Bowl Tech Trends - Week 2

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Tuesday, December 24

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	BYU at HAWAII (Hawaii Bowl)...Sitake no covers last 3 or 7 of last 9 in 2019 and Cougs had covered 15 of previous 21. Rolovich 4-4 vs. spread at Aloha TY but was just 6-14-1 vs. line previous three years as host. Bows 1-4 SU and vs. line last five bowls dating to 2007 season.	BYU, based on team trends.

Thursday, December 26

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	MIAMI-FLA. vs. LA TECH (Independence Bowl)...Canes 2-6 as chalk TY, as dogs were 10-2 vs. line in Miami games. Miami has also failed to cover in 4 of last 6 bowls. Skip Holtz 18-8-1 as dog since 2014. Holtz also 5-0 SU, 4-1 in bowls with Bulldogs.	La Tech, based on team trends.
at	PITT vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN (Quick Lane Bowl)...Pitt 0-4 SU, 1-3 vs. spread last four bowls. Narduzzi 1-5-1 as DD chalk since 2016, but did cover 4 of 5 away TY. EMU 4-2-1 vs. line away from Ypsilanti this season, now 21-6-1 away from home since 2016, and 20-5-2 as dog since 2016. Note Panthers “under” 13-3 since late 2018.	EMU and “under” based on team and “totals” trends.

Friday, December 27

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	NORTH CAROLINA vs. TEMPLE (Military Bowl)... Mack Brown just 2-3-1 as chalk this year, 2-3 vs. spread away from Chapel Hill. Owls covered last 4 in 2019 in 8-4 spread season, 4-2 as dog, though Rod Carey was 0-6 SU and vs. spread in bowls with NIU.	UNC, based on Carey bowl marks.
at	MICHIGAN STATE vs. WAKE FOREST (Yankee Pinstripe Bowl)...MSU 3-9 vs. line TY, 8-17 vs. spread since 2018, 5-11 as chalk since 2018. Though Dantonio 6-1 vs. spread last seven bowls. Clawson 3-0 SU in bowls with Wake. Deacs 5-1 vs. line last 6 vs. non-ACC.	Wake Forest, based on team trends.
at	OKLAHOMA STATE vs. TEXAS A&M (Texas Bowl)...Gundy on 12-4 spread uptick since late 2018, has also won and covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 bowls. OSU also 14-4 as dog since 2015.	Oklahoma State, based on team trends.
at	SOUTHERN CAL vs. IOWA (Holiday Bowl)...SC no covers last 3 or 5 of last 6 bowls. Helton 1-8 vs. spread last 9 vs. non-Pac 12 foes. Ferentz has won and covered last 2 owls and is 7-4 last 11 in bowl games vs. line, and 9-3-1 vs. spread last 13 away from Iowa City.	Iowa, based on team trends.
at	WASHINGTON STATE vs. AIR FORCE (Cheez-it Bowl)...Leach no covers last 3 or 4 of last 5 bowl with Cougs. WSU also 4-8 vs. line last 12 vs. non-Pac 12, and just 1-6 vs. spread last 7 away from Pullman. Calhoun 13-3 vs. spread last 16 vs. non-MW foes.	Air Force, based on team trends.

Saturday, December 28

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	IOWA STATE vs. NOTRE DAME (Camping World Bowl)...ISU dropped 4 of last 5 vs. line TY but was 2-0 as dog, and Matt Campbell now 18-8-1 getting points since taking over Cyclones in 2016. Irish 2-5 vs. spread last 7 bowls.	Iowa State, based on team trends.
at	MEMPHIS vs. PENN STATE (Cotton Bowl)...Tigers weren’t a dog TY, and 3-3-1 in role since 2017. Memphis 0-4 SU and vs. line last four bowls. James Franklin just 2-4 vs. spread last six this season and 2-2 SU and vs. line last four bowls.	Penn State, based on team trends.
at	OKLAHOMA vs. LSU (CFP Peach Bowl)...OU 4-4 vs. line in last eight bowls, 2-1 last 3 as bowl dog. In rare dog role, OU is 3-1 for Lincoln Riley. LSU 9-4 vs. line TY, 11-4 last 15 on board. Tigers 10-5 “over” since late 2018.	Slight to LSU, based on team trends.
at	CLEMSON vs. OHIO STATE (CFP Fiesta Bowl)...Dabo 9-1 vs. spread last ten bowl/playoff games since 2012, including pair of wins and covers vs. OSU. Clemson on 13-3 spread run since late 2018. Buckeyes 9-4 vs. line TY, 1-2 vs. spread last three bowls.	Clemson, based on team trends.

Monday, December 30

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY (First Reponder Dallas Bowl)...WKU 7-2 vs. spread last nine TY for Tyson Helton, and Tops 10-4 vs. spread since late 2018. WMU only 7-14 last 21 vs. spread since early 2018 (5-7 TY), and 1-5 last six as dog. Broncos 1-5 vs. spread last six bowls since 2008.	Western Kentucky, based on team trends.
at	ILLINOIS vs. CAL (Redbox Bowl)...Cal 1-4 as chalk TY, 2-9-1 in role since LY for Wilcox. Dog team is 13-4-1 last 18 vs. spread in Golden Bears games. Lovie covered 6 of last 7 this season, and Illini is 7-1 last 8 as dog since late 2018.	Illinois, based on team trends.
at	VIRGINIA vs. FLORIDA (Orange Bowl)...Gators covered last 3 and 7 of last 9 this season, Dan Mullen now on 16-7 spread run since early 2018. Bronco Mendenhall 7-3 as dog since LY, though his BYU & UVa teams just 1-4 vs. spread last five bowls.	Slight to Florida, based on team trends.
at	MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. LOUISVILLE (Music City Bowl)...Joe Moorhead just 4-9 vs. spread last 13 on board, 2-6 last 8 TY. Satterfield now 20-8-1 vs. line since late 2017 at App and ‘Ville. Satterfield teams have covered their last nine non-conference games.	Louisville, based on team trends.

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