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NCAAF

Oct 01, 2019

Tech Trends - Week 6

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NFL Trends - Week 5

Thursday, Oct. 3
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at SOUTH ALABAMA... GS on 13-7 spread run since late 2017 and has won and covered big the past five years vs. USA. Jags 1-3 last four as Mobile dog.
Georgia Southern, based on series and team trends.
 vs. 
TEMPLE at EAST CAROLINA...ECU got rare cover vs. OSU but still struggling, 2-3 vs. line TY, 12-28-1 vs. points since 2016. Temple has won and covered last five meetings since 2014, won big last three all by 24 or more.
Temple, based on series trends.
Friday, Oct. 4
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
UCF at CINCINNATI...UCF 8-2 as visiting chalk since 2016. Fickell 2-3 as dog since LY. UCF has won and covered last three (well, counting the 2017 game, when UCF was blowing out Bearcats but game ended prematurely because of weather).
UCF, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
NEW MEXICO at SAN JOSE STATE... SJS on 10-6 spread uptick. Spartans 13-5-1 as chalk since 2014. Lobos no covers last seven since late 2018, 8-20-1 last 29 on board.
San Jose State, based on team trends.
Saturday, Oct. 5
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
SOUTH FLORIDA at UCONN...UConn’s one of two covers LY was vs. USF, and has actually covered last three in series, though just 4-12 vs. spread for Edsall since LY. Charlie Strong 2-6 as chalk since LY and that includes a W vs. South Carolina State on Sept. 14.
UConn, based on team trends.
 vs. 
BOSTON COLLEGE at LOUISVILLE...Satterfield on 16-4-1 spread run since late 2017 at App & ‘Ville. BC won and covered last two vs. Petrino Cards but only 3-4-1 last eight on board.
Louisville, based on Satterfield marks.
 vs. 
NORTH CAROLINA at GEORGIA TECH...Tech 0-4 vs. line for Collins, 0-7 since late 2018 vs. spread. Paul Johnson did beat Heels last two seasons, however.
Slight to UNC, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
TEXAS at WEST VIRGINIA...Horns just 1-3 as visiting chalk LY. Mounties 9-5-2 vs. spread since LY. Note road team has covered last three in series.
Slight to Texas, based on series trends.
 vs. 
PURDUE at PENN STATE...Brohm 8-4 as dog with Boilers (0-1 TY). James Franklin 15-6-1 at home since mid 2016, 10-3-1 vs. points last 14 as Big Ten host.
Penn State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
BALL STATE at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Cards were 1-7 vs. line on MAC road past two years, 4-9 vs. spread last 13 as visitor (1-0 TY; no count neutral vs. IU). NIU has covered last 7 and won SU last 10 in series.
Northern Illinois, based on series trends.
 vs. 
TULANE at ARMY...Wave has won and covered 4 of last 5 since late 2018. Note road team has covered all four Army games this season, Black Knights just 6-11 vs. line last 17 at Michie since mid 2016.
Tulane, based on team trends.
 vs. 
PITT at DUKE...Pitt has won and covered last four meetings. Narduzzi 7-3 last ten as visiting dog. Duke just 2-6 as home chalk since last season (1-0 2019).
Pitt, based on series trends.
 vs. 
BAYLOR at KANSAS STATE...KSU has covered 4 of last 5 reg season meetings. Rhule was 5-2 as dog last season. Klieman 3-1 SU and vs. line in 2019, Cats on 9-3 spread run since early 2018.
Slight to Kansas State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MARYLAND at RUTGERS...Road team has covered last three in series. Terps no covers last five as visitor, 1-7 last 8 vs. spread as Big Ten visitor. Ash recently had a 6-game cover streak but has dropped last 3 vs. line. Rutgers was 7-4 as home dog past two seasons.
Slight to Rutgers, based on team trends.
 vs. 
OKLAHOMA STATE at TEXAS TECH...Ok State has covered 5 straight and 8 of 9 since late 2018. TT 2-5 vs. number last 7 as Big 12 host. Though Red Raiders have covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series.
Slight to Oklahoma State, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
KENT STATE at WISCONSIN...Badgers have won and covered 4 of last 5 since late 2018, total score 204-32! Wiscy was just 1-5 as Madison chalk LY but was 9–4 overall as chalk as recently as 2017, and 10-5-1 laying DD 2016-17. Golden Flashes 5-4 vs. spread last 9 visiting Power 5, though just 8-10 as DD dog since 2017 (1-1 TY).
