We kicked off Week 13 of the college football season with our Midweek Best Bets and I hope that video provided a better explanation of my handicapping and wagering approach.
I want to be clear to all handicappers and novice bettors out there who take my picks; do so with the intention of using 70% typically on our main bets.
This will entail you using literally 70% of the allotted monies you have decided to bet with on the specific pick in each of the parlays you build. You will build these parlays from the picks I give you, and hedge them accordingly.
The typical 8-team parlay requires at least 13 hedges; meaning 13 different combinations of that original bet.
You may ask, “Why are you putting that many bets in for 8 picks?”
Put simply, you do so to increase your chance of winning while decreasing the probability of losing.
My betting strategy focuses on what I believe will happen (which due to watching and playing football my entire life, I have a keen focus on what it takes to win).
In terms of sports betting, we often find ourselves channeling what would we do as a coach in this situation. What are the depreciating factors that may hurt my under or over total? Can I find a proper hedge for this bet?
These are all questions I ask myself before making a pick. Typically, the truth of the game will always be defined from the past. And this allows me to make proper judgment of what I'm seeing in the lines.
I always use my eye test, and certain averages to influence which sides of the line I decide to swing. I can promise you this, your guaranteed winnings will come if you follow the strategy; I know from personal experience.
Enjoy Saturday’s Week 13 picks and be sure to subscribe via YouTube. I plan to continue my analysis with college basketball in the coming months along with the upcoming college football bowl season.
Week 13 Video Midweek Matchup Breakdown
Saturday, Nov. 23
(In order of selections)
Ball State at Kent State (12:00 p.m. ET) Michigan at Indiana (3:30 p.m. ET) Kansas State at Texas Tech (7:00 p.m. ET) Oklahoma State at West Virginia (12:00 p.m. ET) Temple at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. ET) Nevada at Fresno State (10:30 p.m. ET) Oregon at Arizona State (7:30 p.m. ET) Houston at Tulsa (7:30 p.m. ET) Coastal Carolina at UL Monroe (5:00 p.m. ET) Penn State at Ohio State (12:00 p.m. ET)
We may be compensated by the company links provided on this page. Read more