Bowl Tech Trends - Week 3

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Week 1 · Week 2 · Week 3

Tuesday, December 31

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	FLORIDA STATE vs. ARIZONA STATE (Sun Bowl)...Noles on 6-11 spread skid since mid 2018, also just 2-7 last nine as dog. Herm however only 1-5 last six vs. line TY and 4-10 last 14 on board since late LY. Sun Devils 1-4 vs. spread last five bowls.	Slight to Florida State, based on team trends.
at	KANSAS STATE vs. NAVY (Liberty Bowl)...Cats 9-3 vs. line TY, 6-1 as dog for Klieman. KSU on 15-5 spread run since mid 2018. Mids however on 13-3 spread run, and Niumatalolo has covered last five bowls.	Slight to Navy, based on team trends.
at	GEORGIA STATE vs. WYOMING (Arizona Bowl)...Bohl on 12-5 run since late 2018, and 2-0 vs. line in bowls with Wyo. Cowboys 6-2 last 8 as chalk, and “under” 10-3 last 13 since late 2018.	Wyoming, based on team trends.
at	TEXAS vs. UTAH (Alamo Bowl)...Tom Herman only 2-3 as dog TY but still 15-5 in role since 2015 with Houston and UT. Herman also 3-0 SU and vs. line in bowls, and 4-1 vs. spread last five outside of Big 12. Whittingham 8-4 vs. spread in bowls but only 1-2 last three.	Texas, based on team trends.
at	KENTUCKY vs. VIRGINIA TECH (Belk Bowl)...UK covered last 3 and 5 of last 6 TY, Marc Stoops on 10-4 spread run since late 2018, also now 8-4 last 12 as dog. Cats have covered last two bowl trips and have covered last four vs. non-SEC foes. Hokies covered 5 of last 6 TY but just 1-4 as chalk away from Blacksburg since LY. VPI 1-3 vs. line last four bowls.	Kentucky, based on recent trends.

Wednesday, January 1

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	MICHIGAN vs. ALABAMA (Citrus Bowl)...Harbaugh covered 5 of last 6 TY but Wolverines 0-3 SU and vs. line last three bowls and Harbaugh just 3-4 in rare dog role since 2015. Michigan also “over” 10-4 since late 2018. Saban 3-7 vs. spread last ten bowls, Tide 7-4 vs. spread last 11 vs. non-SEC, 11-6 “over” since late 2018.	“Over” and slight to Alabama, based on “totals” and team trends.
at	MINNESOTA vs. AUBURN (Outback Bowl)...Gophers cooled a bit at end of season (0-2-1 vs. line L3) after 9-0 SU break from gate. Fleck however 0-2-1 vs. spread non-league TY. Gophers 3-0 SU and vs. line last three bowls (two of those with Claeys). Gus on 10-3 spread uptick since late 2018, and has covered last six vs. non-SEC.	Slight to Auburn, based on team trends.
at	WISCONSIN vs. OREGON (Rose Bowl)...Ducks covered 4 of last 5 away from Eugene TY, though hasn’t covered in its last four bowl trips. Badgers 9-5 vs. line since late 2018 and have won and covered in their last five bowls. and 6-1 vs. spread last seven away from Madison.	Wisconsin, based on team trends.
at	BAYLOR vs. GEORGIA (Sugar Bowl)...Matt Rhule on 13-5 spread run since late 2018, also 8-0 last eight as dog. Dawgs had covered 5 straight bowls/playoffs before loss to Texas In Sugar LY. Kirby Smart also on 12-3 “under” run.	Baylor and “under” based on team and “totals” trends.

Thursday, January 2

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	BOSTON COLLEGE vs. CINCINNATI (Birmingham Bowl)...Eagles 5-2 as dog in 2019, 13-4-1 getting points since 2017. Also 6-3 last nine vs. spread away from Chestnut Hill. Cincy no covers in last four bowls. Bearcats “under” 10-3 in 2019.	Boston College and slight to “under” based on team and “totals” trends.
at	TENNESSEE vs. INDIANA (Gator Bowl)...Vols won last 5 SU and were 6-1 vs. spread last 7 in 2019. UT also “under” 12-5 since late 2018. IU 9-6 last 15 on board since late 2018.	Tennessee, based on recent trends.

Friday, January 3

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	OHIO vs. NEVADA (Potato Bowl)...Solich only 4-8 vs. line TY, but did win and cover big his last two in 2019, and has won and covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 bowls. MAC bowl malaise has not included Ohio (Bobcats 5-2 vs. spread last seven bowls).	Slight to Ohio, based on bowl trends.

Saturday, January 4

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	TULANE vs. SOUTHERN MISS (Armed Forces Bowl)...USM just 1-3 as dog TY after 7-3 mark past two years in role for Jay Hopson. Golden Eagles 1-5 vs. spread last six bowls. Wave on 9-4 spread uptick since late 2018.	Slight to Tulane, based on team trends.

Monday, January 6

Matchup	Skinny	Edge
at	MIAMI-OHIO vs. UL-LAFAYETTE (Alabama Bowl)...RedHawks were 6-3 vs. line last nine TY, but only 4-4 as dog TY after 5-2 mark in role for Chuck Martin LY. Ragin’ Cajuns failed to cover last two TY but were still 9-4 vs. spread TY, and 16-6-2 vs. spread since early 2018.	Slight to ULL, based on team trends.

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