Wisconsin, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
EASTERN MICHIGAN at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...EMU road mark impresses (2-1 TY after 17-4 previous 3 years away from Ypsilanti), but almost all of that as dog; as road chalk, Eagles 3-2 since 2016. McElwain has covered 4 of first 5 this season, and Chips have covered last 2 meetings.
Slight to Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.
 vs. 
VIRGINIA TECH at MIAMI-FLA...Fuente presiding over what seems a meltdown at VPI, which is 0-4 vs. line TY after Duke debacle, now 7-15 last 22 overall vs. spread. Miami has won and covered 4 of last 5 and 5 of last 7 in series.
Miami, Fl., based on series and team trends.
 vs. 
TROY at MISSOURI...Troy was a good dog in recent years (10-4 in role 2015-18), and has covered last five against Power 5 opposition including SU wins at LSU and Nebraska past 2 years. Barry Odom however has won and covered big the last three TY and 10-2 last 12 as home chalk.
Slight to Missouri, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
LIBERTY at NEW MEXICO STATE...In this home-and-home, NMSU managed to cover both meetings LY, though home side was 2-0 SU. Ags 2-8 vs. spread last 9 at Las Cruces, however.
Slight to Liberty, based on team trends.
 vs. 
ARIZONA at COLORADO...Home field has meant something to Sumlin’s Cats, who are 7-2 vs. spread at Tucson but 1-5 vs. number away. Note “overs” last four in wild rivalry that has seen Cats win SU 6 of last 7. Buffs just 1-4 vs. line last 5 at Boulder (1-1 for Tucker).
"Over" and slight to Arizona, based on series trends.
 vs. 
SAN DIEGO STATE at COLORADO STATE...Rams have covered last 3 as home dog for Bobo. Rocky 2-2 vs. line TY after 3-10 mark LY, but is 6-2 vs. spread last 8 on MW road.
Slight to Colorado State, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
OREGON STATE at UCLA...Bruins 5-13 last 18 as Rose Bowl chalk (0-3 in role for Chip). Beavs 4-3 as road dog for Jonathan Smith since LY.
Slight to Oregon State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
CAL at OREGON...Cal has covered last 7 as road dog for Justin Wilcox. Bears also 13-5 as dog for Wilcox. Ducks just 4-5 vs. spread at home for Cristobal, but have won and covered last 2 years vs. Bears.
Cal, based on team trends.
 vs. 
WASHINGTON at STANFORD...Tree no covers since NU opener, Shaw now 1-5 vs. spread last five since late 2018. Stanford was 4-0 as home dog since 2012 entering this season before loss to Ducks. Cardinal no covers last three as dog TY after 10-5 mark previous 15 in role. Huskies have covered last four away from Seattle.
Washington, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
TULSA at SMU...Sonny Dykes rockin’ and rollin’ at 5-0 SU and vs. line, though he hasn’t covered last 2 vs. Tulsa. Hurricane covered first 2 away TY but only 2-4 vs. spread away LY.
Slight to SMU, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
IOWA at MICHIGAN...Ferentz on 14-4-1 spread surge since late 2017, he’s also 7-1-1 vs. points last 9 away from Iowa City. Harbaugh on 1-7 spread skid since late 2018.
Iowa, based on team trends.
 vs. 
ILLINOIS at MINNESOTA...Lovie 4-9 vs. spread last 13 as visitor (0-1 TY), and 6-15 last 21 vs. points in Big Ten play. Though he has covered last 2 vs. Gophers and won big LY. Gophers 0-2 vs. line at home TY but were 4-2 vs. spread as host in 2018.
Minnesota, based on Lovie trends.
 vs. 
RICE at UAB...Rice 6-2 last 8 as visiting dog, 7-2 last 9 getting 20+. UAB 11-2-1 vs. line since 2017 at legion Field.
Slight to Rice, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NORTHWESTERN at NEBRASKA...Pat Fitz had been a great dog in recent years (14-4-1 in role from 2016-18) but 1-2 as dog TY. Road team however has covered last six in this series. Frost just 4-6 vs. spread at Lincoln since LY.
Northwestern, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
GEORGIA at TENNESSEE...Ga 6-3 vs. spread last nine as SEC visitor, Vols just 4-13 vs. points last 17 at Knoxville but have covered 5 of last 7 in series.
Slight to Georgia, based on team trends.
 vs. 
