INDIANA at MICHIGAN STATE...IU 4-9 as dog since 2017 and has lost and failed to cover 5 of last 6 vs. MSU (Hoosiers 1-9 SU last 10 in series). But Spartans just 1-9 vs. spread last ten at East Lansing.
Slight to Michigan State, based on series trends.
 vs. 
CLEMSON at NORTH CAROLINA...Dabo 7-1-1 last nine as chalk away from Death Valley. Clemson 11-1-1 vs. line last 13 vs. ACC. Mack 2-1 as dog in 2019, though Heels just 5-7 as Chapel Hill dog since 2014.
Clemson, based on team trends.
 vs. 
KENTUCKY at SOUTH CAROLINA...Stoops 5-1 last six vs. line since late 2018, 10-6 as dog away from Lexington since 2016. UK has also won last 5 SU and covered last 6 vs. Cocks.
Kentucky, based on team trends.
 vs. 
OLE MISS at ALABAMA...Saban has run up the score the past two years on Rebs by combined 128-10! Previously, Tide had dropped 3 straight vs. line in series, losing outright in 2014 & ‘15. Ole Miss no covers last four on SEC road. Saban however 2-5 vs. spread since late last season.
Alabama, based on series trends.
 vs. 
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at VANDERBILT...NIU 13-6 as visiting dog since 2013 (1-1 for Hammock this year), Huskies 6-5-1 vs. spread against Power 5 since 2014. Derek Mason however has covered last six hosting FBS non-SEC teams since 2015.
Vanderbilt, based on team trends.
 vs. 
KANSAS at TCU...KU surprising 6-1 vs. spread last seven vs. TCU! Patterson 3-14-1 as Fort Worth chalk since 2016.
Kansas, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
KANSAS STATE at OKLAHOMA STATE...Klieman picking up where Snyder left off as a dog, K-State now 16-5 getting points since 2016 (1-0 Klieman). Snyder had fared well vs. Gundy, covering 7 of last 8 meetings. OSU just 3-6-1 last ten as Big 12 host.
Kansas State, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
MISSISSIPPI STATE at AUBURN...Moorhead just 1-2 as dog last season, and MSU just 1-4 vs. points last five on SEC road. Malzahn has won and covered first four this season.
Auburn, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA...Kingsbury was 10-5 as visiting dog past four seasons. Wells only 6-11 as dog last three years with Utags, though his teams are still 11-4-1 vs. spread since 2018. Lincoln Riley 5-2 last seven as Big 12 host. Home team has covered last five in series.
Oklahoma, based on team trends.
 vs. 
FAU at CHARLOTTE...Lane Kiffin has covered first two on road TY after 2-4 spread mark away in 2018. FAU 1-0 as chalk TY but was 1-6-1 in role last season. 49ers on 7-4 spread uptick since mid 2018 and has covered last three vs. Owls.
Charlotte, based on team trends.
 vs. 
VIRGINIA at NOTRE DAME...Cavs were 5-1 as dog LY, also 6-2 vs. spread last 8 away from home. Brian Kelly just 3-5 vs. line last 8 at South Bend.
Virginia, based on team trends.
 vs. 
COASTAL CAROLINA at APPALACHIAN STATE...Chants rallying for Chadwell, covering 3 of first 4 after UMass win. But App on 15-4-1 spread run after UNC win (2-1 Drinkwitz) . Road team has covered last two in series.
Slight to App State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
CINCINNATI at MARSHALL...If Cincy a dog, note Fickell was 7-4 in role entering this season before loss at Buckeyes. Though Bearcats just 2-6 vs. points last 8 away from Nippert. If Herd chalk note 4-11 mark in role at home since 2016 (0-2 TY).
Cincinnati, if dog, based on team trends.
 vs. 
EAST CAROLINA at OLD DOMINION...ECU still playing at a sub-33% clip vs. line (11-28-1 since 2016; 1-3 TY) since 2011. Pirates 3-14-1 vs. line away since 2016 (0-2 TY). ODU 6-3 as dog since LY.
Old Dominion, based on ECU negatives.
 vs. 
NEW MEXICO at LIBERTY...Davie supposed to return for this game! Lobos 8-20 last 28 vs. line, and just 4-6 in once-solid dog role since 2017. Flames won 52-43 at Albuquerque LY.
Liberty, based on team trends.
 vs. 
ARKANSAS STATE at TROY...Ark State 12-5 vs. points on Belt road since 2015 (though 3-3 last six). Trojans now 13-6-1 last 20 on board. Road team covered last two meetings (2016 & ‘17).
Slight to Arkansas State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
SOUTH ALABAMA at LOUISIANA MONROE... USA 4-7 vs. spread last 11 away after UAB loss. But Matt Viator just 5-12 last 17 on board after ISU loss. Home team has won and covered last three meetings.
Slight to ULM, based on series trends.
 vs. 
UTEP at SOUTHERN MISS...USM has covered last three and won last four SU in series by similar scorelines, all wins by 21 or more. Golden Eagles 7-3 last ten as DD chalk.
Southern Miss, based on series trends.
 vs. 
LA TECH at RICE... Tech has won big last five meetings, covering four of those. Skip 7-3 last ten as visiting chalk.
La Tech, based on series trends.
 vs. 
UAB at WESTERN KENTUCKY...UAB covering again, now 20-9-1 vs. spread since 2017 after USA win. WKU 3-6-1 last ten on board since mid 2018 (1-2 for Helton).
UAB, based on team trends.
 vs. 
COLORADO STATE at UTAH STATE...CSU 2-9 vs. spread last 11 away from Fort Collins though Rams have covered three straight in series. Utags on 12-3-1 spread run since LY (3-0 for Andersen TY).
Slight to Utah State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
OHIO STATE at NEBRASKA...Ryan Day now 5-2 vs. line as OSU HC counting interim LY. Huskers 7-1 last 8 vs. line Big ten, and Frost teams at UCF & Huskers now 7-2 last nine as dog.
Slight to Nebraska, based on team trends.
 vs. 
HOUSTON at NORTH TEXAS...UNT on 2-8 spread skid since mid 2019, but has covered last two. UH was 5-11 as road chalk the past three years.
Slight to North Texas, based on team trends.
 vs. 
ARKANSAS vs. TEXAS A&M (at Jerry Jones Stadium, Arlington)...Hogs covered this one in 2018 but have lost 7 in a row SU vs. Ags. Porkers 1-5 vs. spread away from home under Morris. Jimbo 13-4 vs. spread with Ags.
Texas A&M, based on team trends.
 vs. 
USC at WASHINGTON...SC 2-7 vs. points last nine away from home. Even with recent wins, Helton just 10-21 last 31 on board. SC was 3-13 last 16 as dog prior to Utah upset. Petersen 2-1 as Seattle chalk TY after subpar 1-5 mark in role last year.
Washington, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UCLA at ARIZONA...Bruins 6-1 SU last seven meetings but have not covered last two. Chip 6-10 vs. line with Bruins, who are 24-42 overall vs. spread since 2014. Sumlin has covered last five vs. FBS foes at Tucson.
Arizona, based on team trends.
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