AIR FORCE at NAVY...Calhoun 18-9-1 as dog since 2014. Navy 6-1 last 7 vs. line and has covered last 3 at Annapolis. Force has covered last three and four of last five meetings.
Air Force, based on team and recent series trends.
 vs. 
WESTERN MICHIGAN at TOLEDO...WMU 2-8 vs. points last ten away from Waldo Stadium. Also 1-7 last 8 as a dog. UT 8-1 last nine as Glass Bowl chalk. Rockets have won and covered big the past two seasons.
Toledo, based on team trends.
 vs. 
OKLAHOMA at KANSAS...OU 4-1-1 vs. spread last 6 away from Norman, though was only 3-6 laying DD LY (2-1 in role TY). Jayhawks covered big price LY but just 1-4 vs. spread last five in series.
Slight to Oklahoma, based on series trends.
 vs. 
OHIO at BUFFALO...Solich 11-6 vs. spread last 17 on MAC team, 13-5 as dog since 2015, and covered last six as MAC dog. Bulls 10-3-1 vs. spread as host since 2017, and host has won and covered last six meetings.
Ohio, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TCU at IOWA STATE...Frogs 2-6 last 8 vs. Big 12 teams away from Fort Worth. Patterson only 6-6 in once solid dog role past three years. Matt Campbell has covered all three vs. TCU since 2016.
Iowa State, based on team and recent series trends.
 vs. 
VANDERBILT at OLE MISS...Derek Mason only 5-12 last 17 as dog. He has covered 3 of last 4 vs. Ole Miss, however, and did cover last three on SEC road in 2018. Rebs on 5-11-1 spread since last season.
Slight to Vanderbilt, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
MARSHALL at MTSU...Herd 10-5 vs. spread last 15 away from Huntington (1-0 TY), though just 3-6 last nine as visiting chalk. MTSU no covers last three at home, only 1-3-1 vs. points last five in series.
Marshall, based on team trends.
 vs. 
BOWLING GREEN at NOTRE DAME...Falcs 1-3 vs. spread in 2019 after 11-25 mark past three seasons. BG 0-3 as DD dog in 2019, 4-13 last 17 in role since 2017.
Notre Dame, based on BG negatives.
 vs. 
ARKANSAS STATE at GEORGIA STATE...Red Wolves 11-5 vs. line last 16 on Belt road (though just 5-5 last ten). GSU just 3-8-1 vs. spread at home since moving into Turner Field/GSU Stadium since 2017.
Arkansas State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
WKU at OLD DOMINION...ODU covered at the two Va schools in Sept and 4-2 last six vs. line since late 2018. If Monarchs chalk note 2-7 mark in role since 2017 (0-1 TY), though they have covered last two in series. If Tops a dog note 5-1-1 mark last seven as visiting dog.
Slight to Western Kentucky, based on team trends.
 vs. 
AUBURN at FLORIDA...Gus 5-0 vs. line TY and has covered in last six since late 2018. Gus also whipped Mullen at MSU the last two times they met in 2016-17.
Slight to Auburn, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UMASS at FIU...Mass 1-6 last 7 as road dog. FIU only 0-4 vs. line out of chute in 2019 after 10-3 mark vs. spread LY.
Slight to FIU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MEMPHIS at ULM...Tigers 2-1-1 vs. line TY, and 5-2 last 7 as visiting chalk. Warhawks 2-9-1 vs. line last 12 at home.
Memphis, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MICHIGAN STATE at OHIO STATE...Dantonio 21-9 as dog since 2011 though just 4-4 in role past two years. Spartans 7-2 vs. spread last nine away, though no covers last two vs. Bucks. Ryan Day 6-2 vs. spread with Buckeyes since interim stint LY.
Slight to Michigan State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UTAH STATE at LSU...Orgeron 3-1 vs. line TY, and 2-1 laying DD TY after 1-4 mark in role in 2018. Tigers 1-6 vs. spread last seven hosting non-SEC. Utags 12-4-1 vs. spread since LY (3-1 TY).
Slight to Utah State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UTSA at UTEP...Roadrunners no covers last three TY, now on 6-18 spread skid since early 2017. Miners 1-9 vs. spread last ten at Sun Bowl. Road team has covered all six meetings since 2013!
Slight to UTSA, based on series trends.
 vs. 
BOISE STATE at UNLV...Sanchez just 6-11 vs. spread last 17 at Sam Boyd Stadium, Broncos 36-18 as visiting chalk since 2009.
Boise State, based on team trends.
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